Som tidigare framhållits är modellering av emissioner från bränder en svår och komplex uppgift. Inga exakta metoder finns. Trots dessa svårigheter finns ett betydande behov av att kunna beräkna emissioner från bränder i samhället. Behovet finns både för direkta tekniska applikationer vid en brandplats, t.ex. som underlag för spridningsberäkningar runt brandområdet och för beräkningar av totala emissionerna från en brand. På det nationella planet finns behov av att kunna beräkna Sveriges totala emissioner från bränder. I projektet valdes en semi-empirisk strategi för modelleringen där teoretiska beräkningar blandades med empiriska mätdata för att skapa en praktiskt användbar modell. Denna strategi har fungerat väl i projektet och det har på detta sätt varit möjligt att ta fram en fungerande basmodell. Att utveckla en fullt fungerande emissionsmodell för bränder är givetvis en omfattande uppgift och det saknas i nuläget information för att till alla delar kunna ta fram en sådan generell modell. Det har därför inte funnits möjlighet att inom ramen för detta projekt att fullt ut utveckla modellen. Några emissionsparametrar och vissa ämnen, som t.ex. dioxin, har inte inkluderats ännu. Modellen behöver också testas och verifieras ytterligare. Projektet har dock varit mycket framgångsrikt i och med att det med all tydlighet visat att det är fullt möjligt att utveckla en praktiskt användbar emissionsmodell för bränder. För användning vid beräkning av nationella emissioner behövs också en utveckling göras för att kunna simulera emissioner från olika typer av bränder och därefter kombinera detta med den svenska brandstatistiken.
10
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