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Örebro University School of Medicine Degree project, 30 ECTS 2017-06-08

Availability of primary care physicians in nursing

homes and home care nursing services and

associations with emergency care consumption

_________________________________________________

Version 2

Author: Jonas Damberg Supervisors: Per-Ola Sundin

Scott Montgomery Örebro, Sweden

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Abstract

Introduction: A broader understanding of how the availability of physicians for patients in home care nursing services (HCNS) and nursing homes (NH) influences emergency care consumption is lacking.

Aim: To investigate associations between extended annual medical reviews (EAMR) and emergency care consumption for patients in HCNS and NH and whether EAMR can serve as an indicator of availability of physicians.

Methods: In a cross-sectional design, 1727 patients registered to nine public primary health care centres (PHCC) in the municipality of Örebro, Sweden, residing in NH or receiving HCNS, were evaluated for associations between EAMR and emergency admission to hospital during 2015 using logistic regression adjusting for age, sex, enrolment to palliative care, comorbidity and form of housing. The association between designated physicians’ time per patient in tertiles of its distribution at different PHCC and the proportion of patients having an EAMR was evaluated using Spearman correlation.

Results: Compared to patients not receiving an EAMR, patients with performed EAMR had a statistically significant lower odds for experiencing at least one emergency admission to hospital, adjusted model odds ratio 0.71 (95% confidence interval, 0.55-0.90, p<0.05). Increasing physicians’ time per patient was associated with a higher proportion of patients having an EAMR without reaching statistical significance, Spearman correlation coefficient 0.68 (95% confidence interval, -0.15-0.95, p=0.09).

Conclusion: At PHCC with more physicians’ time assigned to patients in HCNS and NH we observed a, not statistically significant, higher proportion of patients receiving an EAMR which was associated with lower risk of emergency admission to hospital.

Keywords: nursing homes, home health nursing, patient admission, avoidable

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Abbreviations

CCI – Charlson comorbidity index CI – Confidence interval

EAMR- Extended annual medical review ED- Emergency department

GP- General practitioner

HCNS- Home care nursing service

ICD-10 - Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems - Tenth Revision NH- Nursing home

OR – Odds ratio PC – Palliative care

PHC – Primary health care

PHCC – Primary health care centre SD – Standard deviation

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Table of contents

Introduction ... 5

Aim ... 6

Material and methods ... 7

Study design and setting ... 7

Study sample ... 7 Data collection ... 7 Statistical analysis ... 8 Ethics ... 9 Results ... 10 Discussion ... 15 Key findings ... 15

Strengths and limitations ... 17

Conclusion ... 19

Acknowledgements ... 20

References ... 21

Appendices ... 24

Appendix A, Survey questionnaire ... 24

Appendix B, Table 3 Patient characteristics ... 25

Cover Letter ... 26

Press release (in Swedish) ... 27

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5 Introduction

Demographic changes, with an increasing number of elderly patients above the age of 65 years with multiple requirements, is associated with current and future challenges in both home care nursing services (HCNS) and nursing homes (NH) [1–5]. A substantial amount of emergency department (ED) transfers occurs from these care facilities, due to exacerbations of chronic illness, injuries, and a vulnerability to episodes of acute health deterioration [1,6,7]. Various patient- and organizational interventions have been evaluated for reduction of

potentially arduous and avoidable ED-transfers or hospitalizations [1,6–8].

According to Swedish law, county councils must ensure a certain level of

physician-to-resident ratio in the municipalities’ geriatric care. A span, from three and a half to six minutes of designated time for a General Practitioner (GP) per patient each week, can be seen in local agreements made between municipalities and county councils. The proportion of GPs among Swedish physicians (approximately 17%, representing about 5000 physicians) is low

compared to many other European countries, where around 40% is not unusual [2,9]. Unlike for example in the United Kingdom, with a tradition of a personal GP following the individual patient between different forms of housing, a designated GP in Sweden generally is

responsible for a specific NH performing weekly medical rounds. Thus, a Swedish patient might be cared for by another GP after transfer to another form of housing. HCNS patients are usually discussed with a GP responsible for HCNS patients in a specific area at weekly rounds. Questions and acute consultations between the weekly visits are usually handled by phone since the GP is located at the Primary Health Care Centre (PHCC) and has limited time to make house calls [2,3,9,10].

Residents in NH and patients receiving HCNS in different Swedish municipalities, have different experiences regarding the availability of care staff. This is based upon the 2015 statistics from The National Board of Health and Welfare in Sweden, where the proportion of patients finding it easy or very easy to get in contact with a nurse, a physician and other staff dedicated for HNCS or NH patients, ranged from 25% to 80%. To strengthen the cooperation between county councils and municipalities in Sweden, and increase the availability of care staff, initiatives like mobile emergency care teams and mobile health care teams have been introduced locally [11].

Many factors, individual and system related, have been associated with the rate of urgent transfers to hospital from NH and HCNS. First, a lower number of physician hours per

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6 resident, a lower rate of registered nurses to less experienced nurse categories, and a higher staff turnover, have been suggested to be associated with increased hospital transfer rates [1,7]. Early consultation with a geriatrician seems to have the opposite effect [12]. However quantitative studies of associations between physician availability and hospitalization rates are limited in number [7,13,14]. A systematic literature review in 2014 did not indicate a

statistically significant reduction of hospitalization or mortality for NH patients receiving a medical review intervention (performed by a multi-professional team that included

pharmacists, only pharmacists, only physicians or geriatricians and geriatric nurses) [15,16]. Second, reduced functional ability and comorbidity including diabetes, chronic airway disease and cardiac failure have been associated with the rate of ED transfers [1]. Third, the

proportion of each physicians´ time devoted to nursing homes seems important with indications of a more than 50% higher risk for potentially avoidable hospitalizations for residents of NH receiving care from physicians devoting less than 5%, compared to 85% of their clinical effort to NH residents [17].

The increasing shortage of GPs and physicians with geriatric competence in Sweden, highlights the importance of optimizing the physicians´ role in NH and HCNS, to facilitate decisions on how to advice these elderly and their relatives, in complex issues like the potential benefit of an urgent ED-transfer [2,7,14,18,19].

Aim

The aim of this quality improvement initiative was to investigate associations between extended annual medical reviews (EAMR) and emergency care consumption for patients in HCNS and NH in the municipality of Örebro.

A further aim was to evaluate whether the proportion of patients receiving their EAMR at different PHCC is associated with the availability of physicians at each PHCC. More

knowledge about this possible relationship might strengthen the use of EAMR as an indicator of availability of physicians.

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7 Material and methods

Study design and setting

This quality improvement initiative was taken at Karla vårdcentral, one of the eleven public PHCC in the city of Örebro, Sweden. The project was a retrospective observational and cross-sectional study of patients registered to public PHCC in the municipality of Örebro residing in NH or receiving HCNS. The city of Örebro is in the Swedish inland at approximately the same latitude as Stockholm. The municipality of Örebro has approximately 150,000 inhabitants. The study period was 20150101-20151231.

Study sample

All eleven public PHCC in Örebro were invited to participate in the project. One decided to decline, and one was found not to use the same criteria for registration of EAMR, so finally nine PHCC were included in the project. Inclusion criteria were patients above 65 years of age, with diagnoses identifying NH residents (ICD-10, Z768) or patients granted HCNS (ICD-10, Z769) received before or during the study period. For those who changed PHCC, the latest residence in the study period was chosen for evaluation. This resulted in a sample of 1727 patients; 572 residing in NH, 783 receiving HCNS and 372 where housing status changed during the study.

Data collection

Örebro County Councils´ PHC electronic system for data extraction from medical records to support quality assurance, Medrave, was used to identify eligible patients and to collect baseline data (sex, age, PHCC-association and whether the patient resided in a NH or received HCNS). Housing status was not fully specified for all patients because of shifts in housing or newly enrolled patients during the year. Medrave also provided information for the study period on: main exposure which was the execution by a physician of an EAMR of the patients´ medication, previous enrolment or decisions to enrol the patient in palliative care, number of prescribed medications at baseline and diagnoses recorded in primary care patient records used to calculate the Charlson weighted index of comorbidity modified according to Quan et. al. [20,21].

The outcome was assessed through the Örebro county councils’ database Prodstat which details all specialist in- and outpatient care delivered by the county council. Data on each contact including date; in- or outpatient care; elective or emergency care and

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8 hospital/clinic/ward/outpatient department visited were extracted. Prodstat also provided vital status including date of death.

Data from the two different data sources were merged and de-identified by a third part

supporting quality assurance initiatives at the county councils PHC Health Choice Unit before delivery to the project.

Data on physician staffing at each PHCC were collected for 2015 via a survey answered by PHCC managers (physician time assigned for NH and HCNS, proportion of that time completed by temporary physicians from staffing agencies and number of vacant GP positions), see Appendix A.

Statistical analysis

Associations between EAMR and the occurrence of any emergency admission during the study period were evaluated using logistic regression. All adjusted models included sex and age in categories (65-74, 75-84, 85-89, 90- years); in the further adjusted model, also Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) and enrolment to palliative care and in the final adjusted model form of housing was added.

For the evaluation of whether the EAMR can serve as an indicator for the availability of physicians, a Spearman correlation analysis were done between physicians´ time allowed at each PHCC and the corresponding frequency of EAMR.

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9

Ethics

The present project is made in educational purpose and therefore no formal approval from the Swedish ethical board is needed [22]. Due to the nature of the project, focusing on the area of preventive healthcare, temporary assignments to perform quality assurance at each PHCC, were signed by the manager of each centre, granting access to medical records, all according to the Swedish data privacy law [23]. Consequently, the signing PHCC managers were responsible for the ethics in the present project. Data collected outside the operation of the PHCC and the internal Medrave data was de-identified by a third part when merged. The code-key was only known by this third part supporting quality assurance initiatives at the PHC Health Choice Unit. Only people directly involved in the data-analysis had access to the de-identified material.

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10 Results

Baseline data for patients included in the study, comparing patients receiving and not

receiving their EAMR, are presented in table 1. Patients receiving an EAMR were less likely to have experienced an emergency hospitalization; more likely to reside in a NH; had a lower mortality rate; displayed a higher CCI and a larger number of prescriptions at baseline.

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11 Table 1 Patient characteristics

Number of patients, total (n=1727) Extended medical review 2015, not performed (n=1304) Extended medical review 2015, performed (n=423) p-value Emergency admittance 699 (40.4%) 557 (42.7%) 142 (33.6%) <0.05 Form of housing <0.05 HCNS 783 (45.3%) 690 (52.9%) 93 (22.0%) NH 572 (33.1%) 395 (30.3%) 177 (41.8%) Unspecified 372 (21.5%) 219 (16.8%) 153 (36.2%) Deaths 366 (21.3%) 311 (23.8%) 55 (13.0%) <0.05 Sex 0.428 Male 595 (34.4%) 456 (35.0%) 139 (32.9%) Female 1132 (65.6%) 848 (65.0%) 284 (67.1%) Age 0.183 65-74 177 (10.2%) 145 (11.1%) 32 (7.6%) 75-84 505 (29.2%) 382 (29.3%) 123 (29.1%) 85-89 463 (26.8%) 347 (26.6%) 116 (27.4%) 90- 582 (33.8%) 430 (33.0%) 152 (35.9%) CCI <0.05 0-1 835 (48.2%) 654 (50.2%) 181 (42.8%) 2-3 611 (35.6%) 459 (35.2%) 152 (35.9%) 4- 281 (16.2%) 191 (14.6%) 90 (21.3%) Palliative care 426 (24.6%) 306 (23.5%) 120 (28.4%) <0.05 Prescriptions at baseline 9 (6;12) 9 (5;12) 10 (7;13) <0.05

Counts for the categorical variables are given as number (percentage). Continuous variables are given as median (P25;P75). Categorical variables were compared with χ2-tests and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for continuous variables. Abbreviations: HCNS, Home care nursing services; NH, Nursing home; CCI, Charlson comorbidity index.

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12 In an unadjusted logistic regression model, receiving an EAMR was associated with an odds-ratio (OR) of 0.68 (95% CI, 0.54-0.85, p<0.05) for emergency admission to hospital (table 2). Adjusting for age and sex in the base adjusted model had no obvious effect on the association and further adjusting for CCI and enrolment to palliative care increased the magnitude of the association slightly. Adjusting for form of housing in the final adjusted model had no major influence on the association, OR 0.71 (95% CI, 0.55-0.90, p<0.05). Higher CCI, but not sex, age or enrolment to palliative care, was statistically significantly associated with emergency admissions.

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13 Table 2 Emergency admissions for patients in HCNS and NH and its association to EAMR

Exposure Adjusted model

Unadjusted Base adj.a CCI and Palliative careb Form of housingc

N Cases OR (95% CI) P OR (95% CI) P OR (95% CI) P OR (95% CI) P

Emergency admissions EAMR

Exposed 423 142 0.68 (0.54-0.85) <0.05 0.68 (0.54-0.86) <0.05 0.64 (0.51-0.81) <0.05 0.71 (0.55-0.90) <0.05

Non-exposed 1304 557 ref. ref. ref. ref.

Age

65-74 177 78 ref. ref. ref. ref.

75-84 505 207 0.88 (0.62-1.25) 0.48 0.91 (0.64-1.29) 0.59 0.87 (0.61-1.24) 0.44 0.89 (0.62-1.27) 0.51 85-89 463 196 0.93 (0.66-1.32) 0.69 0.97 (0.68-1.37) 0.84 0.93 (0.65-1.32) 0.67 0.94 (0.66-1.36) 0.75 90- 582 218 0.76 (0.54-1.07) 0.12 0.19 (0.56-1.12) 0.19 0.76 (0.54-1.08) 0.13 0.77 (0.54-1.11) 0.16 Sex

Female 1132 451 0.93 (0.76-1.13) 0.46 0.95 (0.78-1.17) 0.69 1.06 (0.86-1.31) 0.60 1.08 (0.87-1.34) 0.49

Male 595 248 ref. ref. - ref. ref.

Palliative care

Exposed 426 174 1.02 (0.82-1.28) 0.86 - - 0.95 (0.76-1.20) 0.69 1.09 (0.85-1.39) 0.50

Non-exposed 1301 525 ref. - - ref. ref.

CCI

0-1 835 287 ref. - - ref. ref.

2-3 611 271 1.52 (1.23-1.89) - - 1.57 (1.26-1.95) 1.56 (1.25-1-94) <0.05

>4 281 141 1.92 (1.46-2.53) - - 2.08 (1.56-2.77) 2.06 (1.54-2.75) <0.05

Form of housing

NH 572 171 0.57 (0.43-0.74) <0.05 - - - - 0.56 (0.42-0.73) <0.05

HCNS 783 368 1.18 (0.92-1.51) 0.20 - - - - 1.13 (0.86-1.47) 0.39

Unspecified 372 160 ref. - - ref.

Abbreviations: EAMR, Extended annual medical review. CCI, Charlson comorbidity index. NH, Nursing home. HCNS, Home care nursing services. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI).

aBase adjustment for sex and age.

bAdditionally adjusted for CCI and palliative care. cFinal model additionally adjusted for “Form of housing”.

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14 Dedicated physicians time per patient, proportion of patients receiving an EAMR and

emergency admission rates differed between the seven PHCC responding to the survey (Appendix B, Table 3). The range of the physicians´ time at the seven different PHCC was 3.4 to 10.8 minutes per patient and week. Because of the relatively few values on the

physicians´ weekly time per patient and to still get a good understanding of the relationship, the observations were divided into tertiles of its distribution. Increasing amount of dedicated time divided into tertiles of its distribution (<6.47; 6.47-8.65; >8.65 [minutes/week/patient]) was associated with a higher proportion of patients receiving an EAMR but the association did not reach statistical significance (Figure 1).

Figure 1 Physicians time in tertiles (Low (<6.47); Medium (6.47-8.65); High (>8.65) [minutes/week/patient]) assigned for home care nursing services and nursing homes and its association to performed extended annual medial reviews (mean ± SD). Spearman correlation coefficient 0.68 (95% CI; -0.15-0.95, p=0.09). Abbreviations: EAMR, Extended annual medical review.

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15 Discussion

Key findings

In a, cross-sectional-design 1727 patients at nine different PHCC receiving HCNS or residing in NH were evaluated using logistic regression models assessing possible associations

between EAMR and emergency admissions to hospital during 2015. Data for this quality assurance initiative were extracted using administrative records held by the local county council and by a survey to the managers of the PHCC. Using the EAMR as a possible indicator of availability of physicians at the different PHCC allow for analyses at an individual level adjusting for comorbidity and other possible confounders.

Receiving an EAMR was statistically significant associated with lower risk for emergency admission during the same year OR 0.71 (95% CI, 0.55-0.90, p<0.05), in a model adjusted for age, sex, enrolment to palliative care, comorbidity index and form of housing. Increasing dedicated physician time for HCNS and NH patients at different PHCC (in tertiles of its distribution) was associated with a higher proportion of patients receiving an EAMR, not reaching statistical significance in this small sample, Spearman correlation coefficient 0.68 (95% CI, -0.15-0.95, p=0.09).

Previous research is somewhat consistent with our results, although there have been few quantitative studies specifically aimed to clarify the influence of physicians´ availability for HNCS and NH patients in relation to emergency admissions. In a study where the outcome hospitalization was studied and the exposure was different resident and facility characteristics it was found that nursing homes with more than the median number of full time employed physicians were less likely to have their residents hospitalized [7]. Receiving end-of-life home care nursing compared to standard nursing has been associated with reduced need of emergency care at hospital [24]. Not only the heterogeneity of patients has been found to affect emergency admission rates. The facility characteristics, including facility size, if the NH is a for-profit facility or not and staffing composition has been suggested to be of importance [25,26]. One systematic review of extended medical reviews for nursing home residents did not see any beneficial effect on hospitalization or mortality [15]. Compared to the present quality project where both HNCS and NH are analysed together this systematic review only focused on nursing homes and it included studies ranging over a longer time period (1990-2012). It also included some studies (two out of eight studies), where the

medication review was performed by other professions than a general practitioner, which was not an alternative in the present project. Most of the studies included in the systematic review

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16 were intervention studies. It was not possible to assess potential differences between the extent and the practical execution of the medication reviews referred to in the systematic review and the EAMR referred to in this actual project.

Comparing the two different forms of housing in our study indicates a significant notable difference in the risk of emergency admissions. In a stratified analysis of the final adjusted model, the odds ratio for emergency admissions for HCNS patients receiving an EAMR was 0.49 (0.31-0.79) and for NH patients 1.0 (0.67-1.49). For nursing homes, this result is

coherent with the systematic review previously cited. In addition, previous studies have found that a lower level of care need does not necessarily mean lower rate of hospitalization. For these patients, the lower level of chronic care and less supervision compared to better staffed facilities might lead to more emergency transfers of unstable patients [7,27]. In the present project, the difference in emergency admissions between HCNS and NH might be a

consequence of differences in staff-to-resident ratio and equipment at the different forms of housing. The higher odds for emergency admission for HCNS patients compared to NH patients might also be a consequence of a more liberal attitude from the ED staff towards sending a NH patient home from the ED compared to send a HCNS patient to home. This might be a consequence of a view that the NH is a facility with staff attending around the clock and with only a shorter delay for repeated evaluations by a nurse or a physician. Since a considerable proportion of patients in our study had an unspecified housing, the stratified results must be interpreted with caution.

An increasing amount of dedicated time for NH and HCNS patients at different PHCC was associated to a higher proportion of patients receiving an EAMR, which might support the use of EAMR as a marker for high availability of primary care physicians although the

association did not reach statistical significance in this small sample. The present results also suggest that differences in time dedicated to these patients could explain some of the

difference in emergency admission rates between different PHCC. The reason for variations in emergency department transfers between different NH has been questioned in previous research [26]. One answer might be that the PHCC that provide the appropriate conditions for their general practitioners and have sufficient and stable resources to dedicate time to elective extensive medical reviews also are able to provide a more stringent follow-up of their

patients, establish routines and continuous communication and cooperation with nurses in HCNS and NH and to adapt a more preventive approach to these patients. The EAMR per se might also have a direct effect on emergency admissions to hospital [28,29]. A median

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17 percentage of 3.5-12.8% of admissions to hospital for elderly patients has been associated to adverse drug reactions [30,31]. Our data does not allow evaluation of these possible pathways separately.

Even if there is a suspicion that the rate of hospitalizations mostly is excessive, the determination of an optimal hospitalization rate is not straight forward [7,23]. It has been discussed if variations in the rate of emergency hospitalizations reflect an overutilization or underutilization of emergency admissions [25]. For example, the appointment process for physicians, nurse staffing patterns, size of NH and local quality differences have been pointed out as possible factors affecting potentially avoidable hospitalizations [17,25,32]. In Sweden, approximately one sixth of all inpatient admissions for patients above 65 years of age, have been classified as avoidable hospitalizations [32]. A frequency of avoidable emergency admissions more than 75% have been identified in some American NH [33,34]. Thus, hospitalizations could potentially be reduced and in our opinion increasing physicians’ availability in NH and HCNS and indirectly the number of EAMR performed could be an important mean to achieve this.

Strengths and limitations

Initially an observational cohort design was planned for this study although this was not feasible due to the limitations in information on the timing of exposures and covariates provided by Medrave. The present cross–sectional design might introduce potential reversed causation since the time sequence of exposures and outcome is not taken into account. If GPs considered performing an EAMR for patients recently admitted to hospital redundant

assuming that a medical review already had been performed during the in-patient care, this could also explain our findings. Further, this study cannot sort out whether the EAMR has a direct effect on the risk of emergency admission or whether the EAMR is an indicator of a well organised care with close follow-up of patients and a high availability of physicians which reduce the risk of emergency admissions.

The dependence on correct and non-differential registration in the primary care medical records between different PHCC of EAMR may introduce detection bias. Failure to record EAMR in the medical records of patients, introducing patients exposed to EAMR among the non-exposed would underestimate the associations between EAMR and outcome. In this current study, we have taken some different possible ways to register the EAMR into account, but there is still a risk for misclassification. There is a system in this county council rewarding

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18 PHCC performing more EAMR which together with guidelines for the performance and documentation of EAMR may serve to reduce this source of error.

Another potential limitation is that emergency transfers not resulting in admission to hospital, elective care and the number of emergency admissions are not included in the measure of consumption of care. No power analysis was performed before the study and the number of PHCC was chosen ad hoc, based on what was considered possible to handle in a master thesis with a strict time limit. The patients studied were connected to nine public PHCC in the city of Örebro, Sweden but not all PHCC in the municipality were included. It is not possible to directly assess the representativeness of the study sample.

Patients who died during the study and patients enrolled into the two different forms of housing during the study were included constituting a dynamic study sample. Although it is probably reasonable to assume that each dead patient was replaced by a new patient,

especially in the NH, we have not taken the individual exposure time into account. If

individual PHCC attract more patients in their HCNS when physician availability is high or if the size of the study population is changing during the study period from other reasons this will also introduce bias. Selection bias might also occur if newly enrolled patients are more likely to experience an EAMR than other patients.

Medrave could not account for changes in form of housing during the study period, which limited the possibilities to decide individual time in each specific form of housing. However, 1355/1727 (79%) of the patients were in the same form of housing during the whole study period, until death or from first enrolment until the end of the study period. The exact pattern of changes between forms of housing for the remaining 372 patients is not known. The most realistic scenario is probably that virtually no patients are transferred from NH to HCNS, but the opposite transfer is more frequent. A potential bias is introduced when emergency

hospitalisations during the entire study period are referred to the NH status of the patient. Therefore, we decided to classify 372 patients as “unspecified housing”.

The patient data system at the university hospital, Prodstat, only provided vital status for patients who had an outpatient or inpatient visit in specialist care during 2015 or 2016. Vital status for the remaining patients was evaluated through Medrave with less precision in the dates of deaths.

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19 Conclusion

Patients at home care nursing services and nursing homes receiving an extended annual medical review were less likely to experience an emergency admission to hospital. This was investigated in a logistic regression model adjusted for age, sex, enrolment to palliative care, comorbidity index and form of housing. This result was statistically significant.

We also observed a tendency towards a higher proportion of patients receiving an extended annual medical review when primary health care centres assign more physicians´ time to the patients in home care nursing services and nursing homes.

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20 Acknowledgements

I would like to express my very great appreciation to my supervisor Per-Ola Sundin for his valuable and constructive suggestions during the planning and development of this quality project. His willingness to give his time so generously has been very much appreciated. I would also like to thank my supervisor professor Scott Montgomery for valuable input regarding study design and interpretation. Many other persons also listed below are thanked for their contribution to the progression and carrying through of this project:

Per-Ola Sundin, supervisor, specialist of General Medicine and Nephrology, PhD student at Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Region Örebro län

Scott Montgomery, professor, Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Region Örebro län

Jan Rosengren, production controller, centre for health-and healthcare, Region Örebro län Ann-Kersti Strandell, data output coordinator, Region Örebro län

Daniel Vinberg, Development manager, Medrave Software AB Daniel Paulsson, System technician, Medrave Software AB

Ulrika Andersson, Malin Brolin, Kristina Ellmén, Ann-Christina Stark-Engvall, Ann-Christin Granander, Jeanette Günther, Annsofi Jansson, Eva-Britt Jansson, Katrina Semb and Åsa Tagesson, all PHCC-managers, Region Örebro län.

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24 Appendices

Appendix A, Survey questionnaire to PHCC managers

Avsatt läkarresurs HSV och SÄBO, projektenkät

Vårdcentral :

2015 2016

Avsatt läkartid (genomsnittlig tid timmar/vecka)

hemsjukvård : tim/v tim/v

Hur stor andel av denna tid uppskattar du ha fullgjorts

av hyrläkare : % %

Avsatt läkartid (genomsnittlig tid timmar/vecka) SÄBO

: tim/v tim/v

Hur stor andel av denna tid uppskattar du ha fullgjorts

av hyrläkare : % %

Antal läkartjänster totalt på vårdcentralen :

Antal vakanta läkartjänster i genomsnitt :

Antal hyrläkare i tjänst i genomsnitt :

I vår databassökning har vi sett att olika vårdcentraler kodar olika stor andel av genomförda

läkemedelsgenomgångar, som fördjupad, förenklad eller bara läkemedelsgenomgång. Skillnad mellan fördjupad och förenklad läkemedelsgenomgång är ju distinkt, men den typ av läkemedelsgenomgång som inte är specificerad behöver vi hantera på ett klokt sätt. Finns det någon rutin kring detta på Er vårdcentral, som vi borde känna till?

Jag, i egenskap av vårdcentralschef, vill också tillägga (vårdcentralsspecifikt relaterat till SÄBO och Hemsjukvård).

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25

Appendix B, Table 3 Patient characteristics for the included primary health care centres.

PHCC A (n=278) B (n=164) C (n=106) D (n=109) E (n=178) F (n=351) G (n=119) H (n=367) I (n=55) Total (n=1727) EAMR 137 (49.3%) 56 (34.1%) 34 (32.1%) 29 (26.6%) 47 (26.4%) 79 (22.5%) 20 (16.8%) 21 (5.7%) 0 (0.0%) 423 (24.5%) EAMR/patient 0.49 0.34 0.32 0.27 0.26 0.23 0.17 0.06 0.00 0.25

Physician time/patient (min/week) 11 8 - 9 - 6 9 3 7 7

Emergency admittance 114 (41.0%) 65 (39.6%) 34 (32.1%) 45 (41.3%) 58 (32.6%) 130 (37.0%) 44 (37.0%) 178 (48.5%) 31 (56.4%) 706 (40.4%) Deaths 50 (18.0%) 46 (28.0%) 28 (26.4%) 18 (16.5%) 35 (19.7%) 81 (23.1%) 24 (20.2%) 78 (21.3%) 6 (10.9%) 372 (21.3%) Sex Male 106 (38.1%) 58 (35.4%) 40 (37.7%) 30 (27.5%) 53 (29.8%) 110 (31.3%) 47 (39.5%) 127 (34.6%) 24 (43.6%) 601 (34.4%) Female 172 (61.9%) 106 (64.6%) 66 (62.3%) 79 (72.5%) 125 (70.2%) 241 (68.7%) 72 (60.5%) 240 (65.4%) 31 (56.4%) 1147 (65.6%) Age 65-74 23 (8.3%) 17 (10.4%) 8 (7.5%) 13 (11.9%) 24 (13.5%) 27 (7.7%) 8 (6.7%) 46 (12.5%) 11 (20.0%) 178 (10.2%) 75-84 97 (34.9%) 50 (30.5%) 24 (22.6%) 32 (29.4%) 60 (33.7%) 97 (27.6%) 24 (20.2%) 98 (26.7%) 23 (41.8%) 510 (29.2%) 85-89 62 (22.3%) 45 (27.4%) 37 (34.9%) 27 (24.8%) 51 (28.7%) 92 (26.2%) 41 (34.5%) 97 (26.4%) 11 (20.0%) 469 (26.8%) 90- 96 (34.5%) 52 (31.7%) 37 (34.9%) 37 (33.9%) 43 (24.2%) 135 (38.5%) 46 (38.7%) 126 (34.3%) 10 (18.2%) 591 (33.8%) CCI 0-1 138 (49.6%) 75 (45.7%) 25 (23.6%) 60 (55.0%) 93 (52.2%) 159 (45.3%) 72 (60.5%) 185 (50.4%) 28 (50.9%) 842 (48.2%) 2-3 90 (32.4%) 62 (37.8%) 55 (51.9%) 35 (32.1%) 52 (29.2%) 128 (36.5%) 36 (30.3%) 137 (37.3%) 16 (29.1%) 622 (35.6%) 4- 50 (18.0%) 27 (16.5%) 26 (24.5%) 14 (12.8%) 33 (18.5%) 64 (18.2%) 11 (9.2%) 45 (12.3%) 11 (20.0%) 284 (16.2%) Palliative care 52 (18.7%) 45 (27.4%) 52 (49.1%) 27 (24.8%) 42 (23.6%) 105 (29.9%) 18 (15.1%) 76 (20.7%) 9 (16.4%) 430 (24.6%) Prescriptions at baseline 9 (5;12) 9 (6;13) 9 (6;12) 10 (6;13) 9 (6;13) 9 (6;13) 11 (8;13) 8 (5;12) 8 (6;13) 9 (6;13)

Counts for the categorical variables are given as number (percentage). Continuous variables are given as median (P25;P75). Abbreviations: PHCC, Primary health care centre; EAMR, Extended annual medical review; HCNS, Home care nursing services; NH, Nursing home; CCI, Charlson comorbidity index

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26 Cover Letter

May 15´th 2017. Corresponding author: Jonas Damberg

Dear Editor

Please consider our paper ‘Availability of primary care physicians in nursing homes and home care nursing services and associations with emergency care consumption’ for publication.

A broader understanding of how the availability of physicians for patients in home care nursing services and nursing homes influences emergency care consumption is lacking. We believe that the paper will be of interest to readers as it provides new evidence for an association between extended annual medical reviews, taken as an indicator for the

availability of primary care physicians, and emergency admissions. In our opinion, the present results support that a higher proportion of patients in home care nursing services and nursing homes receiving an extended annual medical review will result in a lower risk for emergency admissions. We also observed a pattern of a higher proportion of patients receiving an

extended annual medical review when primary health care centres assign more physicians´ time to the patients in home care nursing services and nursing homes.

Less of not necessary emergency admissions would translate into a higher quality of life for these multi-diseased elderly patients and possibly also reducing costs for health care.

This manuscript describes original work and the results presented in this paper have not been published previously in whole or part, except in abstract form. All authors approved the manuscript and its submission.

Thank you for considering our paper. Yours faithfully

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27 Press release (in Swedish)

Minskad risk för akut inläggning – vikten av fördjupad läkemedelsgenomgång i hemsjukvård och på särskilda boenden.

Det är känt att risken för inneliggande vård på sjukhus, så kallad slutenvård, hos patienter över 65 år ökar dramatiskt om patienten lider av flera kroniska sjukdomar, såsom ofta är fallet för patienter i hemsjukvård och på särskilda vårdboenden för äldre. Dessa patienter har ofta ett komplext vård- och omsorgsbehov. Risken för onödiga sjukhusvistelser ökar till exempel vid brister i läkemedelsbehandlingen eller bristande omhändertagande av diagnoser som skulle kunnat behandlas i öppenvård.

I detta kvalitetsprojekt inom svensk primärvård undersöktes sambandet mellan att en läkare genomför fördjupade läkemedelsgenomgångar för patienter inskrivna i hemsjukvård och särskilda boenden och eventuella akuta inläggningar på sjukhus för dessa patienter. Nio svenska vårdcentraler med medicinskt ansvar för totalt 1727 patienter över 65 år inskrivna i hemsjukvård och särskilda boenden inkluderades i studien. Resultaten från studien visar att risken för akutinläggning är signifikant lägre för patienter som genomgått en fördjupad läkemedelsgenomgång under studieperioden. Undersökningarna visade också att ju mer läkartid vårdcentralerna avsatte till hemsjukvård och särskilda boenden, desto fler patienter fick en fördjupad läkemedelsgenomgång, men detta samband var inte statistiskt säkerställt. Vi tolkar dessa resultat som att de skillnader som finns mellan olika vårdcentraler i

läkarbemanning och förmåga att genomföra fördjupade läkemedelsgenomgångar för dessa patienter också återspeglas i antalet akuta vårdtillfällen på sjukhus.

Sammantaget belyser vårt kvalitetsprojekt betydelsen av den fördjupade

läkemedelsgenomgången som en viktig del i en större strävan att begränsa onödiga akutinläggningar.

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28 Ethical considerations

Elderly patients in home care nursing services and nursing homes are often highly dependent on others, many patients live alone and are to a high extent dependent of nurses and

physicians.

In an emergency, it is of greatest importance to make clear what should be done. Is there a prepared individual action plan where the patients´ and close relatives’ opinions are recorded? If the patients´ wish is to stay at home, it must be respected, if all possible actions are

requested, it must also be respected, this is respect for autonomy.

When the patients´ situation is stable, all that is possible for enhancing the patients´ life must be done. For example, an extended annual medical review and other preventive actions must not be refrained, this is beneficence.

Another aspect of fast action on a patient’s rapid decline is that it also might be a serious risk of being admitted to a hospital. On the other hand, the risk of not being admitted in the same situation must of course be accounted for. It is of importance to conference with the patient, nurses, physicians and relatives about arguments for and against. The main issue here is non-maleficence.

There is always a risk that patients and relatives who cry the loudest get the most service. Therefore, it is important that the national law and local agreements, for example regarding physicians weekly time per patient, extended annual medical reviews and nursing

times/patient are followed. The physicians and nurses have an obligation to treat all people with equality, impartiality and fairness.

References

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