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Energy and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenarios for the Bus Rapid Transit System in Curitiba, Brazil: a well-to-wheel analysis

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KTH ROYAL INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY

Fuel Pathways – Feedstock

References:

[1] URBS – Urbanization of Curitiba S/A. Personal communication 2015.

[2] Argonne National Laboratory (ANL). The Greenhouse gases, Regulated Emissions, and Energy use in Transportation (GREET) model v1.3.0.12749. 2014.

[3] Heaps, C.G., 2012. Long-range Energy

Alternatives Planning (LEAP) system. [Software version 2015.0.19] Stockholm Environment

Institute. Somerville, MA, USA.

www.energycommunity.org

Dennis Dreier 1, *, Semida Silveira 1 , Silvia Mara dos Santos Ramos 2

1

Energy and Climate Studies Unit, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden

2

URBS – Urbanization of Curitiba S/A, Curitiba, Brazil

* Corresponding author (dennis.dreier@energy.kth.se)

Energy and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenarios for the Bus Rapid Transit System in Curitiba, Brazil

Presented at:

Urban Transitions Global Summit 2016

Shanghai, China,

5.–9. September 2016

Decarbonizing the bus fleet in Curitiba

Contact:

Dennis Dreier

Address:

KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Energy and Climate Studies Unit, Brinellvägen 68, SE-100 44

Stockholm, Sweden

Telephone:

+46 (0) 8-790 74 64

E-Mail:

dennis.dreier@energy.kth.se

Website:

www.ecs.kth.se

Energy and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenarios 2030

Conclusions

Methodology

 Energetic and environmental impacts of transport fuels depend strongly on their Well-to-Wheel pathways. The major advantage of biofuels is their exclusively bioenergy based energy content that reduce enormously fossil energy consumption and CO

2

e emissions in the Tank-to-Wheel stage compared to fossil derived transport fuels.

 The BRT system in the city of Curitiba has large potential to become more sustainable by using local renewable resources. A partial electrification of the bus fleet is particular benefical due to the almost entirely electricity generation by hydropower in the case of Curitiba.

 The city of Curitiba is part of the C40 Cities Climate Leadership Group (C40) which includes commitments to promote sustainability. Public bus transport is an area of particular interest to the city.

 The accumulated distance driven by buses in the city’s bus rapid transit system (BRT) was 11.2 million km in 2015. Fuel mix: 80%

petroleum diesel, 20% biodiesel (FAME) [1].

 What impact will alternative fuels and advanced bus

technologies have on the decarbonization of Curitiba’s BRT system?

 Pathways of 13 different transport fuels derived from 9 domestic feedstock were analyzed using the GREET model [2].

 Energy and greenhouse gas emissions scenarios were modelled using the LEAP modelling tool [3].

 Real-world operation data for the BRT system were provided by the local public transport company in Curitiba [1].

 The business as usual (BAU) scenario is compared with potential future scenarios between 2016 and 2030.

DOWNLOAD the poster here:

KTH

Royal Institute of Technology

Department of Energy Technology

Energy and Climate Studies Unit

At present, ECS works with four defined research

themes:

 Bioenergy systems

 Energy for sustainable development

 Energy systems efficiency

 Urban sustainability

www.ecs.kth.se

This research is part of a project aimed at sustainable

technological solutions for the improvement of urban infrastructure in Curitiba in

Brazil, involving Swedish and Brazilian stakeholders.

IN COOPERATION WITH:

 A business as usual track (BAU), i.e.

no changes between 2016 and 2030, will result in an increase of both fossil energy consumption and global warming potential on a 100- year horizon (GWP

100

) by 24%

compared to 2016.

 Increasing biodiesel in the bus

fleet’s fuel mix from currently 20%

(2016) to 40% or 60% (2030) can reduce the GWP

100

by 19% or 37%

compared to BAU, respectively. In combination with a use of 40%

hybrid buses, the GWP

100

can be reduced by 47%.

 Increasing the use of electric buses from 0% (2016) to 20% (2030) in the bus fleet can reduce both fossil

energy consumption and GWP

100

by 33% compared to BAU.

Abbreviations: BD Blend B7 – 7% Biodiesel (FAME) + 93% Petroleum diesel (most consumed fuel in Curitiba), FAME – Fatty acid methyl ester, HVO – Hydrotreated vegetable oil, DME – Dimethyl ether, MSW – Municipal solid waste, LPG – Liquefied petroleum gas, CNG – Compressed natural gas, LNG – Liquefied natural gas. // Co-products: Biodiesel (FAME): Soybean meal, glycerine; Biodiesel (HVO): Soybean meal, fuel gas, heavy oil; Bioethanol: Electricity.

0 10000 20000 30000 40000

New buses to be purchased to meet ridership Current buses in the bus fleet

Many buses in the bus fleet reach their end-of-life and are placed in the reserve bus fleet

The current bus fleet will have been entirely

renewed by

Operating bus fleet (2016):130 buses

2022

WTW global warming potential – 100-year time horizon (gCO

2

e/MJ

fuel

) WTW fossil energy consumption (MJ

fossil

/MJ

fuel

)

 Well-to-Wheel (WTW) fossil energy consumption accounts for all fossil energy consumed in a fuel pathway to produce and supply a fuel, covering all stages from feedstock recovery until refuelling station (Well-to-Tank (WTT)) as well as the fuel use stage (Tank-to-Wheel (TTW)). Functional unit for WTW analysis:

1 MJ of fuel produced and used. The energy content of renewable fuels is exclusively based on bioresources, i.e. no TTW fossil fuel consumption.

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6

Petroleum diesel - Crude oil BD Blend B7 - Crude oil / Soybeans Biodiesel (FAME) - Soybeans (Alloc. mass) Biodiesel (FAME) - Soybeans (Alloc. hybrid) Biodiesel (HVO) - Soybeans (Alloc. mass) Biodiesel (HVO) - Soybeans (Alloc. hybrid) DME - Natural gas Bio-DME - MSW Bio-DME - Manure Bioethanol - Sugarcane (Alloc. energy) LPG - Crude oil LPG - Natural gas CNG - Natural gas Bio-CNG - MSW Bio-CNG - Manure LNG - Natural gas Bio-LNG - MSW Bio-LNG - Manure Electricity - Mix (>99% Hydropower)

C o m p re s s io n i g n it io n S p a rk i g ni ti on El .

TTW WTT

-60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100

Petroleum diesel - Crude oil BD Blend B7 - Crude oil / Soybeans Biodiesel (FAME) - Soybeans (Alloc. mass) Biodiesel (FAME) - Soybeans (Alloc. hybrid) Biodiesel (HVO) - Soybeans (Alloc. mass) Biodiesel (HVO) - Soybeans (Alloc. hybrid) DME - Natural gas Bio-DME - MSW Bio-DME - Manure Bioethanol - Sugarcane (Alloc. energy) LPG - Crude oil LPG - Natural gas CNG - Natural gas Bio-CNG - MSW Bio-CNG - Manure LNG - Natural gas Bio-LNG - MSW Bio-LNG - Manure Electricity - Mix (>99% Hydropower)

C o m p re s s io n i g n it io n S p a rk i g ni ti on El .

WTT TTW WTW

Base year (2016) Business as usual (2030)

40% Biodiesel (2030) 60% Biodiesel (2030)

20% Hybrid buses (2030)

40% Biodiesel + 20% Hybrid buses (2030)

60% Biodiesel + 40% Hybrid buses (2030)

10% Electric buses (2030)

20% Electric buses (2030)

20% Bio-CNG buses (2030)

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400

Target:

Decarbonization of the operating bus fleet in the BRT system in Curitiba

Accumulated passenger- carrying capacity

of the operating bus fleet

WTW fossil energy consumption in the BRT system (TJ/year)

W TW gl o ba l w a rmi n g p ot e nt ia l 100 -y e a r ti me hori zon of t he B R T s y s te m (tCO

2

e/ y ear )

References

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