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Physica Scripta

PERSPECTIVE • OPEN ACCESS

Life, the Universe, and everything—42

fundamental questions

To cite this article: Roland E Allen and Suzy Lidström 2017 Phys. Scr. 92 012501

View the article online for updates and enhancements.

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-Suzy Lidström2,3

1

Department of Physics and Astronomy, Texas A&M University College Station, Texas 77843, USA

2

Department of Physics and Astronomy, Uppsala University SE-75120 Uppsala, Sweden

3

Physica Scripta, Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences SE-104 05 Stockholm, Sweden

In The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy, by Douglas Adams, the Answer to the Ultimate Question of Life, the Universe, and Everything is found to be 42—but the meaning of this is left open to interpretation. We take it to mean that there are 42 fundamental questions which must be answered on the road to full enlightenment, and we attempt afirst draft (or personal selection) of these ultimate questions, on topics ranging from the cosmological constant and origin of the Universe to the origin of life and consciousness.

Keywords: cosmology, dark energy, dark matter, quantum gravity, life, gravitational waves, Higgs and supersymmetry (Some figures may appear in colour only in the online journal) 1. Motivation for this article

Each dramatic new discovery in fundamental physics(including astrophysics) has revealed new features of our Universe and new mysteries. The most challenging current issues range from the cosmological constant problem to the origin of spacetime and quantumfields, and include emergent phenomena such as life and consciousness.

This article is addressed to several different groups of readers. Wefirst wish to demonstrate to young scientists that they have at least as much opportunity to make major contributions to human understanding as they would have had in any previous century. A second goal is to introduce general readers to the most fun-damental problems in science, with a presentation that may be more satisfying than either more technical papers or less informative popular accounts. And finally, we invite experts in the scientific community to write reviews of topics like those considered here, to form a series of invited articles similar in format to those which have recently appeared in this journal.

This is an optimistic article, written largely to counteract a widespread per-ception that fundamental science has lost its excitement, as reflected in the pes-simistic tone of titles like The End of Science [1] or The End of Physics [2]. Our

main point is this: never in history has there been a larger set of truly fundamental questions, and the answers to many seem tantalizingly close.

It should, of course, be emphasized that the path to revolutionary discoveries is rarely direct and intentional. Instead, it usually involves patient investigations that are motivated by curiosity and carried out with care and hard work.

One example—or role model—is Henrietta Leavitt, shown in figure1, who studied the images of 1,777 variable stars recorded on photographic plates. She discovered that the time period over which the brightness of the star varies is an accurate measure of the intrinsic brightness of the star, with a brighter star

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oscillating more slowly. When this intrinsic brightness is compared with the apparent brightness as seen from Earth, one can calculate the distance of the star. Her discovery of this phenomenon led to many other major discoveries in astronomy by Edwin Hubble and others, including the facts that there are many galaxies beyond our own Milky Way and that the Universe is expanding. It is not an overstatement to say that Cepheid variable stars are the first and most widely used‘standard candles’ of astronomy, and that Henrietta Leavitt provided the key to determining the true size and behavior of the entire cosmos.

Figure 2shows another central figure in the history of modern astronomy— Jocelyn Bell Burnell, with the four-acre radio telescope which she used in the meticulous observations and data analysis that led to her discovery of pulsars(in collaboration with her advisor, Antony Hewish). Neutron stars had been proposed in 1934 by Walter Baade and Fritz Zwicky(see figure11), but the discovery of

their actual existence led to an explosion of theoretical and observational studies which began in the late 1960s and continues until today. For example, thefirst demonstration of gravitational waves was provided by the orbital motion of a binary pulsar system. Once again, a great discovery came only after hard work, including even physical work in thefield. She is quoted as saying ‘By the end of my PhD I could swing a sledgehammer.’

If one turns from astronomy and cosmology to biology, one finds a com-parable role model in Rosalind Franklin. Her experimentalfindings—using x-ray diffraction—provided the foundation for understanding the structure and role of DNA, which is commonly regarded as the basis for all life on Earth.

Continuing with this same theme—how patient experimentation can lead to revolutionary discoveries—the perfect and most obvious example in physics and chemistry is Marie Curie, the only Nobel Laureate in both fields. She played a major role in discovering (and naming) the phenomenon of radioactivity. While

Figure 1.Henrietta Leavitt discovered the relation between the intrinsic brightness of a variable star and its period of oscillation, thereby giving astronomers their primary tool for measuring distances. Credit: Schlesinger Library, Radcliffe Institute, Harvard University.

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raising two daughters, she undertook the extremely arduous task of isolating radium, with tons of pitchblende yielding one-tenth of a gram of radium chloride. She later wrote‘Sometimes I had to spend a whole day stirring a boiling mass with a heavy iron rod nearly as big as myself. I would be broken with fatigue at day’s end’ [3].

Patience and hard work are also required in mathematical investigations. Here it is appropriate to mention Emmy Noether, who developed the profound insight that is now called Noether’s theorem: symmetries lead to conservation laws, so that the invariance of the laws of Nature under shifts in time, displacements in spatial position, rotations, and the gauge transformations of electromagnetism leads to conservation of energy, momentum, angular momentum, and electric charge. Her work illustrates a principle with many other examples: mathematicians who are motivated by impractical considerations—such as beauty or the appeal of an intellectual challenge—often make contributions of enormous practical importance.

In the next sections we will list many fundamental mysteries or problems, and the above examples are meant to illustrate how such problems are usually solved in practice—by hard work and the patient accumulation of understanding. Ein-stein’s =E mc2did not suddenly pop into his head; it instead resulted from about ten years of thought on issues related to motion and electromagnetism, with a knowledge of the relevant experiments. His theory of gravity(or general theory of relativity) was again embedded in the real world of experiment and observation, including the fact that precise observations and equally precise calculations left 43 of 574 seconds of arc per century unaccounted for in the precession of the orbit of Mercury around the Sun. It was this legacy of earlier work that allowed Einstein to make a quantitative comparison with his calculations, which themselves followed a second ten-year intellectual Odyssey.

Figure 2.Jocelyn Bell Burnell discovered pulsars(rapidly spinning neutron stars), one of the greatest breakthroughs in the history of astronomy. She was placed in charge of operating a radio telescope which she had helped to construct—and with which she is shown here. She then detected the unusual pulsar signal while analyzing the data. Her advisor, Antony Hewish, also played an important role in the discovery. Credit: Jocelyn Bell Burnell.

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2. Gravitational and cosmological mysteries

Many of the following topics have extremely long histories(a century in the case of quantum gravity), with hundreds of important papers. A complete list of references would in fact contain far more than a thousand citations, if it were to properly credit all the original discoveries and ideas. Since such a list is prohi-bitive, we instead attempt to list a few representative later papers, reviews, and books which themselves cite the original work. There is heavy reliance on the reviews in a recent Nobel Symposium, because these papers are high-quality, timely, and free. In the present paper the description of both the science and the history has been, of necessity, very much simplified.

There are many previous lists or discussions of fundamental questions, some of which are excellent [4–6] but have a different emphasis. ([4] and [5] are

somewhat analogous to Hilbert’s famous list of mathematical problems [7].) For

example, we consider a number of problems which are so fundamental that they extend outside the normal range of current research. However, we limit attention to issues that are genuinely scientific in the broadest sense. For example, it has been suggested that we should include‘Does God exist?’, which we would rephrase as‘How should one define God to be able to truthfully say that God exists?’ (with the limiting case being ‘God = Nature’). But we omit questions like this from consideration. It has also been suggested that the question of greatest interest to most human beings is‘How should we live?’, which we would rephrase as‘Is there a meaningful ethical system which is as well defined as mathematics?’ (in the sense that one could formulate reasonable ethical axioms that

Figure 3.Steven Weinberg is a principal architect of the Standard Model of particle physics. He has also been active in gravitation, cosmology, and other areas of theoretical physics. Credit: AIP Emilio Segre Visual Archives.

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unambiguously specify correct behavior). But we again omit this question as one that is not relevant to understanding Nature.

2.1. The cosmological constant problem

The cosmological constant problem was thoroughly discussed in a 1989 paper by Steven Weinberg[8], shown in figure 3: according to standard physics, the vacuum has an enormous energy density rvac. A typical positive contribution is the zero-point energy of the electromagneticfield, and a typical negative contribution arises from Higgs condensation. All the various contributions are determined independently and there is no reason why they should cancel.

Again according to standard physics, rvacshould act as a gravitational source —effectively an enormous cosmological constant Lvac. It should then have an

enormous effect on the curvature of spacetime, roughly 120 orders of magnitude larger than is compatible with observation (with the Planck scale providing a natural cutoff).

In the past few decades, Weinberg and others have adopted the point of view that, of all proposed solutions to this problem, the only acceptable one is the anthropic bound that he obtained in 1987[9]. However, anthropic reasoning—see 5.2—is not universally accepted by the physics community. And it is likely that

essentially all professional physicists would prefer a nonanthropic explanation of this largest of all discrepancies between standard theory and observation.

So despite decades of attempts by the best minds in theoretical physics, there is no truly convincing solution to this problem, and it may be signaling the need for a revolutionary conceptual breakthrough.

2.2. The dark energy problem

In 1998 two groups, who had set out to measure the expected deceleration in the expansion of the Universe(resulting from the gravitational attraction of ordinary matter), instead made an astounding discovery: the Universe has been accelerating in its expansion for the last few billion years[10,11]. Some of the members of one Figure 4.The acceleration in the expansion of the Universe was discovered by the two groups of[10]

and[11]. The first of these groups was initially organized by Nicholas Suntzeff, on the right, together

with Brian Schmidt. Mark Phillips, on the left, also played a leading role in this discovery. All members of the High-z Supernova Search Team and the Supernova Cosmology Project shared the 2007 Gruber Cosmology Prize. Here Nick Suntzeff and Mark Phillips are shown during the 2011 Nobel Week in Stockholm, where(in accordance with the traditional limitation to three recipients) the Physics Nobel Prize for the discovery went to Brian Schmidt, Adam Riess, and Saul Perlmutter. Credit: Nicholas Suntzeff.

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group are shown infigures4–6. Increasingly accurate measurements have shown that the cause of this acceleration—commonly called ‘dark energy’—appears to have the same properties as a relatively tiny cosmological constantΛ [12]. An

effectively repulsive gravitational force can arise in general relativity because both the pressure and the energy density act as sources of gravity. There are two simple alternatives if the origin of cosmic acceleration does have the same properties as a cosmological constant: either it is a vacuum energy acting as a source term(and is thus truly a dark energy), or else it is instead a fundamental cosmological constant (in which case ‘dark energy’ is essentially a metaphor). However, the division between vacuum energy and bare cosmological constant will remain arbitrary until

Figure 5.Robert Kirshner mentored a number of the High-z Supernova Search Team members, and two of the three Nobel recipients for the discovery of the accelerating Universe, Brian Schmidt and Adam Riess, were his Ph.D. students. In this 2014 photo, he is observing supernovae at the Keck Observatory on Mauna Kea in Hawaii. Credit: Jayne Loader.

Figure 6.Alex Filippenko is the only person who was a member of both the High-z Supernova Search Team and the Supernova Cosmology Project. Here he is shown with Dahlia Smith, age 8, and Scott Rapposelli, age 12, after his presentation on solar eclipses—where they had taken careful notes. Credit: Erin Kelley-Smith.

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there is an accepted theory or nongravitational experiment that provides a definite value for the vacuum energy4. Again, this problem has been addressed in a vast number of papers, and the lack of a convincing explanation seems to indicate that our current understanding of gravity requires profound revision.

2.3. Regularization of quantum gravity

It is a near consensus that gravity should ultimately be described by quantum mechanics, like the otherfields of nature. This was already recognized by Einstein in 1916. But attempts to quantize gravity perturbatively were found to exhibit severe divergences as the cutoff in the calculations approaches the Planck energy of about 1016 TeV.

The history of the extremely large and varied number of efforts to quantize gravity is summarized by Rovelli[13], and some of the many important

con-tributors in this enterprise are shown infigure 7. The quantum Wheeler-DeWitt equation [14] for the ‘wavefunction of the Universe’ follows from the classical

3+1 decomposition of general relativity by Arnowitt, Deser, and Misner [15]

plus the work of many others, including Dirac.

But standard Einstein gravity has so far resisted all attempts at consistent quantization, because the coupling constant ℓP has the dimension of length

(whereas the coupling constants of nongravitational forces are dimensionless), and this turns out to lead to extremely rapid divergences in a perturbative calculation of quantities like scattering cross-sections if there is not a fundamental cutoff in energy nearℓP-1.

There are two well-known attempts to quantize gravity by imposing such a cutoff: in string theory[16–22], the world-line of a particle is replaced by the

world-sheet of a string, so that the intersections of lines in Feynman diagrams (which produce divergences) are broadened into the intersections of sheets (which may be e.g. cylindrical). There are many further extensions which are still under development, involving e.g. branes and a potentially unifying and all-encom-passing M-theory. In loop quantum gravity[13], spacetime has a ‘granularity’. Figure 7.The theorists shown in thisfigure are among the major leaders in the long quest for a quantum theory of gravity(and fundamental understanding of other forces and particles). From left to right: Bryce DeWitt, who obtained the Wheeler-DeWitt equation for the‘wavefunction of the Universe’; it is based on the ADM classical description of gravity developed by Arnowitt, Deser, and Misner, two of whom are also shown in this photo. Stanley Deser, co-discoverer of supergravity. Mary K Gaillard, a leader in supersymmetry, superstrings, and related areas of theoretical physics. Bruno Zumino, co-discoverer of supersymmetry and supergravity. Michael Duff, a leading string theorist. Richard Arnowitt, co-inventor of the minimal supergravity model used in many analyses of experiment and observation.

4

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Unfortunately, both of these(mathematically very appealing) approaches remain largely theories of gravity alone, in the sense that, after decades of brilliant work by many groups, they have still not managed either to make convincing contact with the rest of physics(including the Standard Model) or to make predictions that are experimentally testable.

So quantum gravity remains an extremely challenging and unsolved problem.

2.4. Black hole entropy and thermodynamics

Black holes were named by John Wheeler, shown in figure8. They are now understood to play central roles in astrophysics[23], with both star-sized and

supermassive black holes confirmed by a wealth of observational data.

But controversies remain about the meaning of the black hole entropy and radiation derived by Jacob Bekenstein and Stephen Hawking, as is already clear from the series of famous bets[24,25] involving Hawking and Kip Thorne. The

only clear winner so far is Thorne, although Hawking has conceded his part of a bet to John Preskill for reasons that are not convincing to most experts. The Bekenstein–Hawking entropy is given by

= S A 1 4 1 BH P2 ( ) and the Hawking temperature(for quantum radiation of particles and antiparticles) by k p = T 2 2 H ( )

where A is the surface area andκ the surface gravity of a black hole. Here ℓPis the Figure 8.John Wheeler invented the terms black hole, wormhole, quantum foam, and neutron moderator, and made many important contributions to gravitational and nuclear physics. He is shown here at age 4. Credit: AIP Emilio Segre Visual Archives, Wheeler Collection.

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Planck length of about1.6 ´10-25Å and the second equation is given in the units often used by gravitational theorists: = c= G= =k 1, where = h 2 , h isp Planck’s constant, c is the speed of light, G is the gravitational constant, and k is the Boltzmann constant.

It is clear that these quantities are closely related to both gravity and quantum mechanics, but a fundamental mystery is why the entropy should be proportional to area rather than volume, as is the case for other physical systems.

One would like to start with the fundamental expression for entropy shown in figure9,

=

SBH klogWBH, ( )3

(where ‘BH’ represents ‘black hole’ or ‘Bekenstein–Hawking’) and then obtain (1)

by counting the number of available microstates WBH. There have been many

attempts in this direction in string theory, in loop quantum gravity, and in various models, but so far it has not proved possible to derive(1) for the general case of

real black holes in 4-dimensional spacetime, or even for the simplest case of a static Schwarzschild black hole. The simplicity of (1), and the complexity of the

purported derivations starting with quite different theories, demonstrate that real understanding has not yet been achieved.

So a convincing interpretation of the black hole entropy(1) remains a leading

challenge for the theoretical community.

Figure 9.Tombstone of Ludwig Boltzmann in Vienna, showing his fundamental formula S=k log W, where S is the entropy, k is Boltzmann’s constant, and W is the number of available microstates.

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2.5. Black hole information processing

There are two possibilities for black hole thermodynamics:

If(as in ordinary thermodynamics) it is only a statistical description at the macroscopic level, essentially reflecting the ignorance of an observer, then there may be only an apparent loss of information when objects are incorporated into the black hole and later emerge as Hawking radiation. In this case there may be a deeper microscopic description(yet to be convincingly found) in which the time evolution is fully deterministic(and unitary) and no information is truly lost. E.g., if a mountain-size distribution of well-defined matter collapses to form a micro-scopic black hole, and later (after billions of years of the evaporation of mass through Hawking radiation) the black hole disappears in a final release of energy, there would then be subtle traces in the radiation which could(in principle) still be used to determine the detailed features of the original matter.

On the other hand, if the entropy and temperature are fundamental(rather than statistical) features of a black hole, determined directly by gravity and quantum mechanics alone, then the original matter(which collapsed to form the black hole) would have its detailed nature obliterated within the event horizon. In this case the original information would be lost, perhaps through quantum gravity processes to be understood in the future.

There are other ways of formulating the black hole information paradox, but it is clear that this issue is closely related to those of topics2.3and2.4above, and that a definitive resolution appears to await a deeper understanding of quantum gravity. The various attempts to resolve this issue—described by phrases like holographic principle,firewall, and black hole memory—have been well covered in even the popular media, but none has so far proved convincing.

2.6. Cosmic inflation(or an inflation-like scenario)

Inflation is a postulated exponential expansion of the very early Universe, perhaps by a factor of 10n withn ~40, when its age was roughly 10−32 second. It was proposed to explain several features of our observable Universe[26–28],

including its large-scaleflatness and isotropy, and it predicts the nearly scale-free fluctuations in the cosmic microwave background radiation (CMB) that have been observed in increasing detail by the COBE, WMAP, and Planck missions[29]. In

this picture, extremely tiny quantumfluctuations were enormously stretched, yielding the variations in primordial radiation and galactic structure that are now spread across the sky. A first major question, to be answered by observations, is whether there is direct evidence for inflation. A second, to be answered by both theory and observations, is the origin of inflation (if it is indeed validated). There are currently a vast number of competing models, many of which are highly speculative, and none of which is fully convincing.

It is possible(and perhaps likely) that a definitive inflation-like scenario will be achieved only after a more general conceptual breakthrough.

2.7. Cosmological survival of matter(and not antimatter)

If the Standard Model were strictly obeyed, there should have been an essentially complete annihilation of matter and antimatter in the early Universe, leaving only photons. So some extension of standard physics is needed to explain why instead there is a small amount of residual matter which makes up the familiar objects in ordinary experience and astronomy. The only alternative would be an extreme and unnatural fine-tuning in the initial state of the Universe.

This has been a major area of investigation—exploring possible origins of baryogenesis or leptogenesis, in which physical processes beyond the Standard Model ultimately produce a sufficiently large asymmetry between matter and antimatter. In the case of baryogenesis, the required criteria were published in

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1967 by Sakharov, shown infigure10: nonconservation of baryon number, C and CP violation, and interactions out of thermal equilibrium. Each has a simple explanation, once we define the terms: P is the parity operation, or roughly left ⟷ right. C is the charge conjugation operation, or roughly particles ⟷ anti-particles. T is time reversal, and CP or CPT means the product of the operations indicated.(i)Since the baryon number is +1 for matter (e.g. a proton) and −1 for antimatter, and there is now more matter than antimatter, the baryon number must have somehow been changed by processes in the early Universe if it was initially zero(as it would have been before any particles were produced). (ii)Similarly, the symmetry between particles and antiparticles, described by C and CP, must be violated if the conversion of antimatter to matter is not to be counterbalanced by the conversion of matter to antimatter.(iii)Finally, there is the effect of CPT symmetry(see 3.5), which would imply that there is still symmetry between

matter and antimatter unless interactions occur out of thermal equilibrium, as in a rapidly expanding Universe.

Figure 10.Andrei Sakharov, shown here in 1943, was the principal designer of the Soviet thermonuclear bomb in the years following World War II. But not long afterward he led the campaign against nuclear proliferation and atmospheric nuclear tests, and in favor of political reform. Labeled‘Domestic Enemy Number One’ by the head of the Soviet KGB, he was then subjected to sustained pressure, intimidation, threats, internal exile, and physical abuse, before he was released by Mikhail Gorbachev in 1986, a few years before the fall of the Soviet Union. He received the Nobel Peace Prize in 1975. Among his many contributions to applied and fundamental physics are the Sakharov criteria for baryogenesis, which are key to understanding how matter survived after the extreme conditions of the Big Bang. Credit: Wikimedia Commons. This image has been obtained by the authors from the Wikipedia website[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrei_Sakharov#/ media], where it is stated to have been released into the public domain. It is included within this

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A key requirement of both baryogenesis and leptogenesis is CP violation which is stronger than that already present in the Standard Model and which therefore requires new physics [30].

There are various theoretical proposals for the origin of the required CP violation, involving e.g. extra Higgsfields or supersymmetric models, but at the present none have received experimental support. So the dominance of matter over antimatter in the current Universe(and even the fact that matter has survived) must still be counted as an outstanding fundamental problem.

2.8. Composition of dark matter

The observations of Fritz Zwicky, in the early 1930s, and of Vera Rubin and her collaborators, beginning around 1970, indicated that the gravitational masses of galaxies are mostly due to something other than luminous matter. These two most centralfigures in the discovery of this invisible but gravitationally active ‘dark matter’ are shown in figures11 and12.

The existence of dark matter has now been confirmed by many more recent observations, including those of the apparent separation of dark and luminous matter in colliding galactic clusters. The abundance of dark matter exceeds that of

Figure 11.Fritz Zwicky at the International Astronomical Union meeting in Brighton, England, in 1970. During the 1930s he mapped out tens of thousands of galaxies, discovering that they tend to cluster, and obtaining evidence for what he named dark matter. With his colleague Walter Baade he introduced the term‘supernova’ and proposed that supernovae signal the transition of ordinary stars into neutron stars, as well as being the origin of cosmic rays. He also predicted that Galaxy clusters could act as gravitational lenses. These and others of his discoveries and ideas are at the heart of modern astronomy and cosmology. Credit: AIP Emilio Segre Visual Archives, John Irwin Slide Collection.

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ordinary matter by a factor offive or six, and it has consequently played the dominant role in the formation of galaxies, galactic clusters, and larger-scale structures as the Universe has evolved during the past 13.8 billion years.

This problem has been widely publicized, and is the current subject of many intense experimental and theoretical studies. For detailed discussion we defer to the readily available articles and papers, including recent overviews [31–35].

Despite increasingly powerful attempts to detect dark matter, through terrestrial collisions with atomic nuclei, emission of particles from extraterrestrial dark matter annihilations, and production of dark matter particles in accelerator laboratories, the composition of dark matter is still unknown. Among many candidates, the most popular are(i) the neutralinos (or other charge-neutral par-ticles) of supersymmetric models (see3.3below) and (ii) the axions predicted by the Peccei-Quinn theory for explaining why quark interactions do not exhibit strong CP violation(where this term is defined above in2.7). One of the most

plausible arguments for weakly-interacting particles, like the lightest neutralino, is that the calculated cosmological abundance in the present Universe is consistent with the observed abundance of dark matter. Characterizing the dark matter is certainly one of the best-known challenges confronting high-energy physics and astrophysics.

3. Understanding and going beyond the Standard Model of particle physics

The Standard Model has been remarkably successful in providing a highly quantitative description of all phenomena which do not involve gravity or neutrino masses[36–38]. But it remains in many ways a phenomenological model, with

features that seem to call out for deeper explanation.

3.1. Origin of family replication

All of common experience is explained by the up quark, down quark, electron, and electron neutrino, but Nature has provided a second and even a third generation copy for each of these fermions. There is surely a profound reason for this repetition of family structure, but so far no convincing explanation has been given.

Figure 12.Vera Rubin, who provided a clear demonstration of the existence of dark matter by her measurement, with colleague Kent Ford, of the rotation speeds of stars around galaxies. A rapidly moving star requires a strong gravitational pull(from a large mass) to keep it in orbit. Credit: Archives and Special Collections, Vassar College Library(unique identifier: Ph.f 6.93 Cooper Rubin, Vera).

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3.2. Origin of particle masses

Despite substantial efforts, no theory has proved capable of explaining the masses of fermions in the Standard Model, or equivalently their Yukawa couplings to the Higgsfield. The top quark mass is especially mysterious, both because it is so large and because it appears to have a special value that is not far from the vacuum expectation value for a Standard Model Higgsfield [39, 40].

The discovery of neutrino masses [41–43] has definitively taken physics

beyond the Standard Model. In each generation of fermions, either an extrafield must be added(for a Dirac mass, like that of an electron or quark) or lepton number conservation must be violated(for a Majorana mass, which would mean that a neutrino is its own antiparticle). Explanations are needed for both the origin of neutrino masses and why they are so small. Each of these questions mayfind a satisfying answer in a grand unified theory (with e.g. an additional right-handed neutrino field and a seesaw mechanism to reduce observed neutrino masses), but there is still no universally accepted version of such a theory.

At present the values of neutrino masses are unknown(since only differences in mass squared, Dm2, are measured in neutrino oscillation experiments), and it is

also not known whether the masses are Majorana or Dirac or both. In addition, just as for the other fermions, there is no convincing theory for the fundamental origin of these masses.

3.3. Supersymmetry and the hierarchy problems

The recent observation of a Higgs boson[44–48] may be regarded as completing

the Standard Model, but it also appears to demand new physics, in order to protect the particle mass from quantum corrections that would increase it by perhaps 14 orders of magnitude or more[49]. This is often called a hierarchy (or naturalness)

problem. It is widely thought that the most plausible resolution of this problem is supersymmetry(susy) [50–52], which has been explored for the past four decades

by many theorists, including those shown infigures7and13. In a supersymmetric theory, for every standard matter particle(like electrons and quarks) there is at least one new force-carrying particle, and for every standard force-carrying par-ticle(like photons, Z bosons, and Higgs particles) there is at least one new matter particle. In many supersymmetric theories, the lightest of the new matter particles is a stable particle with no electric charge—the neutralino. This is one version of a weakly interacting massive particle(WIMP), which turns out to emerge from the

Figure 13.Mary K Gaillard prepares to give a talk in a session chaired by Nobel Laureate Abdus Salam, at the 1976 neutrino conference in Aachen. They have both been leading members of the large community of theorists exploring models of supersymmetry and unification of the forces of nature. Credit: Mary K Gaillard.

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early Universe in about the right abundance to explain the dark matter observed in astronomy.

Other evidence for susy is the convergence of coupling constants mentioned in topic 3.4and the fact that susy provides an extremely natural dark matter candi-date, mentioned in topic2.8. However, the simplest supersymmetric models have been disconfirmed, and no convincing mechanism has yet been found either to break susy or to determine the many susy parameters. So there are several extremely compelling issues yet to be resolved by experiment and theory: vali-dation or disconfirmation of susy; if there is in fact experimental validation, creation of a well-defined and realistic susy theory; and, within such a theory, determination of the specific mechanism for susy breaking.

A second hierarchy (or naturalness) problem is why the electroweak scale is so tiny to begin with. The natural scales associated with the fundamental forces of nature—the GUT and Planck scales—are at about 10 1013 16TeV, so why are the

masses of Standard Model particles many orders of magnitude smaller?

3.4. Explanation of the fundamental grand unified gauge group

Grand unification of the three nongravitational forces [53–55] is supported by

(i)the discovery of neutrino masses, since both Majorana and Dirac masses are natural in a grand unified theory (GUT), and (ii)the realization that the funda-mental charges for the electromagnetic, weak nuclear, and strong nuclear forces all converge to a common value at high energy when susy is included. However, the fundamental GUT gauge group has not yet been established.

Furthermore, even if grand unification is eventually validated—e.g. through observations of predictions like proton decay—and the specific GUT theory is definitively determined, there is still a fundamental question to be answered: why this particular theory is in fact Nature’s choice.

3.5. Potential violation of Lorentz or CPT invariance

The Standard Model violates P and CP symmetry at the most fundamental level, and also violates conservation of weak isospin and weak hypercharge(for particle

Figure 14.Experimental physicist Chien-Shiung Wu. She led the 1956 experiment that demonstrated parity violation—violation of left-right symmetry—by the weak nuclear interaction. This result, which confirmed a prediction of Chen-Ning Yang and Tsung-Dao Lee, came as a shock to many top scientists. But since then even CP, the combined operation of particle↔ antiparticle and left ↔ right, has been found to be violated. This is explained by the existence of a third copy of thefirst generation of fermions in the Standard Model. Credit: SIA Acc. 90-105[SIA2010-1507] - Science Service, Records, 1920s-1970s, Smithsonian Institution Archives Image SIA2010-1507.

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interactions) after condensation of the Higgs field. The first observation of these symmetry breakings was demonstrated in an experiment led by Chien-Shiung Wu, shown infigure 14. The later observation and explanation of CP violation is represented byfigure 15, showing theorists Makoto Kobayashi and Toshihide Maskawa.

It is then natural to ask whether still more symmetries are broken either at a fundamental level (in a future theory which transcends the Standard Model) or because of further symmetry breakings (e.g. due to condensation of a vector or tensor rather than scalarfield) or because of quantum fluctuations (such as ‘spacetime foam’ at the Planck scale). So far no deviations from either Lorentz or CPT invariance have been observed[56, 57], but this is still an active area of

investigation and violations of these most fundamental symmetries may be quite subtle.

3.6. Apparent marginality of the Higgs self-coupling, and stability of our Universe

It is remarkable that the recently discovered Higgs boson has a mass whose value implies that the fundamental self-coupling parameter in the Higgs potential

m l

= - +

V 2 2h h4 ( )4

is very nearly equal to zero[40,58–60] (if a Standard Model calculation is valid in

this respect). According to this result, the Higgs condensate, and the Universe as we know it, are only marginally stable. In fact, further calculations imply that our Universe may be in a metastable phase, which eventually would undergo a transition to a more stable phase with very different properties.

This is a potentially very deep issue: what explains

l » 0 ( )5

and is our Universe in a stable phase or not?

Figure 15.Makoto Kobayashi and Toshihide Maskawa display their Nobel Prize Medals after the awards ceremony in 2008. They showed that a third generation of matter particles implies the CP violation which had been discovered in 1964 by James Cronin and Val Fitch. A third generation was thus predicted, and its members were subsequently found, one by one, culminating in the discoveries of the top quark and tau neutrino at Fermilab. Credit: © The Nobel Foundation, Photo: Hans Mehlin.

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3.7. Quark confinement and related issues

The principle that quarks are always confined, and that all free particles have zero net color charge, is universally accepted, and is increasingly indicated by lattice QCD calculations, but it has never been rigorously proved.(The transition to a quark-gluon plasma at extremely high temperature is, of course, a separate matter.) This and related mathematical issues involving the strong nuclear force—QCD— are so deep and important that one is the subject of an unsolved Millennium Prize Problem [61, 62].

Figure 16 shows Frank Wilczek, a pioneer of QCD whose work has also covered many other deep issues in high energy and condensed matter physics.

3.8. Phases of quantum chromodynamics and general systems with nonabelian gauge interactions

Various aspects of QCD are not well understood because of their inherent dif fi-culties [63, 64].

Since QCD processes are of central importance in collider experiments employing protons or ions, more precise treatments are needed of aspects like the formation of jets and parton distribution functions(or the ‘internal landscape of the nucleons’).

The quark-gluon plasma is important in cosmology, and it appears to have been observed at the Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider(RHIC) and the Large Hadron Collider(LHC), where it is the main subject for the ALICE experiment. Its

Figure 16.Frank Wilczek was awarded the Nobel Prize, with David Gross and David Politzer, for their demonstration of the‘asymptotic freedom’ of quarks at high energy or small distance, which makes it possible to perform perturbative calculations for the strong nuclear force at high energy. It is believed that the opposite behavior holds at low energy or large distance—with quarks confined and unable to escape from e.g. protons or neutrons—but this has not yet been rigorously proved (although it is increasingly indicated by lattice gauge calculations). Credit: Betsy Devine. This image has been obtained by the authors from the Wikimedia websitehttps://commons.wikimedia.org/

wiki/File:Frank_Wilczek_crop.jpg, where it was made available by gvf under a CC BY 3.0 license. It is included within this article on that basis.

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properties, which are being investigated in detail, have revealed surprises and new insights and many new questions have arisen[65–68]. Regarding some of the

unexpected features or mysteries, we quote[68]: ‘It is now widely believed that

the creation of a deconfined phase of quarks and gluons has been achieved in high-energy heavy-ion collisions. However, the expectation of a weakly interacting (perturbative) system (as first dreamed about in the 1970s) is contradicted by the data. The experimental observables have led us to conclude that the medium is strongly interacting, with a large degree of collectivity, even with small viscosity. Comparisons of hydrodynamic models to the data imply that the medium pro-duced has a close to the conjectured minimum in viscosity to entropy density ratio.’

An additional intriguing topic is the complete phase diagram for QCD, and its applications in nuclear physics and astrophysics—for example, in describing the interior structure of neutron stars. See, e.g.,figure 1 of [68] (taken from the U.S.

Nuclear Science Advisory Committee 2007 Long Range Plan), which schemati-cally depicts the basic features of the expected phase diagram.

And there is the related issue of the QCD vacuum, which is presumablyfilled with quark-antiquark condensates[36,37], even though this has not yet been

proven.

A still broader question may be of equal long-term interest: What are the emergent properties of multiparticle systems whose fundamental 2-body interac-tion is mediated by nonabelian gauge interacinterac-tions5? A specific example is the emergence of atomic nuclei, a profound problem that may come into reach of improved theoretical and computational techniques within even the next decade.

3.9. Additional undiscovered particles

In the past, increasingly powerful accelerators or detectors have led to surprising discoveries of new particles, and this may happen again. Some have been pos-tulated to solve problems—for example, the axion, to explain why quantum chromodynamics (QCD) does not strongly violate CP invariance, and sterile neutrinos, to explain their possible observation in some neutrino oscillation experiments. Others are discussed primarily because they are theoretical possibi-lities—for example, additional fermions or bosons like those of the Standard Model. But the possibility of complete surprises in new experiments is always taken seriously, because our understanding of Nature is still quite incomplete. The

Figure 17.Fabiola Gianotti, current Director-General of CERN(European Organization for Nuclear Research). What new discoveries lie ahead for the Large Hadron Collider, the world’s most powerful scientific instrument? Credit: CERN.

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open-minded search for new particles continues at major accelerator laboratories such as CERN, whose Director-General, Fabiola Gianotti, is shown infigure17.

3.10. The unlimited future of astrophysics

The cosmos is now known to be inhabited by many kinds of exotic objects. Whereas normal stars are supported against gravitational collapse by radiation pressure, white dwarfs are supported by the‘degeneracy pressure’ of electrons, which effectively repel each other because of the Pauli exclusion principle in space. Subrahmanyan Chandrasekhar, shown in figure26, showed that the degeneracy pressure succumbs to gravity beyond about 1.4 solar masses. Neutron stars are similarly supported by the degeneracy pressure of neutrons and their constituent quarks. Those which are rapidly spinning can be observed as pulsars, discovered in 1967 by Jocelyn Bell Burnell, who can be seen infigure27. Stellar-size black holes can be observed by the emission of x-rays from their accretion discs. Supermassive black holes lie near the centers of almost all known massive galaxies. The cosmos is alsofilled with various kinds of particles and radiation from many sources.

Given the fact that observational astronomy has yielded so many surprises in only the past few decades, there are surely many more discoveries waiting to be made. Among the vast number of possibilities that have been suggested by the-orists, there are two intriguing possibilities for new kinds of stars that have not yet been observed: Population 3 stars are thought to have formed in the early Universe and to have been composed almost entirely of hydrogen and helium. This would permit them to have much greater masses than the Population 1 (younger) and Population 2 (older) stars visible today. A very intriguing possibility is the ‘dark stars’ proposed by Katherine Freese, shown in figure28, and her collaborators. The energy source for these objects would be dark matter annihilation rather than fusion reactions.

Figure 18.Laura Greene is Francis Eppes Professor of Physics and chief scientist at the National High Magnetic Field Laboratory. She is currently president-elect of the American Physical Society. Her research focuses on materials with strongly correlated electrons, including unconventional or novel superconductors. Credit: Laura Greene.

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Figure 19.Mildred Dresselhaus has been called the‘queen of carbon science’, a vast field that spans several varieties of advanced materials with exotic properties(graphite, graphite intercalation compounds, fullerene molecules, carbon nanotubes, diamond, graphene, ...). She has received many honors and held many influential positions, including Institute Professor at MIT, director of the Office of Science at the U.S. Department of Energy, president of the American Physical Society, and president of the American Association for the Advancement of Science. Credit: Photo by Calvin Campbell, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, courtesy AIP Emilio Segre Visual Archives, Gallery Of Member Society Presidents.

Figure 20.Margaret Murnane has pioneered many techniques in optical and x-ray science using new ultrafast laser and coherent x-ray sources, with potential applications in physics, chemistry, materials science, and engineering. Credit: University of Colorado.

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4. The exotic behavior of condensed matter and quantum systems

Figures18–21 show some of the leading current researchers in these broad areas, who are working on problems like those considered below.

4.1. What new forms of superconductivity and superfluidity remain to be discovered?

At low temperature, bosons like4He atoms can undergo Bose–Einstein con-densation into a superfluid. Similarly, fermions can form pairs which also con-dense into a superfluid, or a superconductor if the fermions are charged [69]. There

is currently a remarkable richness of known superfluids—ranging from the superfluid phases of3He to atomic Bose–Einstein condensates to the neutrons in a neutron star—and superconductors, ranging from elemental metals to organics to ruthenates to heavy-fermion compounds to doped fullerenes to high-temperature superconductors—the cuprates and newer iron-based materials.

The mechanism of superconductivity—along with many other features—is yet to be elucidated for high-temperature superconductors. And, given the many surprises in this area during even the last few years, it is likely that more major discoveries lie ahead.

Figure 21.Lene Hau at a laser light optical table in her laboratory. In collaboration with Stephen Harris, she led a team which, by use of a Bose–Einstein condensate, succeeded in slowing a light beam to a few meters per second, and in 2001 was able to stop a beam completely. Later work led to the transfer of light to matter, then from matter back to light. This is a novel form of quantum control with potential applications in quantum information processing and quantum cryptography. Credit: Justin Ide/Harvard News Office. This image has been obtained by the authors from the Wikimedia websitehttps://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Professor_Lene_Hau_in_her_laboratory_at_ Harvard.jpg, where it is stated to have been released into the public domain. It is included within this article on that basis.

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4.2. What new topological phases remain to be discovered?

Topological insulators are another surprising discovery of recent years[70],

fol-lowing the earlier discoveries of the Kosterlitz-Thouless transition and the integer and fractional quantum Hall effects. There are various theoretical proposals for other topologically nontrivial phases and objects in condensed matter systems.

4.3. What further properties remain to be discovered in highly correlated electronic materials?

It is rather miraculous that a one-electron(or quasiparticle) picture works so well for many condensed matter systems. But correlation effects can lead to qualita-tively new phenomena, and those mentioned above certainly do not exhaust all the possibilities.

4.4. What other new phases and forms of matter remain to be discovered?

The emergent properties of ordinary matter have been found to exhibit an amazing richness[71], with many other exotic phases discovered during the 20th and early

21st Centuries: various forms of magnetism, spatial structures (such as crystals and quasicrystals, charge density waves, spin density waves, pair density waves, and stripes in cuprates), 1- and 2-dimensional materials, nanostructures, soft matter (such as liquid crystals and polymers), and granular systems.

Quantum phase transitions—when parameters such as chemical doping, magneticfields, or pressure are varied at zero temperature—are currently an area of intense exploration. Quantum liquids, including the electron liquids in ordinary materials, are still not well understood, and the mere existence of any liquid phase is a nontrivial emergent property of matter6.

Turbulence in fluids is still regarded as a major unsolved problem, and understanding the Navier–Stokes equations is the subject of another Millennium Prize Problem[62]. It is also likely that there are more surprises lurking in more

general nonlinear systems, involving, for example, chaos and nonequilibrium phase transitions.

Plasma has been described as the fourth state of matter, important in many areas of astrophysics and terrestrial applications. An old dream, still unfulfilled, is that a breakthrough in either magnetic confinement or inertial confinement will allow controlled fusion to become an almost unlimited source of usable(and relatively environment-friendly) energy.

4.5. What is the future of quantum computing, quantum information, and other applications of entanglement?

Quantum computing and quantum information have many facets. The biggest question currently is whether these areas will ever achieve practical importance, because of the fragility of entangled states to decoherence in a realistic environ-ment. The general issue of entanglement is of increasing interest in contexts ranging from physical realizations of quantum computers to resolution of the black hole information paradox.

4.6. What is the future of quantum optics and photonics?

Photons as well as electrons play an important role in this general context, and in potential new technologies based on photonics, including optoelectronics. The frontiers involve shorter laser pulse durations, higher intensities, radiation at previously inaccessible wavelengths, control of quantum phenomena, and a wide range of emerging new ideas.

6

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predicts new phenomena which are subsequently confirmed by experiment.

5.1. Higher dimensions, with geometry and topology of an internal space

The original idea of Kaluza(and later Klein) was that a purely gravitational theory in 5 dimensions yields gravity plus electromagnetism in 4-dimensional spacetime, if the extra dimension is compactified. Einstein found this idea interesting, even though he took two years to review and accept Kaluza’s paper. It was later shown by DeWitt and others that gravity in D dimensions yields gravity plus nonabelian gaugefields in external spacetime, if the extra (D-4) dimensions are compactified [72,73]. Extra dimensions are, of course, currently employed in string theory [16– 18]. So a quite deep issue is whether there are in fact extra dimensions beyond the

familiar four of ordinary spacetime.

If there are extra dimensions, the next question is the structure of the internal space, including itsfields. The laws of Nature are presumably determined by this structure, so different internal spaces will correspond to different universes: an internal space is essentially the genome of a Universe.

The most widely known example is string theory, which is so rich in the possibilities for both spatial manifolds andfields that one guess at the number of possible universes is 10N withN ~500.

So, if there are in fact higher dimensions, a second deep issue is the structure of the internal space for our Universe.

5.2. Validity of the multiverse idea and the anthropic principle

There are many different facets to the multiverse idea:

(1) If all of Nature is described by a path integral over all possibilities, then each of the internal spaces of topic5.1is the foundation for a different Universe with different laws.

(2) For a given internal space, there can be many different initial conditions, and again a multiplicity of universes.

(3) Because of the inadequacies of other inflationary models (and alternatives to inflation), many find the ‘eternal inflation’ scenario to be quite plausible [74]. In

this scenario, since new universes are continuously arising from old, the number of universes is multiplied yet again.

(4) If we limit attention to only our own Universe, inflation implies that it is vastly larger than the local observable Universe(which already contains hundeds of billions of galaxies). In fact, it may be infinite, with a flat or open (hyperbolic) geometry. Then our single(global) Universe contains an enormous multiplicity of (local) observable universes.

(5) If we further limit attention to only our own observable Universe, the Everett(or ‘many-worlds’) interpretation of quantum mechanics implies that there are a vast number of different branches in the state vector, with those on our branch unaware of all the others.

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It is conceivable that one is forced to at least some steps in this dizzying multiplicity by the requirement of logical consistency, after one delves into the details and finds that the available alternatives lead to inconsistencies. But the multiverse is, of course, quite controversial because it is outside the domain of normal science.

Equally controversial is the anthropic principle, which (stated simplistically) means that the Universe we inhabit must be one that is attuned to the requirements for intelligent life to emerge. There are many versions of this principle, which is attributed to Brandon Carter; his strong anthropic principle states that‘the Uni-verse(and hence the fundamental parameters on which it depends) must be such as to admit the creation of observers within it at some stage’.

This principle is usually motivated by the multiverse concept and the fact that many of the features of our Universe appear to be improbably favorable for our existence. We then live in a‘Goldilocks Universe’, just as astronomy has shown that we live on a ‘Goldilocks planet’ (although we can aspire to avoid the pre-cedent of Goldilocks, who broke her ‘just-right’ chair into pieces).

A challenge is to make the multiverse concept and/or anthropic principle part of proper science.

5.3. Geometry and topology of external spacetime

Nonabelian gauge theories predict various kinds of topological defects that might be important in cosmology. These include monopoles, cosmic strings, and domain walls.

In addition, Einstein gravity permits various exotic topologies in spacetime (some of which have made their way into the popular imagination—for example, Einstein–Rosen wormholes). Evidence of a nontrivial topology of the Universe is occasionally searched for in the CMB measurements.

Also still unresolved are the possibilities of naked singularities and closed timelike loops in spacetime geometry, which would in principle permit backward time travel.

5.4. Origin and fate of the Universe

There are many mysteries concerning the origin of the Universe. One is why there should have been an origin at all. A second is whatfields were initially present, and in what state. Still another is why the initial entropy was so surprisingly low, allowing us to define the future as the direction in which entropy increases. Finally, there is the issue of what—if anything—may have preceded the beginning of our particular Universe.

Figures22–24 show three of the many astronomers and cosmologists whose work has led to the modern‘concordance’ model of the Universe, in which data from various complementary probes arefinally found to be consistent. Since the ‘dark energy’ is still being characterized, and it is likely that more cosmological surprises lie ahead, we do not know what course the Universe will follow in the future. The most straightforward extrapolation is that cosmic acceleration will cause galaxies to pull away from one another, while each Galaxy remains grav-itationally bound. More speculative projections postulate a dark energyfluid with a ratio w of pressure to energy density which is different from the value of−1 for the vacuum energy—with e.g. < -w 1 implying a‘big rip’ that would ultimately pull all matter apart. There are also cyclic models, higher-dimension models, etc with different implications for both past and future. And, as mentioned in topic

3.6, there are even conjectures that the Universe may undergo a phase transition in the remote future to a state with very different properties.

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More precise observations will help to exclude many models, but a confident prediction will surely require fundamental breakthroughs involving gravity, par-ticle physics, and cosmic evolution.

Figure 22.Neta Bahcall, professor at Princeton, played a leading role in developing the‘concordance model’ of modern cosmology.

Figure 23.Wendy Freedman, now at the University of Chicago and the Kavli Institute for Cosmological Physics, gives a public talk on astronomy and cosmology. She led the team that set a new standard for measuring the rate of expansion of the Universe, and is currently chair of the board of directors of the Giant Magellan Telescope project.

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5.5. What is the origin of spacetime, why is spacetime four-dimensional, and why is time different from space?

There have been conjectures that it might be possible to derive spacetime from some more fundamental framework, e.g. in the general context of string theory [75], but no convincing treatment has yet been given.

A truly satisfying theory might provide a(nonanthropic) explanation of why the spacetime of ordinary experience has precisely four dimensions.

Time is distinguished from space only by the signature of the metric tensor. One can formulate a metric theory with 0, 2, ... time coordinates rather than 1. What in a fundamental theory might explain why there is exactly one time coordinate?

5.6. Origin of Lorentz invariance and Einstein gravity

Essentially all attempts at new unified theories—grand unification, super-symmetry, string theory, ...—assume local Lorentz invariance (i.e. Einstein rela-tivity), rather than trying to explain it.

There have been attempts by Sakharov and others to derive gravity from the vacuum energy or some other form of metric elasticity, but none of these efforts have proved convincing. Somewhat in the earlier spirit of Feynman and others, string theory derives gravity as a spin-2field. But then one has the question of where string theory, itsfields, and its action come from, and the suggestions in this direction—like string theory itself—have not met with wide acceptance. So the fundamental origin of gravity also remains an open issue.

5.7. Origin of gauge fields, their coupling to matter fields, and their action

All the forces of the Standard Model are described by gaugefields. (Even gravity is described by a gauge theory, although with a different structure.) A truly fun-damental theory might explain why Nature has chosen only these kinds of forces. It might also explain why matter has a simple minimal coupling to thesefields, and why their action has such a simple minimal form.

5.8. Origin and interpretation of quantum mechanics and quantum fields

A truly fundamental theory might derive quantum mechanics and quantum fields from a deeper principle.

There is also the issue of the interpretation of quantum mechanics, on which there is still no universal agreement. In 1911 Einstein, shown infigure25, already recognized the difficulty of this problem. Despite the vast number of articles and

Figure 24.Rocky Kolb of the University of Chicago and Fermilab gives a public talk on inflation and

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Figure 25.Albert Einstein, in New York in 1921, had been transformed from a modest scientist to a world-wide celebrity. His 1916 prediction of gravitational waves has recently been verified, but his even earlier concerns about the interpretation of quantum mechanics have not yet been satisfactorily answered. Credit: Wikimedia Commons and Life magazine. This image has been obtained by the authors from the Wikimedia websitehttps://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Einstein_in_NY_

1921.jpg, where it is stated to have been released into the public domain. It is included within this article on that basis.

Figure 26.Subrahmanyan Chandrasekhar is considered by many to be the greatest of theoretical astrophysicists. His most famous result is the Chandrasekhar limit for the mass of white dwarf, with a value of approximately 1.4 times the mass of the Sun. When a white dwarf acquires more than this mass—for example, by accreting mass from another star in a binary system, or by merging with another star—there is gravitational collapse followed by a type Ia supenova. Credit: Photograph by Stephen Lewellyn, Chicago, IL, courtesy AIP Emilio Segre Visual Archives, Tenn Collection.

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books written on this subject, his criticisms have never been satisfactorily answered, in the sense that most knowledgeable physicists are still puzzled by wave-particle duality(or the Schrödinger’s cat and Einstein-Podolsky–Rosen paradoxes, which similarly arise in the picture with wavefunction collapse during a measurement or observation).

Regardless of interpretation, the deepest imaginable fundamental theory would explain why we live in a Universe which consists of quantum fields, and how those fields originate.

5.9. Mathematical consistency

A theory should be mathematically, logically, and philosophically consistent, as well as consistent with experiment and observation. But the mathematical con-sistency of even simple quantumfield theories in four spacetime dimensions has not yet been rigorously established.

5.10. Connection between the formalism of physics and the reality of human experience

The words of Stephen Hawking [76] reflect the point of view of a mathematical

physicist: ‘What is it that breathes fire into the equations ....’ One might reverse this point of view by starting with Nature, whose basic principles we are far from understanding, and recognizing that mathematical physics is essentially a human creation that bears the same relation to Nature itself as a map bears to the rich terrain that it schematically depicts.

One might hope that the most fundamental theory will eventually reveal the essential character of reality(Kant’s ‘Ding an sich’) which now is directly known to us only in one way—through the experiences of our conscious minds.

Under this general topic—the ultimate nature of reality—we subsume the old question ‘Why is there something rather than nothing?’ The simplest answer is ‘Why not?’, and the most amusing comes from Sidney Morgenbesser: ‘If there were nothing you’d still be complaining!’

But the best current idea has been stated by Frank Wilczek:‘The answer to the ancient question‘Why is there something rather than nothing?’ would then be that ‘nothing’ is unstable.’ This idea is treated more expansively in a book by Lawr-ence Krauss [77].

A quotation from Einstein concerns an issue that may be equally deep:‘The most incomprehensible thing about the world is that it is comprehensible.’ What principle explains the fact that the present Universe evolves smoothly according to simple laws, and is not instead a random chaotic mess?

One expects that an ultimate understanding of Nature will authenticate the Emily Dickinson lines:

Nature is what we know But have no art to say, So impotent our wisdom is

To Her simplicity.

6. Potential for breakthroughs in techniques and technology

6.1. Potential for breakthroughs in theoretical, computational, experimental, and observational techniques

Theory:

Most calculations in high energy physics are based on perturbative methods, as exemplified by expansions in terms represented by Feynman diagrams. For

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Figure 27.Jocelyn Bell Burnell, discoverer of pulsars. See alsofigure2. Credit: Daily Herald Archive/National Media Museum/SSPL.

Figure 28.Katherine Freese is George E Uhlenbeck Professor of Physics at the University of Michigan, Guest Professor at Stockholm University, Director Emerita at Nordita(the Nordic Institute for Theoretical Physics), and author of one of the best popular books on astrophysics, The Cosmic Cocktail[35]. Her many contributions to theoretical cosmology include the idea of dark stars,

powered by the annihilation of dark matter particles before thefirst ordinary stars were born. Credit: Katherine Freese.

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example, the current state of the art in perturbative QCD calculations is next-to-next-to-leading-order. It is highly nontrivial to perform these calculations, and to check their convergence and accuracy.

Existing nonperturbative techniques for realistic calculations are primarily numerical, with the best known method being lattice gauge theory. But essentially all numerical methods for real systems lead to rapidly increasing demands for computer time and memory, and again it is not trivial to be sure of the conv-ergence and accuracy.

A major breakthrough would be to discover nonperturbative techniques that allow reliably accurate calculation of important properties and processes for real systems, with a paradigm being QCD at arbitrary energy. One dream in this

Figure 29.Rainer Weiss devised the sophisticated laser interferometric techniques which are the basis for LIGO(the Laser Interferometer Gravitational-Wave Observatory). He was also the chairman of the science working group for the COBE(Cosmic Background Explorer) satellite mission, which observed the inhomogeneities in the cosmic background radiation that seeded initial structure formation in the early Universe, as well as an originator of COBE with John Mather. He has thus been at the center of two of the greatest discoveries in modern physics and astronomy. Here he is shown with astronomer Sarah Higdon.

Figure 30.The LIGO collaboration has a spectacular double success: thefirst direct observation of gravitational waves—predicted by Einstein a century earlier—and the unexpected observation of the merger of two very massive black holes. As indicated in thefigure, the waves were simultaneously detected at the two separate LIGO observatories in Hanover, Washington and Livingston, Louisiana, with amazingly consistent signals for the spiralling in and merger of the black holes, and the ringdown of the single remnant afterward. This observation marks the beginning of gravitational wave astronomy. Credit: LIGO, NSF, Aurore Simonnet(Sonoma State U.).

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‘intelligent’ software that analyzes events on a nanosecond time scale at the detector and essentially eliminates the possibility of discovery events being dis-carded. Both the theoretical calculations and the computer science aspects(for analyzing data from a collider detector) are at the outer frontier of software development.

Important phenomena in astrophysics often defy realistic simulation because of the prohibitively large number of degrees of freedom, and it may be that radical computational innovations are required in this context.

In the much broader arena of otherfields of science and technology (and the still larger realm of human affairs), there is a compelling need for computer science to produce increasingly more elegant and more powerful algorithms.

Experiment:

The progression toward higher energies appears to demand major innovations [78] to achieve facilities like a linear ∼0.5 TeVe e+ -collider, a muon collider, a photon collider, or a very large hadron collider, perhaps ultimately taking proton collisions to ∼100 TeV and the much cleaner lepton-antilepton collisions to ∼3 TeV.

The intense environments at the LHC and future colliders present new demands and new opportunities for detector technologies[79]. Other fundamental

experiments (direct dark matter detection, the search for neutrinoless double beta decay, neutrino physics, ...) will employ increasingly large systems, but would also benefit from further innovations, since in some cases they may require well over an order of magnitude increase in sensitivity.

Observation:

Astronomy probes a wide spectrum of exotic phenomena that are inaccessible in terrestrial experiments, using many components of the electromagnetic spec-trum plus cosmic rays, neutrinos, and now even gravitational waves. Figures27,

29, and 30 represent the triumphs of radio astronomy (used by Jocelyn Bell Burnell in her discovery of pulsars) and gravitational wave astronomy (pioneered by Rainer Weiss, Kip Thorne, Ronald Drever, Barry Barish, their many colla-borators, and others). This last capability, in particular, opens a promising new window on the Universe, and has already demonstrated the unexpected impor-tance of intermediate-mass black holes.

There are still many mysteries in astrophysics, which may be resolved with yet more advanced technology and more sophisticated methods.

6.2. The ultimate limits of chemistry, applied physics, and technology

The variety of substances created by inorganic processes(e.g. in geology) is remarkable, while the number of those exploited in biological systems is much larger still. And there appears to be no limit to the complexity of chemical systems that we ourselves can design for future applications. Similarly, there is an ever-increasing richness of possibilities in areas like condensed matter physics and

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