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Does the selection of narrow- or broad-spectrum betalactam antibiotics have any different effect in mortality of pneumococcal pneumonia? : – a retrospective register study

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1 Degree project, 30 ECTS February 12th, 2019

Does the selection of narrow- or

broad-spectrum betalactam antibiotics have any

different effect in mortality of pneumococcal

pneumonia?

– a retrospective register study

Version 2

Author: Susi Nilsson, MB School of Medical Sciences Örebro University Sweden

Supervisor: Mikael Nilsson Department of Infectious Diseases Central Hospital in Karlstad Sweden

Co-supervisor: Simon Athlin, MD PhD Department of Infectious Disease University Hospital in Örebro Sweden

Word count

Abstract: [250] Manuscript: [3496]

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2 Abstract

Introduction

Streptococcus pneumoniae (pneumococci) is most common and has the highest mortality in community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). In vitro many antibiotics are effective against pneumococci, but recent studies suggest a favor for narrow-spectrum antibiotics.

Aim

To investigate difference in mortality from pneumococcal CAP if betalactam antibiotics in monotherapy with a narrow or broad spectrum are selected initially.

Methods

A retrospective national register study with cases of pneumococcal CAP 2008-2015. Cohorts of CAP were divided by severety, 0-2 and 3-4 CRB-65-points. Antibiotics and background factors were analyzed. A logistic regression model analyzed potential factors for mortality <30 days.

Results

There were 34.299 cases, of which 1592 cases were included, n=1509 with 0-2 CRB-65 and n=83 with 3-4 CRB-65. Overall mortality was 2.5%. 17 out of 1025 (1.7%) died after narrow-spectrum betalactam monotherapy (NSBM), and 23 out of 567 (4.1%) died after broad-spetrum betalactam monotherapy (BSBM). In CAP with 0-2 CRB-65-points, NSBM were associated with less mortality than BSBM (p=0.007, OR 0.39; 95 % CI 0.20-0.78). Age<65 and kidney disease were associated with higher mortality, but in the logistic regression model, these factors were not associated with selected antibiotics and thus not confounders. In CAP with 3-4 CRB-65-points, no significant results were found.

Conclusion

NSBM, like penicillins, seems to be safe choice and associated with less mortality than BSBM in less severe pneumococcal CAP. The reasons are unknown, but maybe because of less severe side-effects, better property to the bacteria or better empirical dosage.

Keywords

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3 Abbreviations

BSBM Broad-Spectrum Betalactam Monotherapy CAP Community Acquired Pneumonia

CDI Clostridium Difficile Infection

CRB-65 Confusion, Respiration, Blood Pressure, Age over 65 HPCAP Health Programme for Community Acquired Pneumonia MIC Minimal Inhibition Concentration

NSBM Narrow-Spectrum Betalactam Monotherapy PcG Penicillin G

PCR Polymerase Chain Reaction

SIDA Swedish Infectious Disease Association

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4 Introduction

Streptococcus pneumoniae, the pneumococci, predominate as a cause of complications and mortality in community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in Sweden [1]. Pneumococci are more common than Haemofilus influenzae, Mycoplasma pneumoniae and respiratory tract virus in cases of CAP in Sweden [2], and if any microorganism is found, pneumococci are reported to be 48-63% [3-4].

CAP is the most common cause of infectious disease mortality in Europe with 1% incidence [5] and the risk of mortality increases with age. Hospital care in CAP is required in 20-40 % of cases [5-6] and in Sweden's infectious clinics, mortality is 4.5% [2,6]. The severity of CAP may be due to several factors in humans (immune status, age, underlying diseases, smoking) and the microorganism (virulence factors, resistance mechanisms, infectiousness) and the time from incapacity to proper treatment. The etiology can vary and thus the treatment that is effective [7]. At the same time, ecological thinking is needed to reduce the risk of resistance to antibiotics [8].

The Swedish Infectious Disease Association (SIDA) has developed Healthcare Programme for Community Acquired Pneumonia (HPCAP) aimed at helping the clinician with diagnostics and treatment [9]. Severity is primarily a clinical assessment, but there is a scoring system, CRB-65, based on four clinical markers: one point for each of newly onset confusion, respiratory rate ≥ 30 per minute, systolic blood pressure < 90 mmHg and / or diastolic blood pressure < 60 mmHg, and age ≥ 65 years. An advantage with this scoring system is that there are plain clinical factors that rapidly can be assessed, no blood tests or radiology is needed. In total a patient with CAP can receive 0 to maximum 4 points, the higher points, the more severe CAP (figure 1) [10]. CRB-65 can give support for choice of care level, diagnostics and treatment. From HPCAP register data, it is possible to extract initial (day 0) treatment and treatment after day 3, as well as background factors like age, gender, chronical diseases, diagnostics and mortality.

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5 Figure 1. Mortality as a dependent factor to CRB-65 score (CRB-65: Confusion; Respiration rate ≥30/minute; Blood pressure <90 mmHg systolic and/or <60 mmHg diastolic; Age 65 or more). The more CRB-65 points, the higher mortality risk.

For diagnostic purposes in all cases of CAP, pulmonary x-ray and cultures from blood and respiratory tract and urine antigen test for pneumococci are recommended. In severe CAP, urine antigen test for Legionella pneumophila and PCR examination for L. pneumophila, influenza virus and M. pneumoniae are also recommended in addition [9]. As treatment it is recommended, for less severe CAP, intravenous or oral narrow-spectrum betalactam monotherapy (NSBM) such as penicillin G/V or aminopenicillin, just to cover the most common pathogen that has lethal outcome, the pneumococci [11-14], and because the risk of adverse effects is less with these antibiotics [15]. Pneumococci is generally sensitive to NSBM in Sweden. There are pneumococcal strains with PcG MIC > 0.012 mg / L in 2-6% of blood isolate [16-18], but they are stable over time [16] and have very small incidences of 0.6 per 100,000 inhabitants 2017 [19]. The risk of L. pneumophila etiology, especially in non-serious CAP, is estimated to be small with incidence of 1.9 cases per 100,000 inhabitants, compared with the incidence of invasive pneumococcal disease 2017 of 13.6 per 100,000 [19]. In addition to invasive pneumococci, there is likely to be a much greater proportion of pneumococcal CAP, which is diagnosed after either airway culture or urine antigen testing alone. In these cases there are no reporting requirements in Sweden, but approximately 1 % of inhabitants in Sweden annually suffer from pneumococcal CAP [20]. M. pneumoniae and Chlamydia pneumoniae need not to be initially covered in non-severe CAP [21], supported by two studies from the Netherlands and Switzerland [22-23].

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6 In severe CAP, corresponding to CRB-65 scores 3-4 when mortality is clearly increased, a betalactam antibiotic is recommended to cover pneumococci and an intracellular antibiotic that affect intracellular pathogens such as L. pneumophila, Fransicella tularensis and M. pneumoniae [9]. Because of the small numbers of severe CAP, this procedure should therefore not affect the ecology as much as if broad-spectrum antibiotics were given in all cases [9].

American recommendations on the other hand, which differs from the Swedish, initially suggest macrolide, quinolone or doxycycline in monotherapy or in combination with betalactam antibiotics, preferably a cefalosporin. This procedure has the advantage of reducing the risk of any agent being missing at initial treatment, but the disadvantage that it drives on resistance development in society [24-25].

A retrospective Swedish registry study, from Swedish HPCAP, showed no difference in 30-day mortality between NSBM and BSBM (broad-spectrum betalactams monotherapy) regardless of the etiology of less serious CAP with CRB-65 0 to 1 versus 2 points [26], but that study made no difference between the underlying microbiological agent. On the other hand, a retrospective Dutch study investigated whether antibiotic streamlining in bacteremia of pneumococci, from initial BSBM to NSBM, affected mortality. Results showed a significant benefit for NSBM streamlining versus remaining on BSBM in pneumococcal CAP (p=0.048, RR=0.38), and non-significant difference but favored for NSBM in pneumococcal bacteremia regardless of infection focus (p=0.082, RR=0.49) [27]. A further study demonstrated a clear mortality difference in pneumococcal sepsis in favor of NSBM, such as penicillin, with 0 deaths out of 42 (0.0 %), compared to BSBM like cephalosporin, which showed 7 deaths out of 44 (15.9 %) [28].

Aim

To investigate if there are any difference in mortality from pneumococcal CAP if NSBM or BSBM are given day 0.

Material and method

The present work is a retrospective registry study from the SIDA National Register for Pneumonia, HPCAP. Included are adults over 18 years of age who were hospitalized because of CAP at one of Sweden's 32 regional infection clinics between 2008 to 2015, day 0 treated with either penicillin G/V or amoxicillin, NSBM, or BSBM, of the type cephalosporin, piperacillin/tazobactam or amoxicillin/clavulanic acid, where pneumococci have been

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7 identified as single agent in blood, respiratory or urine antigen test, and where CRB-65 severity has been calculated (figure 2).

Figure 2. Stepwise exclusion from the study, after reading data in the national register of Healthcare Programme for Community Acquired Pneumonia (HPCAP). 1592 patients were included. More than 95 % cases were excluded from the register, mainly because no or other agents were found in 86 % of cases (n=29 359).

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8 The cases were divided into four groups. First divided into two main groups with less severe (CRB-65 ≤ 2 points) and severe CAP (CRB-65 3-4 points). Subsequently, each arm was divided into two subgroups depending on which treatment was given initially (NSBM or BSBM). There was in total four arms, and in each arm the outcome variable, mortality within 30 days, could be calculated.

Background data were extracted from the registry to find possible factors associated with NSBM or BSBM treatment, i.e confounders. Such possible confounders that could affect mortality within 30 days were age, gender, smoking, chronic diseases (in the heart vessels, lungs, nervous system, liver, kidneys, immune system) and tumor disease and the location of the finding of pneumococci (blood culture, respiratory tract or urine antigen test).

Statistical analysis

IBM SPSS Statistics software program version 21 was used to calculate all statistics. Data were first investigated for less severe CAP with 0 to 2 CRB-65 points, and then for severe CAP, 3 to 4 CRB-65 points. The text “No”, the signs “-”, “.” or “0“ in data was interpreted as absent/negative and given sign “0” in the logistic regression model. The text “Yes”, the signs “+” or “1” in data was interpreted present/positive and given sign “1” in the logistic regression model. Ages was divided into two groups, <65 years and ≥65 years of age. Comments given in text were read for all cases and assessed. For all variables in logistic regression analysis, except in Hosmer-Lemeshow test, significance level was set less than 0.05. In Hosmer-Lemeshow test good adequacy was reached if significance was more than 0.05. Neutral odds ratio was set as 1. Positive correlation in odds ratio was more than 1, and negative correlation was less than 1. Confidence interval for odds ratio was set at 95 %.

In the first analysis, statistics in crosstabs analyzed frequencies and mortality in the two treatment groups, NSBM versus BSBM, and the two severity groups, CRB-65 0 to 2 points versus 3 to 4 points. The different groups of severity and overall selected antibiotics were investigated for mortality in this first analysis, but no comparison was made between mortality and patients´ background factors in this analysis. Fischer´s two-sided exact test was used to calculate significance for mortality.

The second, third and fourth analyses were investigated with forward stepwise binary logistic regression model analysis. In the second analyze, the main analyze, the two different treatments were tested with mortality as a dependent variable to NSBM and BSBM as independent

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9 variables. The results from the logistic regression were then read out for significances, odds ratios and confidence interval.

The third analysis was set to investigate if mortality was associated with various background factors. Mortality was set as a dependent variable to potential factors, whereas NSBM was set as first categorical covariate. Patients characteristics, and the local that pneumococci were found were set as the other covariates. Patient characteristics extracted from the national register were: age 65 or more, female sex, smoking, chronic heart disease, chronic lung disease, chronic neurologic disease, chronic kidney disease, chronic liver disease, active tumor disease and immunodeficiency. Local that pneumococci were found was: in blood culture, airway culture and urine antigen test. Binary test was set with covariates marked “1” if present and “0” if absent in the Forward stepwise binary logistic regression model. The results from the logistic regression were then read out. Omnibus tests of model coefficients investigated the significance in the stepwise model. In the model summary, Nagelkerke R-square investigated the variance of the model. Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to investigate the adequacy of the forward stepwise binary logistic regression model data. Variables in the binary logistic regression analysis equation were potential factors for the choice of NSBM or BSBM that affected the mortality. Significance, odds ratio and confidence interval was calculated.

The fourth and last analysis was to investigate if potential factors associated with NSBM in patients´ characteristics were confounders to the selected antibiotics. NSBM was set as dependent variable, and the potential confounders, seen as covariates in the third analysis above, were set independent covariates in the forward stepwise binary logistic regression model and then analyzed.

Results

In the national register for CAP between 2008 to 2015, 34 299 cases were recorded, of which 4964 cases had pneumococcal etiology. Of these, 643 cases were excluded by exclusion criteria; ongoing antibiotic treatment prior to hospitalization, age less than 18, and prior hospitalization less than 30 days prior to actual hospitalization. There were also 681 cases excluded because of lacking data about CRB-65 score, 1971 cases were excluded because of other treatment than NSBM or BSBM, and 77 cases were excluded because of other agents in combination with pneumococci were found which could interfere with the outcome data (figure 2).

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10 In total 1592 cases were included in this study, with 40 deaths (2.5 %) registered within 30 days from hospitalization. Background data showed that, in the two different groups of severity, 34 of 1509 cases (2.3 %) with 0-2 CRB-65 points and 6 of 83 (7.2 %) with 3-4 CRB-65 points died within 30 days. Further, in the two antibiotic groups, 17 of 1025 (1.7 %) who got NSBM initially died, and 23 of 567 (4.1 %) who got BSBM initially died within 30 days (table 1).

Table 1. Mortality as a dependent variable to severity of CAP (community-acquired pneumonia) and the initially selected antibiotics. Results from all 1592 included cases.

Severity due to 3 to 4 CRB-65 points and initially selected BSBM are significant associated to higher mortality.

The second, head, analysis investigated mortality as a dependent variable to NSBM and BSBM within 30 days after admission. In the groups of more serious CAP, with 3 to 4 points, there were no significant results (p=0.805) and these groups were not further investigated in this subject. But in less serious CAP, with CRB-65 0-2 points, there was a significant reduction of mortality if NSBM were given initially, 1.5 %, in comparison with BSBM, 3.7 % (p=0.007) (table 2). 0-2 CRB-65 3-4 CRB-65 Total P-value Deaths 34 6 40 Total number 1509 83 1592 Percent 2.3 % 7.2 % 2.5 % 0.015 NSBM BSBM Total P-value Deaths 17 23 40 Total number 1025 567 1592 Percent 1.7 % 4.1 % 2.5 % 0.004 Mortality by severity

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11 Table 2. The main analysis. Mortality as a dependent variable to CAP with 0-2 and 3-4 CRB-65 points.

Significant results with less mortality after NSBM initially are seen in CAP with 0-2 CRB-65 points. No significant results are seen in the CAP with 3 to 4 CRB-65 points.

In the third analysis, patients´ factors and selected antibiotics initially were investigated if they were associated with mortality from less severe CAP, with 0 to 2 CRB-65 points. The results showed that NSBM initially was associated with decreased risk of mortality, OR=0.44, which means that NSBM has less than half the risk of mortality than BSBM. Kidney disease and high age 65 or more were associated with clearly increased risk for mortality. Factors that not show significant association are shown in text below table 3* (table 3).

Table 3. Mortality as dependent variable to potential factors in CAP with 0 to 2 CRB-65 points. Potential factors for mortality

within 30 days from admission Significance OR

95% C.I.for OR Lower Upper

NSBM 0.020 0.44 0.22 0.88

Age_65_or_more 0.001 6.02 2.10 17.33

Kidney_disease <0.001 5.36 2.17 13.20

BSBM, age 65 or more and kidney disease were associated with mortality risk.

*)Variables excluded, not significant and therefore not fitting in the binary forward stepwise logistic regression analysis were: Female, smoking, heart disease, lung disease, neurologic disease, liver disease, active tumor disease, immunodeficiency, blood culture positive, airway culture positive and urine antigentest positive. Omnibus tests showed significance chi-square <0.001 for the stepwise model. Nagelkerke R2 test showed variance 0.124. Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed good adequacy of the forward logistic model with p=0.754. Predicted correct cases were 97.7%.

Survivors (%) Deaths (%) Total (%) p-value OR (95% C.I.)

NSBM 986 (98.5) 15 (1.5) 1001 (100.0) 0.39 (0.20-0.77)

BSBM 489 (96.3) 19 (3.7) 508 (100.0) 2.55 (1.29-5.07)

Total 1475 (97.7) 34 (2.3) 1509 (100.0)

Survivors (%) Deaths (%) Total (%) p-value OR (95% C.I.)

NSBM 22 (91.7) 2 (8.3) 24 (100.0) 1.25 (0.21-7.32) BSBM 55 (93.2) 4 (6.8) 59 (100.0) 0.80 (0.14-4.76) Total 77 (92.8) 6 (7.2) 83 (100.0) 0 to 2 CRB-65 points 3 to 4 CRB-65 points 0.805 0.007*

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12 In the last, fourth, analysis, the specific factors chronic kidney disease and age 65 or more, found in table 3, were further investigated if they were confounders for selection of NSBM. The results showed that neither chronic kidney disease, nor age 65 or more were confounders, because they did not fit in the forward stepwise binary logistic regression model, showing non-significant results (*see text below table 4). Some factors were associated with selected antibiotics: If the patient smoked, it was more likely that NSBM was selected initially. If the patient had lung disease, neurologic disease, active tumor disease or immunodeficiency it was more likely that BSBM was selected initially. Blood culture was more often positive if BSBM were selected initially (table 4).

Table 4. Potential factors for the selection of NSBM initially in CAP with 0 to 2 CRB-65.

Potential factors for choice of

NSBM Significance OR 95% C.I.for OR Lower Upper Smoking <0.001 1.517 1.214 1.896 Lung_disease <0.001 0.590 0.442 0.787 Neurologic_disease 0.040 0.651 0.431 0.981 Active_tumor_disease 0.037 0.528 0.290 0.962 Immunodeficiency <0.001 0.343 0.237 0.498 Blood_culture_positive <0.001 0.654 0.518 0.826

Smoking was associated with NSBM. Lung disease, neurologic disease, tumor disease, immunodeficiency was associated with BSBM. Blood culture was often positive after BSBM.

Note that age 65 or more and kidney disease did not show significant results, see text below.

*) Variables excluded, not significant and therefore not fitting in the binary forward stepwise logistic regression analysis were: Age 65 or more, female, heart disease, kidney disease, liver disease, blood culture positive, airway culture positive, urine antigentest positive. Omnibus tests showed significance chi-square <0.001 for the stepwise model. Nagelkerke R2 test showed variance 0.080. Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed good adequacy of the forward logistic model with p=0.746. Predicted correct cases were 68.2%.

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13 Discussion

Less severe CAP from pneumococci, 0 to 2 CRB-65 points

NSBM given at admission in hospital was statistically significant associated with decreased risk for mortality in pneumococcal CAP compared with BSBM (table 2). BSBM, kidney disease and age 65 or more were statistically significant associated with increased risk for mortality (table 2 and 3), showing how dangerous these factors are for mortality in pneumococcal CAP. Although, logistic regression analysis showed that the same factors, age 65 or more or kidney disease, were not involved in the decision of treatment with NSBM or BSBM and therefore not confounders in that aspect (table 4).

Lung disease, neurologic disease, tumor disease and immunodeficiency were associated with the selection of BSBM (see text below table 4). This selection may be because of the seriousness of these types of diseases. For example, patient with immunodeficiency could be more sensitive to various types of bacteria, which the doctor may be are aware of at the emergency room, and then select BSBM. In the same manner, patients with tumor disease may have received cytostatics recently or have neutropenia, which could be fatally if NSBM is chosen if the patient then instead has a gram-negative sepsis, which NSBM does not have effect on. The national register does not tell anything about this. And with chronic lung diseases, a CAP with, for example, Moraxella catharralis could be fatal for a patient with chronic obstructive lung disease and oxygen at home, these bacteria are not sensible to NSBM, but are to BSBM.

Blood culture was significant more often positive after BSBM in CAP with 0 to 2 CRB-65 points (table 4). This could be a sign that some patients receiving BSBM indeed have a serious CAP or other occult factors which not is reflecting in CRB-65 points.

The results showed a little unexpected that smoking was associated with NSBM (see text below table 4). This result could be uncertain, due to the ambiguous question in the form. The form asks if there is information in the journal about smoking, like if the doctor has made the question about smoking, but not what the patient responds. A question is obviously not an answer. This may confuse the person who fills in the form, which could give uncertain results.

NSBM initially showed significant less mortality (table 2). These results are not exactly comparable to the findings of the study by Cremers [27], but somehow similar. Cremers showed in pneumococcal CAP a better outcome from mortality if treatment was changed from broad spectrum to narrow spectrum betalactams, rather than continued with broad spectrum

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14 antibiotics when pneumococci was found. The results in this study also harmonize with the Swedish study by Spindler et al [28], where penicillins, a narrow spectrum antibiotic, showed less mortality in pneumococcal disease. These findings may be of importance, because the clinician may otherwise think in terms like “the more the better” when it comes to the choice of antibiotic treatment.

It is not known what the winning factors in the use of NSBM are. One possible explanation is that narrow spectrum antibiotics does not interact with normal bacterial flora, microbiota, as much as BSBM in the airways, gastrointestinal tract or the skin, which not may select more resistant bacteria or nosocomial infections, like BSBM do. Maybe NSBM does not give diarrhea or enteritis from clostridium difficile (CDI), which may give the patient dehydration, renal failure or electrolyte disturbance like hypokalemia, in the same range as BSBM. A study from Georgia studying pediatric patients showed that penicillin gave less risk for CDI than cefalosporins [29], and specific ceftriaxone treatment alter the risk in comparison with other antibiotics in another study [30]. A systematic review and meta-analysis showed that CDI are a significant risk factor for 30-days mortality in hospitalized patients [31].

Another possible explanation is that the dosage or intervals of NSBM is more adequate, or that minimal inhibition concentration (MIC) are more adequate for NSBM than BSBM. A third explanation is that the plain bacteria, pneumococci, are more likely to be deleted by NSBM than BSBM, because of the penicillin´s better property than cefalosporin or piperacillin/tazobactam have. It could also be unknown patient factors like carriage of resistant bacteria or other suspected infectious foci like the stomach or urinary tract that interferes with the choice of antibiotics.

Severe CAP from pneumococci, 3 to 4 CRB-65 points

There were no significant signs in this cohort, mainly because of the small size with just 83 cases, neither in terms of treatment with NSBM or BSBM, nor in terms of other factors. The only thing that was significant, was that the mortality obviously is higher than in less severe CAP from pneumococcus (7.2 % versus 2.3 %), like the figure from HPCAP showed (figure 1). The small sizes of these groups maybe can be explained by the national recommendations in HPCAP, which says that more serious CAP should be treated by two different antibiotics, one against pneumococci and one against L. pneumophila primarily who are connected to the largest mortality by agents [9]. In this study all cases with “right” treatment according to

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15 HPCAP were excluded by the definition of the study; just the cases with monotherapy of NSBM or BSBM should be included.

General considerations of the study

This study has certainly some strengths and limitations. One strength is that the cases are taken from a national register and divided into two distinct groups of severity of the disease, which makes it possible to investigate how the severity affects the outcome. Another strength is the pureness of cases with only S. pneumoniae as agent are studied, which makes it possible to analyze how two different types of treatment exert their effect on the bacteria.

One limitation with this study is one of its own strengths, namely the pureness. Because of the extensive exclusion criteria, these cases in the study only represent a small amount, 5 %, of the whole group CAP at infectious clinics in Sweden. It is not clear if this data could be generalized to the whole group of less severe CAP in the community. There might be other types of bacteria or viruses that could influence the mortality, regardless of the earlier findings [19,21-23]. But if the clinician uses the HPCAP and CRB-65-tool, this limitation would be restricted, because if another microorganism would not be treated in the first line, it would be treated in the second line, or if the patient presents higher points on CRB-65 [9].

Another limitation with this study lies in the national register for CAP. It does not tell anything of factors like time to treatment, dosage, intervals of doses and administration way. Furthermore, the national register does not say anything about resistance in the bacteria, with reduced sensitivity to different types of antibiotics. A third limitation is that the study is retrospective. Also, there might be host factors that explains the outcome, which not are known in this study. For example, patients with immunodeficiency, tumors, neurologic and lung diseases received more often BSBM, maybe because they had unknown factors that needed to take in account. The national register does not explain if there were any limitations in treatment due to any patient´s immunologic or palliative status, which could interfere with the mortality rate.

Conclusion

In this study, mortality was associated with chronic kidney disease and high age over 65 in patients with less severe CAP. It also showed that NSBM, like penicillins, were associated with lower mortality, which may be explained by less side effects, better property to the pneumococci or better dosage than BSBM. Narrow-spectrum betalactam antibiotics should be used in the first line in less severe CAP, because it is safe, has good effect on sensible

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16 pneumococcci and seems to be associated with less mortality than broad-spectrum betalactam antibiotics, like cefalosporins or piperacillin-tazobactam. A prospective study of this subject is eligible.

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22. Postma DF, van Werkhoven CH, van Elden LJ, Thijsen SF, Hoepelman AI, Kluytmans JA, et al. Antibiotic Treatment Strategies for Community-Acquired Pneumonia in Adults. The New England journal of medicine. 2015;372(14):1312-23.

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18 23. Garin N, Genne D, Carballo S, Chuard C, Eich G, Hugli O, et al. Betalactam monotherapy vs betalactam-macrolide combination treatment in moderately severe community-acquired pneumonia: a randomized noninferiority trial. JAMA internal medicine. 2014;174(12):1894-901.

24. Mandell LA, Wunderink RG, Anzueto A, Bartlett JG, Campbell GD, Dean NC, et al. Infectious Diseases Society of America/American Thoracic Society consensus guidelines on the management of community-acquired pneumonia in adults. Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America. 2007;44 Suppl 2:S27-72.

25. Nie W, Li B, Xiu Q. Betalactam/macrolide dual therapy versus beta-lactam monotherapy for the treatment of community-acquired pneumonia in adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis. The Journal of antimicrobial chemotherapy. 2014;69(6):1441-6.

26. Rhedin S, Galanis I, Granath F, Ternhag A, Hedlund J, Spindler C, Naucler P. Narrow-spectrum betalactam monotherapy in hospital treatment of community-acquired pneumonia: a register-based cohort study. Clinical Microbiology and Infection. 2017;23(4): 247-252.

27. Cremers A, Sprong T, Schouten J, Walraven G, Hermans P, Meis J, Ferwerda G. Effect of antibiotic streamlining on patient outcome in pneumococcal bacteriaemia. Journal of Antimicrobial Chemotherapy. 2014;69:2258-64.

28. Spindler C, Ortqvist. Prognostic score systems and community-acquired bacteraemic pneumococcal pneumonia. European Respiratory Journal. 2006;28:816-823.

29. Migriauli I, Meunargia V, Chkhaidze I, Sabakhtarishvili G, Gujabidze K, Butsashvili M, Kamkamidze G. Factors affecting development of Clostridium difficile infection in hospitalized pediatric patients in the country Georgia. BMC Res Notes. 2018 Jun 26;11(1):409.

30. Zycinska K, Chmielewska M, Lenartowicz B, Hadzik-Blaszczyk M, Cieplak M, Kur Z, Krupa R, Wardyn KA. Antibiotic Treatment of Hospitalized Patients with Pneumonia Complicated by Clostridium Difficile Infection. Adv Exp Med Biol. 2016;952:59-64. 31. Gao T, He B, Pan Y, Deng Q, Sun H, Liu X, Chen J, Wang S, Xia Y. Association of

Clostridium difficile infection in hospital mortality: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Am J Infect Control. 2015 Dec 1;43(12):1316-20.

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19

P

neumokocken är en ilsken bakterie som kan ge infektion i öron, bihålor, lungor samt allmän blodförgiftning. Ett problem är att läkaren kan starta en onödigt bred antibiotika-behandling. Det kan till exempel bero på oklar typ av infektion, egen osäkerhet, överförskrivning, känsla av krav, eller rädsla att inte ge rätt behandling. Detta handlande kan dock leda till ökad resistensproblematik. En sak man inte vet mycket om är om det är någon skillnad i dödlighet vid lunginflammation orsakad av pneumokocker om patienten får smal- eller bredspektrum-antibiotika. Intuitivt kan man tycka att det är bättre med bredspektrum-antibiotika. Tidigare studier har dock antytt motsatsen, att smalspektrum-antibiotika av typen penicillin är associerad med minskad dödlighet.

Vid en granskning av Svenska Infektionsläkarföreningens register för sjukhusvårdad lunginflammation undersöktes detta. Totalt nästan 1600 patienter mellan 2008 och 2015 som drabbats av lunginflammation av pneumokocker ingick. Resultaten visade att 1.7% dog efter smalspektrum-antibiotika och 4.1% efter bredspektrum-antibiotika. Detta resultat visar inget säkert orsakssamband mellan behandling och dödlighet, men däremot på en association däremellan. Den ökade dödligheten var även associerad till kronisk njursjukdom och ålder mer än 65 år, men dessa faktorer påverkade inte i någon större utsträckning läkarens val av antibiotika-sort och gav därför inte skeva resultat. Möjliga förklaringar till resultaten är att smalspektrum-antibiotika inte påverkar den normala bakteriefloran, eller inte ger allvarliga biverkningar i samma utsträckning, som bredspektrum-antibiotika. Så det kanske är dags att sluta prata om smal- och bred-spektrum och i stället börja prata om spetsiga och trubbiga antibiotika.

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20

Cover letter

Karlstad, Sweden, 2019-01-01 Dear Editor of the journal Scandinavian Journal of Infectious Disease

Please consider the enclosed manuscript “Does the selection of narrow- or broad-spectrum betalactam antibiotics have any different effect in mortality of pneumococcal pneumonia?” for publication in your journal. In this paper we have, retrospectively from a national register, investigated the mortality as a dependent variable to the treatment with narrow- or broad-spectrum betalactams against pneumococcal community-acquired pneumoniae (CAP). The results showed a favor for narrow spectrum betalactams in less severe CAP. We believe that this could encourage clinicians to use more penicillin and less broad-spectrum antibiotics against CAP, and thus both help patients and in the same time reduce impact on bacterial resistance, which is a great global problem in health care.

The current "Instructions to Authors" have been read by all authors. The authors have seen and agreed to the submitted version of the paper, that acknowledged contributors and providers of personal communication have agreed to their inclusion, that the material is original and that it has been neither published elsewhere nor submitted for publication simultaneously. If the MS will be accepted, the paper will not be published in the same form, in English or in any other language, without written consent of the copyright holder.

Following three potential reviewers can be contacted: Ole Dole Doff, Oslo Sykehus, 0047-85345012

Kalle Kaviar, Karolinska Sjukhuset, Stockholm 0046-77997755333 Palle Kuling, Sahlgrenska Sjukhuset, Göteborg 0046-99999999 Sincerely,

Susi Nilsson, MB

School of Medical Sciences Örebro University

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21 Etiskt resonemang

Föreliggande arbete är i första hand en del i lärandet av hur man gör en vetenskaplig studie. Det är viktigt att ta hänsyn till den personliga integriteten vid ett vetenskapligt arbete, liksom det är viktigt att minimera andra risker, som fysiskt och psykiskt lidande. Det är teoretiskt möjligt att otillbörligt intrång eller inbrott görs där registerdata samlas och registerdata stjäls eller kopieras. Data som erhållits för analys är dock från början avidentifierat vad gäller namn och personnummer, och dessutom krävs ett lösenord till USB där data finns samlat, varför det i praktiken är nästan omöjligt att röja identiteten på personer som drabbats av pneumoni om data stjäls. En annan fördel med denna retrospektiva registerstudie ur ett etiskt perspektiv är att den inte skadar patienten fysiskt, den testar ingen behandling eller diagnostik utan data är tagna ur verklig handläggning retrospektivt. Det finns också godkännande från Etisk Prövningsnämnd sedan tidigare som kan omfatta detta arbete vid en eventuell publikation.

Integritetstintrång är teoretiskt möjligt till exempel på grund av oföljsamhet till tystnadsplikt och konfidentiell analys. För att motverka detta så har samtliga medverkande i projektet innan studien om gällande regler i enlighet med personuppgiftslagen (1998:204) och lagen om etikprövning av forskning som avser människor (2003:460). Detta är alltid viktigt att ta hänsyn till när man lägger upp en studie, men det är särskilt viktigt att tänka på om studien publiceras i en vetenskaplig tidskrift. Efter avslutat arbete kommer USB med samlade data att återlämnas till Registerhållaren för Pneumoniregistret.

References

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