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Abstract [241] Manuscript [3470]

A systematic review of health problems

following tsunamis

____________________________________________________________________________

Version 2

Author: Tina Toufani

School of Medical Sciences Örebro University Örebro, Sweden Degree project, 30 ECTS

January 8 2019

Supervisor: Johan von Schreeb Co-supervisor: Dell Saulnier

Centre for Research on Health Care in Disasters, Global Health – Health Systems and Policy Department of Public Health Sciences Karolinska Institute Stockholm, Sweden

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Abstract

A systematic review of health problems following tsunamis

Introduction: Tsunamis are sudden onset disasters with substantial impact on human health. To

identify the relationship between tsunamis and health problems, the evidence must be systematically reviewed. Through this, health care response can be planned accordingly.

Aim: To identify the health problems following tsunamis in order to guide medical response. Methods and materials: Four databases (Medline, Global Health, Web of Science Core

Collection and Embase) were searched using an inclusive search strategy in September 2018. The inclusion criteria were published, peer-reviewed articles on morbidity with data from medical health facilities following tsunamis, where a control or comparison group was used to analyze the tsunami outcome. Studies on mental health problems were excluded. The studies were analyzed through narrative synthesis.

Results: Eleven articles were included in the review. There was an increase in non-traumatic

conditions reported in the immediate aftermath of tsunamis. Long-term health problems on the tsunami-affected population were seen up to three years after a tsunami. There is a lack of high-quality articles on health problems after tsunamis.

Conclusions: Medical response should prepare for trauma and non-trauma care shortly after a

tsunami and expect an increase in certain health problems several years post-tsunami. Existing, high-quality research is limited, and this review could not capture all tsunami-related health problems. Future studies that identify available evidence on health care needs after tsunamis should consider using scoping reviews to cover a broader base of literature.

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Abbreviations

ACS - Acute coronary syndrome

ADHF – Acute decompensated heart failure AMI - Acute myocardial infarction

BG – Blood glucose CI - Confidence interval

CRED - Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters DBP – Diastolic blood pressure

EM-DAT - CRED’s emergency events database EF – Ejection fraction

ICD-10 – International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems 10th

Revision. OR - Odds ratio RR – Relative risk

SBP – Systolic blood pressure SIR – Standardized incidence ratio SOD - Sudden onset disaster

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Introduction

A tsunami is a high-intensity wave caused by the displacement of large amounts of water, that may be triggered by earthquakes, volcanic eruptions or landslides [1]. Tsunamis are the deadliest kind of sudden onset disaster (SOD) [2,3]. A total of 56 tsunamis has in the last 22 years killed over 400 000 and affected millions [1,3]. During the last six months of 2018, three tsunamis have struck Indonesia in Lombok (August), Celebas Islands (September) and Sumatra and Java (December), killing more than 4000 people and affect more than 800 000 [1,4]. Tsunamis are not only a threat to human health, but physically damage infrastructure, property and communications [5–7]. Beyond the direct effect of tsunamis on health, such as injuries from being struck with debris or aspiration of water [6,8,9], the damage caused to society’s functioning can through indirect causes significantly harm health. For example, poor sanitation may lead to water-borne gastrointestinal illness and destruction of health service infrastructure can worsen non communicable diseases [6,7].

To improve disaster preparedness for effective response is one of the priorities towards reducing future disaster risks. A contributing factor to reach that goal is to prepare appropriately for the expected health problems following tsunamis [10]. Some countries affected by the Indian Ocean Tsunami 2004 had insufficient preparations to handle large number of casualties presenting with injuries and other conditions [11]. After the tsunami in Japan 2011, medical relief teams were not prepared for patients’ worsening of pre-existing chronic conditions and loss of medication [12,13]. Data on health care needs following tsunamis are limited [8,14], why it is important to review the existing evidence on health problems in order to guide medical care.

The expected health care needs must be known to make medical response tailored for future tsunamis [10]. An evidence-based, expected medical response is essential to be able to provide adequate and appropriate medical care for expected health needs [5]. It has been proposed that to systematically collect the already existing evidence is necessary to further incorporate evidence into disaster management practice [15]. To date, there are no systematic reviews on expected health care needs after tsunamis.

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Aim

The aim of this study is to identify the health problems following tsunamis in order to provide guidance for medical response. The research question is: What health problems are reported at medical facilities following a tsunami and to what extent?

Materials and methods

The study is a systematic review of research articles about health problems presenting at health facilities after tsunamis. Though systematic reviews are not designed to study outcome of different study designs, it is a more structured approach with less risk of selection bias of studies, which is why it was chosen as study design instead of a scoping review. The study was executed according to PRISMA guidelines [16]. The search strategy was modified from a strategy originally developed with librarians from Karolinska Institute for a previous systematic review about health effects after earthquakes. For this particular study, the search words were adjusted for tsunamis (Appendix 1). The search was conducted in the Medline, EMBASE, Web of Science Core Collection and Global Health data bases in September 2018. The date range for the search was January 1, 1980 to September 12, 2018.

Studies were included if they were original peer-reviewed journal articles published in English that identified an effect on human health after a tsunami (Table 1). The definition of a health problem was a state related to the physical condition that is harmful or unwelcome and could lead to bad health, morbidity, or mortality [17]. Tsunamis were identified as disasters using CRED’s definition of a disaster: an event that resulted in more than 10 deaths, affected more than 100 people, required in a call for international assistance, or resulted in a declaration of a state of emergency [18]; tsunamis in the included articles were compared to in the events registered in CRED’s Emergency Events Database (EM-DAT) to check if they were a disaster. Analytic studies were chosen as an eligibility criteria because they contain at least one comparison group in their analysis, and thereby evaluate what health problems were correlated with the tsunami and not part of the normal burden of disease. Exclusion criteria were chosen to simplify finding evidence-based correlations between the most recent tsunamis and reported human health problems. Mental health problems were excluded to limit the scope of the review and to specify the aim to guide medical response. Table 1 present the full eligibility criteria.

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Table 1. Eligibility criteria for articles included in the review.

Inclusion criteria Exclusion criteria

Peer-reviewed journal article Article published before 1980

Article written in English The aim of the study is to identify risk factors Following a tsunami that meets the definition of a

disaster

A study population of responders, rescue workers or healthcare providers

Data from medical treatment facility The outcome is about psychosocial problems or mental health

An analytic study of morbidity A study of interventions or evaluations of procedures

The outcome is a clearly defined health problem The article being a systematic review, abstract, conference proceeding, opinion, comment, letter to editor

Animal studies

1756 articles were identified from the search (Figure 1). Articles were screened first by title, then abstract, and finally read in full text to determine eligibility. After exclusion, 11 articles met the eligibility criteria and were included. Three authors were contacted by email to request full texts of articles that could not be accessed online during screening; all three articles were excluded after no response from the authors. The extracted data was written in a spreadsheet and included location and date of the tsunami along with study design, study time frame, type of medical health facility, sample size, study population, comparison of different types of groups and key outcomes. Information was grouped by type of health effects and health problems over time. The results were grouped by traumatic or non-traumatic conditions according to International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems version 10 (ICD-10) [19].

Data analysis was conducted by using narrative synthesis due to the heterogeneity of the study designs and outcomes [20].

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Figure 1. Flowchart of the review process for eligibility from the initial search to included articles.

Ethical considerations

No ethical consent was required due to no direct human participation in the study. The ethical criteria were fulfilled for each article according to the journal’s regulations since all included studies were published peer-reviewed articles.

Results

Eleven articles met the inclusion criteria and were included in the final analysis (Appendix 2). Nine articles were retrospective observational cohort studies, two studies were cross-sectional studies. Eight articles studied the Great East Japan earthquake and tsunami in 2011, which made it the most investigated tsunami in this review. Three articles studied the Indian Ocean Tsunami 2004, of which two articles reported from Sri Lanka and one from Indonesia. Three articles reported on traumatic conditions and nine articles on non-traumatic conditions (Table 2). One

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article used ICD-10 grouping, which made it impossible to categorize health problems as either traumatic or non-traumatic, and was thereby grouped as uncategorized conditions.

Table 2. All reported health problems, by traumatic, non-traumatic or uncategorized conditions

(according to ICD-10) with their direction of change after a tsunami. Number of articles that described a certain group of health problem is quantified in the right column. Different health problems stated by the same article were counted separately.

Group Subgroup Reported health problems Changes of health problems (increase (↑), decrease (↓), no difference (-)) Time of reported health problem post-tsunami Stated (n) number of times Traumatic conditions Injuries Injuries/trauma (overall)

Injuries and other consequences of external causes (S, T) ↑ Same day 1 week n=3 [21–23] Injury to lower extremity Injury to upper

extremity ↑ Same day Injury to head and

neck Drowning Non-traumatic conditions Infectious conditions Infectious diseases (overall), Infectious diseases (A, B)* ↓ - - , ↑ Same day 1 week 1 month n=4 [21,22,24] Pneumonia 1 month Pulmonary tuberculosis ↑ 1 year Wound infection - 1 month

Cardiac events Cardiac events (overall) 3 weeks n=4 [25–28] Acute decompensated heart failure ↑ 1-3 years Acute coronary syndrome Fatal MI Non-fatal MI - 1-3 years Changes in metabolic variables BMI - ↓ 1 week 4 months n=2 [29,30] Waist circumference - 1 week HbA1c, BG ↑ 1 week 4 months Cholesterol levels 1 week Blood pressure ↑

- , ↓

1 week 4 months

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Other chronic diseases Hypertension, diabetes, acute manifestations of chronic diseases like kidney stones, asthma attacks etc.

↑ 17 days n=1 [23] Other acute diseases Upper respiratory

tract infections etc. - 17 days [23] n=1

Symptoms Overall health - n=1 [31] Coughing Generally unwell

Stomach ache ↑ 2 years Head ache General ache Diarrhea - Uncategorized conditions ICD-10 groups Cancer, blood, endocrine (C, D, E)* n=2 [21,22] Circulatory (I)* Respiratory (J)*

Digestive (K)* ↓ Same day Skin and subcutaneous (L)* Musculoskeletal (M)* Genitourinary (N)* ↓ ↑ Same day 1 month *= Capital letters in parenthesis are the code range of each chapter in ICD.

Traumatic conditions

A total of three articles reported health problems related to trauma or injury. A local hospital in Sri Lanka showed a significant increase in admissions of overall injuries and other external causes after the tsunami in 2004, from an average of 20% of admissions one month pre-tsunami to 89% of admissions at the day of the tsunami (p<0.001) and 35% during the first week post-tsunami. The rate of specific injuries (lower extremity [p<0.001], upper extremity [p<0.001], head and neck injuries [p<0.01]) also rose significantly on the day of the tsunami. 92 patients were admitted for drowning or non-fatal submersion on the day of the tsunami (p<0.001) followed by an average of 14 patients per day one week after [25–28]. At a university hospital in a tsunami-affected area in Japan, a significant increase of rate of injury was reported with 7.7 injuries per 100 000 population one month after the tsunami compared to 4.2 per 100 000 the year before (p<0.0001) [22]. One study from a hospital in Banda Aceh, Indonesia compared the distribution of acute and chronic diseases during the first 17 days post-tsunami and presented that 9.8% of all admissions were trauma [23].

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Non-traumatic conditions

Infectious diseases

There is no clear indication that infectious diseases either increase or decrease after tsunamis in the included studies. After the tsunami in Sri Lanka 2004, a significant decrease in admissions of infectious diseases on the day of the tsunami was seen (p<0.001), but there was no significant difference one week up to three months following the tsunami [21]. A significant increase in rate of hospitalized patients with infectious diseases was reported at a university hospital in Japan 2011 one month after the tsunami (147 patients, 8.18 per 100 000 population) compared to a year before (66 patients, 4.47 per 100 000 population, p<0.0001) with a peak at two weeks post-tsunami. The rates of different infectious diseases did not significantly differ between 2011 and 2010 [22].

The largest patient group among the infectious diseases at a hospital in Sri Lanka was respiratory infections (88 of 147 patients), with 75% of which were pneumonia.No differences were observed in pathogens isolated from pneumonia sputum cultures pre- and post-tsunami, but urinary antigen assays after the tsunami were positive for S. pneumoniae or L.pneumophila, which had not been seen in the previous year. There was no significant increase of wound infection [22].

A study from a cardiovascular and respiratory center in Japan retrospectively examined pulmonary tuberculosis patients one year after the tsunami. Patients who were exposed to the tsunami were significantly more likely to need oxygenation due to respiratory failure on admission (OR 5.0, 95% CI, 1.68-14.85) and have significantly lower serum albumin levels on admission (p=0.034) than those who were not exposed. Oxygenation requirement (OR: 4.3, 95% CI 1.47-12.89) and low serum albumin levels (OR: 11.1, 95% CI 2.97-72.32) on admission were most likely to be seen in the patients who died within a year [24].

Cardiac events

During the first three weeks in a Japanese emergency center after the tsunami, the number of acute coronary syndromes (ACS) increased in both inland and coastal areas compared to 2010 and 2009, but there was no significant difference in the number of ACS’s between the areas [25]. There was an increase in numbers of cardiac events in 16 referral hospitals in Iwate prefecture, Japan, in both low- and high-impact zones (according to degree of tsunami damage) compared to the two pre-tsunami years. The standardized incidence ratio (SIR) for nonfatal

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myocardial infarction (MI) did not change significantly in either zone in 2011-2014. The SIR for fatal MI in the high-impact zone increased significantly in the disaster year (OR 1.80, 95% CI: 1.32-2.28) and remained high for three years (2012 OR: 2.06, 95% CI: 1.55-2.57; 2013 OR: 1.99, 95% CI: 1.49-2.48; 2014 OR: 2.12, 95% CI: 1.62-2.63). This overall elevation of SIR was significantly correlated with the extent of tsunami inundation (p<0.001) [26].

Two studies from 14 and 16 hospitals in the Iwate prefecture in Japan studied heart failure (HF) eight weeks to three years after the tsunami [27,28]. No significant change in new-onset cases of acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) was found eight weeks post-tsunami compared to corresponding periods in 2010 and 2009. The number of cases of ADHF increased significantly in the tsunami area (relative risk(RR): 1.97, 95% CI: 1.50-2.59), whereas no change was seen in non-tsunami areas [27]. High-impact zones had a significant increase in SIR for HF in 2011 (SIR:1.67, 95% CI: 1.45-1.88) and also three years following the tsunami (2012 SIR: 1.2, 95% CI: 1.06-1.43; 2013 SIR: 1.38, 95% CI: 1.18-1.57; 2014 SIR: 1.55, 95% CI: 1.35-1.75), in contrast to the low-impact area where SIR did not increase [28].

Metabolic variables

Two studies from Japan reported on changes in metabolic variables, one from a health screening program for evacuees from tsunami- and radiation affected areas living in temporary houses one week after the disaster [29] and one was from a local hospital that studied diabetic patients from areas hit by the tsunami (tsunami group) and not (non-tsunami group), that returned to the clinic four months post-tsunami [30]. No significant difference in BMI or waist circumference was seen pre- and post-tsunami. When comparing tsunami- and radiation affected areas, those exposed to the tsunami had significantly less of an increase in waist circumference compared to the radiation group (p=0.03) [29]. Four months post-tsunami, a significant decrease in BMI was measured in the tsunami affected population compared to before [30].

Among evacuees living in temporary house, a significantly higher proportion of subjects affected by the tsunami had high level of HbA1c after the disaster than before (34,3% vs 14.8%, p<0.001), and had a significantly higher HDL cholesterol levels compared to before the disaster (p=0.02) [29]. Diabetic patients, from a tsunami affected area, that returned to a clinic four months after the tsunami showed significantly higher values of HbA1c (p<0.01) and blood glucose (BG) (p<0.05) compared to before the disaster, and a significant decrease in use of anti-hyperglycaemic drugs (except alfa-glucosidase inhibitors) compared to the non-tsunami group (p<0.001). Tsunami exposure was shown as an independent risk factor for rise in HbA1c [30].

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Four months post-tsunami, diabetic patients affected by the tsunami showed a significant increase in systolic blood pressure (SBP) (p<0.01) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) (p<0.01) compared to before the tsunami and to the unaffected group (SBP=p<0.01, DBP= p<0.05); the use of anti-hypertensive drugs was significantly lower in the same group (p<0.001) [30]. Among tsunami and radiation evacueesliving in temporary houses one week after the tsunami, no significant difference in SBP in the tsunami group was shown. The tsunami group had significantly lower DBP in comparison to the radiation group (p<0.002), and a lower increase in SBP (p=0.03) [29].

Other chronic and acute diseases

A study on all patients admitted to an international relief organization hospital in the 17 days post-tsunami in Indonesia found that 43.5% of all cases were chronic diseases. The odds for chronic diseases increased by 16.4% per day during the first week (95% CI: 7.8-25.6%) and thereafter decreased on average by 13.1% (95% CI: 6.6-19.1) per day [23].

Symptoms

One study compared the health of people living in transitional camps with permanent housing projects two years after the tsunami in Sri Lanka through medical clinics in the area. There were no significant differences in overall health scores and symptom prevalence between the groups compared to pre-tsunami period, however the people in the camps rated their post-tsunami health significantly lower than those from housing projects (male: p=0.005, female: p=0.001). The prevalence of all reported symptoms (coughing, stomach ache, headache, general ache/pain) was significantly higher in the camps (all p<0.01). To live in a transitional camp was found to be a significant risk factor for coughing (OR:3.53, 95% CI: 2.11-5.89), stomach ache (OR: 4.82, 95% CI: 2.19-10.82), head ache (OR: 5.20, 95% CI: 3.09-8.76), general ache/pain (OR: 6.44, 95% CI: 3.67-11.33) and feeling generally unwell (OR: 2.28, 95% CI: 2.51-7.29) [31].

Uncategorized conditions

ICD-10 groups

A local hospital in Sri Lanka studied the pattern of hospitalizations one week and three months after the tsunami. The proportion of admitted patients for all ICD-10 groups was significantly lower on the day of the tsunami compared to the month before (cancer, blood and endocrine, circulatory, digestive, skin and subcutaneous, musculoskeletal, genitourinary p<0.001;

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respiratory: p<0.05) [21]. Another study showed a significant increase of rate of disease of genitourinary system one month after the tsunami (7.1 patients compared to 3.1 patients per 100 000 population, p<0.0001), where more than 90% of the patients were hospitalized for hemodialysis [22].

Discussion

This study systematically reviewed 11 health facility based studies on health problems following tsunamis, in order to provide guidance for medical response. One main finding of the study is that there is an increase in non-traumatic conditions immediately after a tsunami. Previously, there has been a general assumption that trauma should be first care priority post-tsunami [5]. While the included articles about non-traumatic conditions used disparate study designs, outcomes, and population, taken together they elucidate non-trauma health care as a necessity as important as trauma care. The finding from this review supports the earlier proposal that health care after tsunamis should address both urgent disaster-related care and basic primary care [32], and future studies would benefit from further examining the relationship between traumatic and non-traumatic health care needs post-tsunamis. However, the reporting bias in the included studies must be considered. Facility based studies are likely to have both under- and over-reporting of different health problems, depending on the type and severity of the health problem, which lead to outcome reporting bias [33,34]. Health problems can be unrecorded in health facilities after tsunamis due to patients not seeking medical care, which contributes to an underestimation of human health impact. A higher number of included articles about specific non-traumatic conditions does not confirm that they are a greater problem than injuries, just that more articles on non-traumatic conditions have been published.

A second finding is the long-term health problems identified by this review. They demonstrate how tsunamis have affected small patient groups [24] and bigger populations several years after [26,28], thereby medical response needs to consider possible long-term health effects. However, the studies on long-term, somatic health problems are few [35], specially from low- middle income countries as seen in this review. Since low- middle income countries have the most occurrences of tsunamis [3], emphasis should be put on how to improve the medical response in a long-term manner in their environment to establish a scientific, medical response[32].

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A third finding is the lack of high-quality articles on health care needs after tsunamis. Limited availability of peer-reviewed, analytic articles on the subject is known since it is difficult to collect quality data in the acute phase of following disasters [8], and because tsunamis are rare events [1]. The studies in this review are not representative of all health problems reported after tsunamis. For example, disease profiles like “tsunami lung” or high numbers of wound infections were not included in this review’s results, but have been presented as significant in descriptive studies [8,36–38]. While analytic studies are necessary to establish a relationship between the tsunami and its outcome, it may be misleading to draw conclusions built on analytic articles alone from systematic reviews [39]. In order to identify as many potential health problems as possible, a broader information spectra is needed. Scoping reviews incorporate grey literature into their methods and are a useful tool for answering broad [40]. Due to the difficulty of improving the conditions for producing high-quality research after disasters, a scoping review approach should be considered for assessing the general understanding of the health care needs after tsunamis.

Comparing health problems seen after different types of SODs can help identify what health care needs should be expected and provide a more accurate medical response. Traumatic conditions in this review were significantly increased, but should be put into perspective. Powerful earthquakes can have an injury to death ratio around 3:1 [2]. On the contrary, tsunamis’ death to injury ratio is around 3:1 compared to other natural disasters [1,41]. Yet, trauma care is often believed to be the main health problem after tsunamis [5]. Injuries should be a priority for healthcare services after tsunamis and must be handled with sufficient capacity [42], but should not be overestimated [43]. Distinctions of the type and expected proportion of injuries should be considered when planning medical response to tsunamis.

Strengths and limitations

The included articles were all peer-reviewed studies from all major tsunamis of the last twenty years, and it is a strength that this review has gathered evidence-based information on health care needs after these significant tsunamis. Only three publications from the 2004 Southeast Asia tsunami were included, which is noteworthy since it killed over 200 000 and likely caused significant health problems [1]. By including only analytic studies the review was able to show associations between the tsunamis and the outcomes. While it was not suitable to do a meta-analysis due to different study designs, the significant increases and decreases from the articles still give an indication of how tsunamis affect health.

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The study had only one reviewer in the screening process, eligibility assessment and data extraction, which preferably should be executed by at least two reviewers to reduce bias. However, the supervisor and co-supervisor were consulted continuously during the process of selecting articles and extracting information from them.

This review focuses on identifying health problems associated specifically to tsunamis in order to guide medical response. There is difficulty assessing health problems of one disaster if it occurs simultaneously or closely follows another disaster, for example where both an earthquake and a tsunami hit Japan 2011. The articles from Japan in this review clearly separated areas most affected by the tsunami from those affected by the earthquake, yet there is likely overlap between the health problems brought on by each disaster.

Some included studies used an unclear disease classification which made distinguishing specific health problems difficult, like the usage of a broad classification system (ICD-10 groups) or unexplained expressions (“acute and chronic diseases”).

Conclusions

This systematic review on health problems after tsunamis shows an increase in non-traumatic conditions in the immediate aftermath and long-term effects on human health up to three years after a tsunami. Medical response should prepare for trauma and non-trauma care shortly after a tsunami and expect an increase in certain health problems several years post-tsunami. Existing, high-quality research is limited, and this review could not capture all tsunami-related health care needs. Future studies that identify available evidence on health care needs after tsunamis should consider using scoping reviews to cover a broader base of literature.

Acknowledgements

I would like to thank Dell Saulnier, my co-supervisor, for her great assistance during the data collection, writing process and for overall guidance throughout the whole semester. I would also like to extend my gratitude to my supervisor Johan von Schreeb’s supervision which has given me valuable advice and a special insight in the work field.

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28. Nakamura M, Tanaka F, Komi R, Tanaka K, Onodera M, Kawakami M, et al. Sustained Increase in the Incidence of Acute Decompensated Heart Failure After the 2011 Japan Earthquake and Tsunami. Am J Cardiol. 2016;118(9):1374–9.

29. Tsubokura M, Takita M, Matsumura T, Hara K, Tanimoto T, Kobayashi K, et al. Changes in metabolic profiles after the Great East Japan Earthquake: a retrospective observational study. Bmc Public Health. 2013 Mar 23;13:267.

30. Ogawa S, Ishiki M, Nako K, Okamura M, Senda M, Sakamoto T, et al. Effects of the Great East Japan Earthquake and huge tsunami on glycaemic control and blood pressure in patients with diabetes mellitus. BMJ Open. 2012;2(2):e000830.

31. Turner A., Pathirana S., Daley A., Gill P.S. Sri Lankan tsunami refugees: A cross sectional study of the relationships between housing conditions and self-reported health. BMC Int Health Hum Rights [Internet]. 2009;9(1). Available from:

http://www.embase.com/search/results?subaction=viewrecord&from=export&id=L3551 52622

32. Redwood-Campbell LJ, Riddez L. Post-tsunami medical care: health problems

encountered in the International Committee of the Red Cross Hospital in Banda Aceh, Indonesia. Prehospital Disaster Med. 2006;21(1):s1-7.

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36. Johnson LJ, Travis AR. Trimodal death and the injuries of survivors in Krabi Province, Thailand, post-tsunami. ANZ J Surg. 2006 May;76(5):288–9.

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patients after natural disasters: lessons learned from the 2004 tsunami for hospital infection control. J Hosp Infect. 2008;68(1):1–8.

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Appendix I

Documentation of search strategies

1. Medline

Interface: Ovid

Date of Search: 13 September 2018 Number of hits: 371

Comment: In Ovid, two or more words are automatically searched as phrases; i.e. no quotation marks are needed

Field labels

• exp/ = exploded MeSH term • / = non exploded MeSH term

• .ti,ab,kf. = title, abstract and author keywords • adjx = within x words, regardless of order • * = truncation of word for alternate endings

1. Tsunamis/

2. (tsunami* or tidal wave* or seismic*).ti,ab,kf. 3. or/1-2

4. exp Health Facilities/

5. (clinic or clinics or hospital*).ti,ab,kf.

6. ((emergenc* or ambulat*) adj3 (department* or care or facilit*)).ti,ab,kf. 7. ((primary or tertiary or medical) adj3 (care or center*)).ti,ab,kf.

8. ((health or trauma) adj3 (facilit* or unit* or center*)).ti,ab,kf. 9. or/4-8

10. 3 and 9

11. remove duplicates from 10 12. limit 11 to english language 13. limit 12 to yr="1980 -Current"

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2. Embase

Interface: embase.com

Date of Search: 13 September 2018 Number of hits: 575

Comment: Emtree is the controlled vocabulary in Embase

Field labels

• /exp = exploded Emtree term • /de = non exploded Emtree term • ti,ab = title and abstract

• NEAR/x = within x words, regardless of order • * = truncation of word for alternate endings

((('tsunami'/de) OR (tsunami*:ti,ab,kw OR ‘tidal wave*’:ti,ab,kw OR seismic*:ti,ab,kw))) AND

(('health care facility'/exp) OR (clinic:ti,ab,kw OR clinics:ti,ab,kw OR hospital*:ti,ab,kw)) OR (((emergenc* OR ambulat*) NEAR/3 (department* OR care OR facilit*)):ti,ab,kw) OR (((primary OR tertiary OR medical) NEAR/3 (care OR center*)):ti,ab,kw) OR (((health OR trauma) NEAR/3 (facilit* OR unit* OR center*)):ti,ab,kw)

AND

(1980:py OR 1981:py OR 1982:py OR 1983:py OR 1985:py OR 1986:py OR 1987:py OR 1988:py OR 1989:py OR 1990:py OR 1991:py OR 1992:py OR 1993:py OR 1994:py OR 1995:py OR 1996:py OR 1997:py OR 1998:py OR 1999:py OR 2000:py OR 2001:py OR 2002:py OR 2003:py OR 2004:py OR 2005:py OR 2006:py OR 2007:py OR 2008:py OR 2009:py OR 2010:py OR 2011:py OR 2012:py OR 2013:py OR 2014:py OR 2015:py OR 2016:py OR 2017:py OR 2018:py)

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3. Web of Science Core Collection

Interface: Clarivate Analytics Date of Search: 13 September 2018 Number of hits: 706

Field labels

• TS/Topic = title, abstract, author keywords and Keywords Plus • NEAR/x = within x words, regardless of order

• * = truncation of word for alternate endings

TS=(tsunami* OR ‘tidal wave*’ OR seismic) AND

TS=(clinic OR clinics OR hospital) OR TS=((emergenc* OR ambulat*) NEAR/3 (department* OR care OR facilit*)) OR TS=((primary OR tertiary OR medical) NEAR/3 (care OR center*)) OR TS=((health OR trauma) NEAR/3 (facilit* OR unit* OR center*))

Refined by: PUBLICATION YEARS: ( 1980 TO 2018 ) AND LANGUAGES: ( ENGLISH ) Indexes=SCI-EXPANDED, SSCI, A&HCI, CPCI-S, CPCI-SSH, ESCI Timespan=All years

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4. Global Health

Interface: Ovid

Date of Search: 13 September 2018 Number of hits: 104

Comment: In Ovid, two or more words are automatically searched as phrases; i.e. no quotation marks are needed

Field labels

• exp/ = exploded controlled term • / = non exploded controlled term • .ti,ab,hw. = title, abstract and keywords • adjx = within x words, regardless of order • * = truncation of word for alternate endings

1. Tsunamis/

2. (tsunami* or tidal wave* or seismic*).ti,ab,hw. 3. or/1-2

4. exp Hospitals/ 5. exp Health Centres/

6. (clinic or clinics or hospital*).ti,ab,hw.

7. ((emergenc* or ambulat*) adj3 (department* or care or facilit*)).ti,ab,hw. 8. ((primary or tertiary or medical) adj3 (care or center*)).ti,ab,hw.

9. ((health or trauma) adj3 (facilit* or unit* or center*)).ti,ab,hw. 10. or/4-9

11. 3 and 10

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Appendix II

Table of the included articles. Main characteristics and outcomes assessed by the eleven included on

tsunami-related health problems in the review.

Reference Country, Date of the Tsunami

Medical Treatment

Facility Objective Study Period

Study

Population Summary of Significant Results for Tsunami Areas

Ostbye et al. 2008 Sri Lanka, December 26th 2004 A local teaching hospital To examine the pattern of hospitalizations after the tsunami

1. 1 month pre-tsunami 2. 1 week post- tsunami 3. 3 months post-tsunami All patients admitted during the study period. (n=3219) Significant increase: 1. Admissions of overall injuries 2. Specific injuries 3. Admissions of drowning Significant decrease: 1. Admissions of infectious diseases, cancer/blood/endocrine, circulatory, respiratory, digestive, skin and

subcutaneous, musculoskeletal.

Aoyagi et

al. 2013 Japan, March 11th 2011

Large university hospital serving coastal areas To survey infectious disease trends in patients admitted to Tohoku University Hospital after the disaster 1. 1 year pre-tsunami 2. 1 month post- tsunami All patients admitted during the study period. (n=1577) and subset of patients with pneumonia (n=71) Significant increase: 1.Rate of injury

2.Rate of infectious diseases 3. Rate of respiratory infections 4.Rate of diseases of

genitourinary system Significant decrease: 1. Serum albumin level in pneumonia patients No significant difference: 1. Rate of different infectious diseases

2. Pathogens isolated from pneumonia sputum cultures 3. Urinary antigen assays 4. Rate of wound infection

Guha-Sapir et al. 2007 Indonesia, December 2004 Field hospital of an international response organization To examine the pattern and distribution of diseases presented in the immediate aftermath of a major catastrophe 1. 17 days (J an 15-Jan 31 2005) All patients admitted during the study period. (n=2390)

Significant increase: 1.Chronic diseases 2.Acute diseases among children

Significant decrease:

1.Trauma/injury among women 2. Trauma/injury among children

3. Acute diseases among women Kanamori et al. 2016 Japan, March 11th 2011 Center for cardiovascula r and respiratory diseases To investigate clinical characteristics and prognosis in tuberculosis patients and the transmission dynamics after the disaster (clinical and molecular epidemiological characteristics) 1. 1 year post- tsunami Pulmonary tuberculosis patients. (n=93) Significant increase: 1.Need of oxygenation at admission Significant decrease: 1. Serum albumin level

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Nozaki et al. 2013 Japan, March 11th 2011 Large district hospital To compare cardiovascular events before the disaster, and examine the heterogeneity of these events after the disaster 1. 1 and 2 years pre-tsunami (2010, 2009) 2. 3 weeks post-tsunami All patients admitted to emergency center. (n=66244), a subset of cardiovascular patients n=3849 and ACS n=19 (2011), 5 (2009), 7 (2009) No significant difference: 1.Number of ACS Nakamura

et al. 2017 Japan, March 11th 2011

Several hospitals in a district (n=16) To investigate the impact of the disaster on the incidence of new-onset nonfatal MI and fatal MI over a 4 year period after the disaster in regions with and without significant damage from the tsunami 1. 2 years pre- tsunami 2. 3 years post-tsunami Patients with cardiac events. (See table in article for number of patients) Significant increase: 1.Number of cardiac events 2.Percentage of fatal MI 3. SIR for fatal MI

No significant difference: 1.SIR for non-fatal MI

Nakamura

et al. 2012 Japan, March 11th 2011

Several hospitals in a district (n=14) To investigate the effects of the tsunami on the onset of ADFH and to determine associated characteristics 1. 12 weeks pre- tsunami 2. 1 and 2 years pre-tsunami (2010, 2009) 3. 8 weeks post- tsunami Patients with acute decompensated heart failure. (n= 97 (2011), 104 (2010, 2009)) Significant increase: 1.Number of cases of ADHF 2.Cases with ADHF with preserved EF

Significant decrease: 1.Duration of hospital stay (19 days to 13 days)

No significant difference: 1.Survival rate

2.New-onset cases

Nakamura

et al. 2016 Japan, March 11th 2011

Several hospitals in a district (n=16) To evaluate the incidence of new onset of heart failure 1. 2 years pre-tsunami 2. 3 years after tsunami post-tsunami Patients with new-onset of acute decompensated heart failure. (See table in article for number of patients) Significant increase: 1.SIR for HF in high-impact area

Significant decrease: 1.Percentage of atrial fibrillation among HF cases No significant difference: 1.SIR for HF in low-impact area

Tsubokura

et al. 2013 Japan, March 11th 2011

Local health screening program

To compare the metabolic status before and after the disaster and to compare evacuees from the coastal area with those from the mountain area. 1. 1 year pre-tsunami (2010) 2. 5 months post-tsunami (duration Sep 19-25 2011) Evacuees living in temporary houses. ((n=200), a subset of n=108 from tsunami area and n=92 from radiation area) Significant increase: 1.Higher value of BMI, waist circumference, HbA1c, low HDL cholesterol levels Significant decrease: 1.Lower DBP compared to radiation group.

No significant difference: 1. In BMI, waist circumference and SBP in tsunami group. Ogawa et al.

2012 Japan, March 11th 2011 Local hospital

To examine the effects of a tsunami on blood pressure control and glycaemic 1. 6 months pre-tsunami 2. 4 months post-tsunami Patients with diabetes that returned to clinic after tsunami. Significant increase: 1.Value of BG, HbA1c, SBP, DBP 2.Percentage changes in BG, HbA1c, SBP, DBP

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control in diabetic patients ((n=63), a subset of n=28 from tsunami group and n=35 from non-tsunami group) Significant decrease: 1. Value of BMI 2. Use of anti-hyperglycemic drugs (except alfa-glucosidase inhibitors) and

anti-hypertensive drugs No significant difference: 1.Value of BMI Turner et al. 2009 Sri Lanka, December 26th 2004 Medical clinics in camps a non-governmental organization To compare the health of the internally displaced people living in tranistional camps with those in permanent housing projects. 1.2 months post- tsunami 2. 2 years post-tsunami People living in transitional camps and permanent housing projects. (n= 303) Significant increase:

1.Prevalence of feeling unwell, cough, stomach ache, headache, general pains and aches in camps

Significant decrease:

1.Rated current health of people in camps

No significant difference: 1.Overall health scores and symptom prevalences between groups

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Cover letter

Stockholm, Sweden, January 02, 2019

Dear Editor of the Disaster Medicine and Public Health Preparedness,

We request to submit an original research article entitled “A systematic review of health problems following tsunamis” for consideration in Disaster Medicine and Public Health Preparedness. This manuscript is not published earlier nor under consideration for publication elsewhere. All authors have approved the final version of the manuscript.

As tsunamis affect human health in various ways, it is important that the medical response given after should be based on evidence. Due to the few peer-reviewed articles on health care needs after tsunamis, we systematically reviewed all published, analytic studies since 1980 in order to provide guidance for medical response. Our conclusions are that medical response should prepare for both trauma and non-trauma care in the immediate aftermath and expect an increase in certain health problems in a tsunami-affected population several years after.

We believe that this manuscript is appropriate for publication because it contributes to provide relevant knowledge on health care needs from many specialities of clinical medicine, on post-tsunami epidemiology and general public health, as requested in your scope. Our manuscript builds an example for future studies on high-quality articles after tsunamis.

We have no conflicts of interest to disclose. Thank you for considering this manuscript.

Sincerely, Tina Toufani School of Medicine

Örebro University, Sweden

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Etisk reflektion

Denna studie krävde inte etiskt godkännande av några patienter, eftersom studien granskade vetenskapliga, publicerade artiklar där de etiska kriterierna redan var godkända av respektive tidskrift. Dock är utförandet av forskning i komplexa, akuta situationer inom katastrofmedicin ett etiskt problem och debatterat ämne på internationell nivå.

Det är av stor vikt att sjukvården som ges efter naturkatastrofer, t.ex. tsunamis, är baserad på vetenskap för att vara precis och effektiv. Det kräver att data samlas i efterförloppet av händelsen som sedan kan redovisas. När data samlas i en kaotisk miljö efterfrågas sällan etiskt godkännande för detta, eftersom omständigheterna inte tillåter det då akutvård prioriteras. När datan ska användas retrospektivt ställs “att-göra-gott”-principen och autonomiprincipen mot varandra. Är det rätt att använda data på patienter där informerat, etiskt godkännande inte finns eller ska man avstå från dataanvändningen eftersom patienten inte varit delaktig i beslutsprocessen?

Även om de allmänna etiska principerna ska upprätthållas av forskningen, så försvåras tillämpningen av dessa i akuta situationer efter tsunamis. Forskning efter en katastrof bedrivs på samma goda grunder för offren och de eventuella framtida offren, som i icke-akuta situationer. Därmed kräver etiska nämnder sällan individuellt etiskt godkännande av patientdatan, då det inte anses tekniskt möjligt. Jag anser att detta undantag från forskningens annars strikta praxis är mycket rimlig. Det är önskvärt att förbättra omständigheterna för att få etiskt godkännande i situationer efter tsunamis.

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Populärvetenskaplig sammanfattning

Tsunami är en typ av naturkatastrof, där en stor våg orsakas av förflyttning av vattnet på grund av en jordbävning, ett vulkanutbrott eller ett jordskrev. När en tsunami drabbar ett samhälle leder det till bl.a. förstörelse av sjukhus och många hälsoproblem hos människor i området. Det är viktigt att man har information om sjukvårdsbehoven efter tsunamis för att kunna vägleda och effektivisera vården som ges till de i behov vid nästa tsunami. I vår studie har vi granskat forskningen på hälsoproblem efter tsunamis.

Vår studie är en systematisk litteraturstudie, vilket innebär att vetenskaplig litteratur har granskats på ett systematiskt sätt efter specifika riktlinjer. Vetenskapliga artiklar om hälsoproblem efter tsunamis identifierades och sållades för att hitta de studierna som passade de kriterierna vi sökt. Totalt elva artiklar inkluderades.

Våra fynd påvisar att sjukvården borde förbereda sig minst lika bra på icke-traumatiska sjukdomstillstånd, t.ex lunginflammation, som traumatiska, t.ex. sårskador. Vi påvisar även att sjukvården borde förvänta sig en ökning av hälsoproblem hos den påverkade befolkningen upp till tre år efter en tsunami. Vetenskapliga artiklar av hög kvalité är få inom detta fält och alla hälsoproblem som kan förväntas fångades inte upp i vår studie. Vi föreslår att framtida studier på området ska överväga att använda sig av en annan metod som ger en bredare kartläggning än en systematisk litteraturstudie.

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