Risk assessment of chemical mixtures in the aquatic
environment
-
ABSTRACT
1.2.3
3
250 50 10075 125150 175
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Million Tonnes
Significant Acute Effects Significant Chronic Effects Severe Chronic Effects Chronic Effects
Moderate Chronic Effects
4
𝑃𝑁𝐸𝐶 =min(𝐸𝑓𝑓𝑒𝑐𝑡𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛) 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑠𝑠𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡𝐹𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑜𝑟
1.2.3
𝑅𝐴𝐶 =𝐸𝑓𝑓𝑒𝑐𝑡𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑠𝑠𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡𝐹𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑜𝑟
𝑃𝑁𝐸𝐶 = 𝐻𝐶05(50%𝑐.𝑖.) 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑠𝑠𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡𝐹𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑜𝑟
0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00
0.001 0.01 0.1 1
Rank
µmol/L
𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘Quotient =𝐸𝑛𝑣𝑖𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑎𝑙𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝐸𝑛𝑣𝑖𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑎𝑙𝑇ℎ𝑟𝑒𝑠ℎ𝑜𝑙𝑑
𝑅𝑄𝐶𝐴= 𝐸𝐶𝑥𝑐𝑚𝑖𝑥
𝑚𝑖𝑥= ∑ 𝐸𝐶𝑥𝑐𝑖
𝑖
𝑛𝑖=1 = ∑𝑛 𝑇𝑈𝑖 𝑖=1
1
1 n
i Mix
i i
ECx p
ECx
𝐸(𝑐𝑚𝑖𝑥) = 1 − ∏ (1 − 𝐸(𝑐𝑛𝑖=1 𝑖))
𝑅𝑄𝑡𝑜𝑡= ∑ 𝑃𝑁𝐸𝐶𝑃𝐸𝐶𝑖
𝑖 𝑛𝑖
RQtot= PECA
PNECA+ PECB
PNECB= 2 (3500
1000)
+ 2.5 (3500
1000)
= 1.3
RQAlgae= PECA
EC50Algae+ PECB
EC50Algae= 2
12000+ 2.5
3500= 0.0009 RQAI= PECA
EC50AI+ PECB
EC50AI= 2
7000+ 2.5
7000= 0.0006 RQFish= PECA
EC50Fish+ PECB
EC50Fish= 2
3500+ 2.5
12000= 0.0007
RQSTU= max(RQAlgae, RQAI, RQFish) ∗ AF = 0.0009 ∗ 1000 = 0.9
n
i Crustaceens
i
MST EC EC EC
RQ PEC
1 min( 50Algae, 50 , 50Fish)
n i
TUi
MCR RQ
...
1
max
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Response
Concentration
Response 1 Response 2 Response 3
Table 5: The average risk contribution per compound, number of compounds and total estimated risk for the hypothetical mixture defined in table 4 for the worst-case, KM and best- case scenario.
0 0.2 0.4 0.6
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
Toxic Unit
Percentile
0 0.2 0.4 0.6
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
Toxic Unit
Percentile
0 0.2 0.4 0.6
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
Toxic Unit
Percentile
3
0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00
100 1000 10000 100000
Rank
NOEC/EC10 [ng/L]
0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00
100 1000 10000 100000
Rank
NOEC/EC10 [ng/L]
-5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5
-5 -3 -1 1 3 5
Log(EFSA environmental threshold)
Log(WQO) WQO
>EFSA Thresholds EFSA Thresholds
>WQO
Swedish WQO more protective
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