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Örebro University School of Medicine Degree project, 30 ECTS 2018–05–23

Version 2

Variations in Attention-deficit/hyperactivity

disorder medication prescription rates during

childhood depending on month of birth

Author: Sofia Möller, Bachelor of Medicine

Supervisors: Sverre Wikström: MD, PhD, Department of Children- and Adolescents Psychiatry

Maria Unenge Hallerbäck: MD, PhD, Department of Children- and Adolescents Psychiatry

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Abstract

Introduction: Previous studies have reported that there is a seasonal variation in the prevalence of Attention- deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) diagnosis and medication in among other North America and Europe. The reason for this has suggested being relative immaturity.

Aim: To investigate, in the county of Värmland, if children born late in the year are more likely to have medical treatment of ADHD compared to children born early in the year.

Material and Methods: a population-based study including all children in the county of Värmland, Sweden, that were born between 2000 – 2011. Patients defined as children with ongoing

prescription of ADHD medication and without intellectual disability or severe motor impairment by January 2018. Risk ratio for receiving ADHD medication during different quarters of the year were calculated with reference data from Statistics Sweden (SCB) on the total number of children

registered in the present county.

Results: The study included 27 950 children and 999 children of them had ADHD medication. The prevalence of ADHD medication had a trend to rise although the year. Risk ratios (95 % CI) for ADHD medication were 1.42 (1.15 – 1.75) in boys and 1.39 (0.98 – 1.92) in girls when comparing the fourth to the first quarter of the year.

Conclusions: Children, especially boys, born late in the year have higher rates of ADHD medication. This could lead to that children born early in the year is diagnosed later. The study cannot enounce a cause for this, but relative immaturity is a possibility.

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Introduction

The prevalence of psychiatric illness is increasing in the whole world. With this, the number of children diagnosed with a neurodevelopmental disorder is also increasing [1]. This group of disorders include autism spectrum disorders (ASD), specific learning disorder and Attention- deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), which is the most common one among them [2]. The prevalence of ADHD is believed to have been rising the last decades, but confirming this is hard because it varies greatly with different studies and countries [3–6]. Even in the Nordic counties, the prevalence varies with the lowest in Finland and highest in Iceland [7]. In Sweden, the prescription of methylphenidate, the most common medicine to treat ADHD, has increased between 2006 and 2014 [8]. This can be seen in both sexes and all ages.

One interesting pattern through many studies is the variation of prevalence in ADHD in children. Studies have reported that the prevalence of ADHD diagnosis and medication are higher in children and adolescents born in the later months of a year [9]. These results have among other been

observed in United Kingdom [10], Norway [11] and Canada [12]. In the studies mentioned above, there has been a sex difference with a stronger association between birth month and ADHD in boys. In Denmark, no clear seasonal variation has been found [13]. Seasonal variation in prevalence is also documented for other psychiatric illness, for example schizophrenia [14].

There is not one solid explanation for why the prevalence of treatment for ADHD is higher in children born October to December. A plausible explanation is relative immaturity: Children born later in the year can start school nearly one year earlier than children born the same year in January. This depends of course on the cutoff date to school entry in different countries. In Sweden all children start first grade in August the year they turn seven. The maturity of the children can vary and the ones that are born late in the year are believed to be relatively immature, as compared to the children that are born early in the year. A study from Sweden shows a pattern between parent reported ADHD symptoms and relative immaturity [15].

The primary aim was to investigate, in the county of Värmland, if it is more likely for children born late in the year to receive medical treatment for ADHD as compared to children born early in the year. The secondary aim was to investigate if such associations differ depending on sex, age at start of medication, specific ADHD diagnosis (ADHD or ADD according to ICD-10) or

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Material and Methods Study population

A population-based study was performed in the county of Värmland, Sweden. In Sweden,

prescription of stimulants for children up to 18 years of age is licenced only to specialists in Child- and Adolescent Psychiatry or Child Neurology. This service was centralized and children with normal intellectual functioning and an ongoing prescription for ADHD or ADD medication in the county of Värmland were registered at a follow-up list at the Department of Children- and

Adolescents Psychiatry. Hereafter, if not mentioned otherwise, ADD medication will be included in ADHD medication. Children with an intellectual disability or severe motor impairment, however, received their treatment from another health care provider and were not possible to identify within this project. Hence, as patients, we included children of the present county, with normal intellectual functioning and no motor impairment, born 2000 – 2011, and with ongoing prescription of ADHD medication.

For calculations of relative risk ratios, information about the number of children born between 2000 and 2011 and registered as living in the county of Värmland was received from Statistics Sweden (Statistiska Central Byrån, SCB). The data had information of month and year of birth and in addition how many that were born the 1-3 of January (please see Statistics description below).

Clinical data

Medication was prescribed as a second-line intervention (after psycho-social intervention including psychoeducation about the disorder) and part of a multimodal treatment approach. ADHD was diagnosed using DSM-IV or DSM-5 criteria, depending on the year when diagnosed. The diagnosis was made at a cross-disciplinary conference after assessment including medical and psychiatric history, physical examination, psychological evaluation, and reports from parents and preschool- or school teachers.

The following data was collected from the electronic patient records: date of birth, sex, the date of diagnosis and start of medical treatment, as well as the co-morbid diagnosis in addition to ADHD and ADD. Date of birth and sex were extracted from the personal ID number. The date of

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diagnosis and co-morbid neuropsychiatric disorder diagnoses were collected from a separate list within the clinical record. The date of start of medication was collected from the list of medicines within the same record system. With the information of date of birth and date of start of medication, the child’s age at start of medication was calculated. In Sweden elementary school are divided into three stages: grade 1-3, grade 4-6 and grade 7-9. After elementary school children can choose to apply to upper secondary school. Children start grade 1 in August the year they turn seven years of age. Grade 4 and 7 are started the year they turn 10 respectively 13. The children were divided into three groups: one with the start of medication during grade 1-3, one during grade 4-6 and one after grade 6.

Statistics

The prevalence of ADHD medication in the county of Värmland was calculated for children born each month. The same way, relative risk ratios with 95 % confidence interval for ADHD

medication were calculated for children born in the second, third and fourth quarter of a year with the first quarter as reference. Children born in the last quarter were separately compared to the children born the first to third quarter. The calculations were thereafter stratified by sex, school grade at the start of medication and neuropsychiatric disorders (autism spectrum disorder and language disorder/dyslexia).

Many refugees came to Sweden in 2015. For a great number of them, an exact date of birth was not available, why they systematically were registered as born the first to third of January [16]. This means that there is an unknown number of children incorrectly registered as born 1-3 of January. All calculations were therefore re-run without the children registered as born the 1-3 of January.

Ethical considerations

The present work was performed on behalf of the head of department within a quality assurance project within the Department of Children- and Adolescent Psychiatry in the County of Värmland, Sweden. The overall purpose, in addition to the present master thesis, was to provide results to be communicated internally within the County Council of Värmland. This includes a

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report to the leadership of the department, but the findings will not be published as medical research. Hence, the Act concerning Ethical Review of Research Involving Humans does not apply, and no application was sent in to the

regional ethical review board. In line with this decision, patient or

guardians of the patients have not been asked for consent. When the work with clinical record data was performed the following measures were taken in order to protect personal integrity: No scrolling text of medical records was read, information was only gathered from birth data, list of prescriptions and table of diagnosis. This does not mean that delicate information can´t be accessed, but great care was taken in order to prevent this. All the gathered information was coded, and the format of collected data ensures that individual identities can’t be traced. The code key was not locked in at the same place as other project data.

Results

The total study population included 27 950 children that at the end of 2017 were registered in the county of Värmland and were born between 2000 and 2011. At the beginning of 2018, a total of 1006 patients were registered in the county of Värmland and followed-up due to ADHD medication by the Children- and Adolescent Psychiatry. After excluding those who did not fulfil the inclusion criteria 999 patients were included (Figure 1). There were more boys than girls that received medication, and almost half of the children started medication school grade 1-3 (Table 1). Figure 2 shows that the prevalence of ADHD medication has a rising trend through the year with a clear variation depending on month of birth.

1006 patients eligible according to follow up list 999 patients included in the study 1002 patients 4 patients excluded due to lack of ADHD diagnosis/medication

3 patients excluded because of not born between 2000 - 2011

Figure 1: flowchart over the selection of the study population with ADHD

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Figure 2: prevalence of attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder medication among children born between 2000 and 2011 and registered in the county of Värmland divided by month of birth.

There was an increased risk of receiving medication for ADHD for children born in the third and fourth quarter of the year (Table 2). In stratified analyses excluding children born January 1-3rd, the increased risk was only identified in boys and not in girls.

Table 1: Description of the study population. Children born between 2000- 2011 and registered in the county of Värmland.

Total (n) Boys (n) Girls (n)

ADHD1 or ADD2 medication 999 711 288

Born 1st quarter 216 155 61 Born 2nd quarter 236 169 67 Born 3rd quarter 296 208 88 Born 4th quarter 251 179 72 F90.0B 849 613 236 F90.0C 143 92 51 F90.0 7 6 1

Started medication school year 1-3 469 262 107

Started medication school year 4-6 299 215 84

Started medication after school year 6 231 134 97

Autism spectrum disorder 367 272 95

Language disorder/dyslexia 298 202 96

Registered in the county of Värmland 27 950 14 581 13369

Registered as born 1-3 of January 622 318 304

1 Attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder 2 Attention-deficit disorder

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Table 2: Risk Ratios (95% CI) for attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder and attention-deficit disorder medication depending on birth month among children born between 2000 - 2011 and registered in the county of Värmland. * = statistically significant results when children born 1-3 of January were excluded.

Born Total Boys Girls

4th quarter vs 1st-3rd 1.20 (1.04 - 1.38) * 1.24 (1.05 - 1.46) * 1.15 (0.88 - 1.50)

4th quarter vs 1st 1.39 (1.16 - 1.66) * 1.42 (1.15 - 1.75) * 1.38 (0.98 - 1.93)

3rd quarter vs 1st 1.39 (1.17 - 1.65) * 1.34 (1.10 - 1.65) * 1.48 (1.07 - 2.04)

2nd quarter vs 1st 1.10 (0.92 - 1.32) 1.08 (0.87 - 1.34) 1.12 (0.79 - 1.58)

Table 3: Risk Ratios (95% CI) for initiation of deficit/hyperactivity disorder and attention-deficit disorder medication during different school grade depending on the month of birth among children born between 2000 - 2011 and registered in the county of Värmland. * = statistically significant results when children born 1-3 of January were excluded.

Born School grade 1-3 School grade 4-6 After school grade 6

4th quarter vs 1st-3rd 1.06 (0.85 - 1.31) 1.39 (1.09-1.79) * 1.25 (0.93 - 1.68)

4th quarter vs 1st 1.21 (0.93 - 1.58 1.83 (1.30 - 2.56) * 1.47 (1.01 - 2.13)

3rd quarter vs 1st 1.40 (1.10 - 1.80) * 1.64 (1.17 - 2.29) * 1.24 (0.85 - 1.81)

2nd quarter vs 1st 1.03 (0.79 - 1.35) 1.30 (0.91 - 1.84) 1.27 (0.88 - 1.85)

Table 4: Risk Ratios (95% CI) for attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder and attention-deficit disorder medication depending on birth month among children born between 2000 - 2011 and registered in the county of Värmland. * = statistically significant results when children born 1-3 of January were excluded.

Born ADHD, F90.0B diagnosis ADD, F90.0C diagnosis Autism spectrum disorder diagnosis in addition to F90 diagnosis Language disorder/dyslexia diagnosis in addition to F90 diagnosis 4th quarter vs 1st-3rd 1.18 (1.01 - 1.38) * 1.29 (0.89 - 1.87) 1.26 (1.00 – 1.59) 1.40 (1.09 - 1.80) * 4th quarter vs 1st 1.36 (1.12 - 1.65) * 1.57 (0.97 - 2.54) 1.38 (1.03 – 1.85) 1.65 (1.19 - 2.29) * 3rd quarter vs 1st 1.33 (1.10 - 1.61) * 1.68 (1.06 -2.65) 1.31 (0.98 – 1.74) 1.38 (0.99 - 1.91) 2nd quarter vs 1st 1.11 (0.91 - 1.35) 0.97 (0.58 - 1.63) 0.98 (0.72 – 1.33) 1.15 (0.82 - 1.62)

When stratifying the analysis by the school grade when the medication was initiated, an association between birth month and ADHD medication was mostly shown among the children that started medication school year 4-6 (Table 3).

The children that were receiving an ADHD diagnosis classified as F90.0B (ICD – 10) had an increased risk of medical ADHD treatment if the child were born late in the year (Table 4). This pattern was not apparent for children with ADD diagnosis (F90.0C, ICD – 10). Instead, there was an increased risk among children born in the third quarter of the year. Having an autism spectrum

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disorder (ASD) diagnosis in addition to ADHD gave an increased risk that was greater than the risk of only having an ADHD diagnosis. However, having a language disorder/dyslexia diagnosis gave an even more increased risk of receiving ADHD medication among children born late in the year. Most associations remained statistically significant when children registered as born 1-3 January were excluded from the calculations (shown as * in Table 2-4).

Discussion

The present study confirms that children born late in the year have an increased risk of receiving ADHD medication, as compared to children born early in the year. This risk was statistically most evident in boys, but it can’t be ruled out that this sex difference is at least in part a matter of sample size, since ADHD diagnosis is more common among boys.

Most prominent is the risk among children in school grade 4-6, which disproves the hypothesis that the risk of receiving ADHD medication would be greater among younger children. In a study from Denmark, the increased risk of ADHD medication was reported in school grade 4 to 8 [13] and results from a Norwegian study show an increased risk to grade 9 [11]. The other results from the Danish study showed a decrease in the seasonal variation from 2005. This decrease can be a cause of that many children delay school entry with one year in Denmark. Delaying school entry for children born late in the year might lead to that relative immaturity reduce its impact on ADHD diagnosis and treatment. The relative immaturity should be greater in younger children.

There might be a delay from the appearance of symptom to time for investigation and start of medication that might explain this discrepancy. Nearly half of the children with ADHD medication received it in grade 1-3. Therefore, it is less likely that this depends on small sample size. If the risk were there, it would probably be present in this study. Interesting is however why the seasonal variation decreases with age. Do children born early in the year receive their diagnosis later in life? Younger children might have higher expectation on them because of comparison with older

students. The older children might have it the other way around, they have lower expectations, and this may work as a buffer and disguise the symptoms and result in later diagnosis. The demands on the children increases through the school years and it is unclear what exactly these demands

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A study from the USA shows that the prevalence of ADHD is higher the month before cut-off date to school entry [17]. This result confirms by a study from Taiwan who present that children born in August, who are the youngest in the class, have a higher risk compared to the children born in September who are the oldest [18]. This increases the likelihood for relative immaturity to be the cause of the seasonal variation of ADHD medication. Instead of discussing the risk of being born late in the year and receive ADHD medication, the discussion should be about the risk of being the youngest in class. However, even among children with the more severe impairments, with

comorbidities such as autism, language disorder or dyslexia, the same seasonal variation occur, being the youngest in the class increases the risk of needing medication.

When stratifying the calculation by diagnosis with and without the hyperactivity part (ADD), the increased risk among the children born late in the year was only present among children with the hyperactivity part (ADHD). The risk was increased among the children with an ADD diagnosis, but the results were not statistically significant. A possibility is that this lack of increased risk is a cause of small sample size though only 143 children had an ADD diagnosis. The most children had the hyperactivity part and in a classroom that is probably the part that distinguishes the most from the older children without the diagnosis.

When combining an ADHD diagnosis with autism spectrum disorder or language disorder/dyslexia, the increased risk of ADHD medication is seen again among children born late in the year. It is known that children with ADHD have lower results on tests regarding reading comprehension [19,20]. It´s unclear what the impact of this is. It can bout be that language disorder/dyslexia increases the risk for children born late in the year, but it can also be that the diagnoses are equally common all over the year and the difference depends alone on ADHD. A study from Italy shows an increased risk for children to have developmental dyslexia if they started school early [21]. To be born at the beginning of the year may give an increased risk of being diagnosed with autism spectrum disorder [22,23]. Even children with significant neuropsychiatric disorder seem to have a higher risk of receiving ADHD medication if born late in the year.

Among the children registered as born 1-3 of January, some children are actually born one of those days, and some just registered those days because of lack of information of the real date of birth. It is worth to notice that with excluding these children the prevalence of ADHD medication among children born in January increases. Most findings reported above remain significant however also after exclusion of all children born 1-3 of January.

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One of the limitations of this present study was that the study population was relatively small compared to other studies. By including only children with ongoing medical treatment, the study population narrows down. It might be that the present narrow inclusion criteria leave out children with milder ADHD symptoms with resulting impact on generalisability.

The children were diagnosed according to DSM-IV or DSM-5 criteria. At each appointment at the clinic the child was evaluated if the need for medication still existed. Therefore, the witch DSM criteria used first time to diagnose the child should not matter in this study.

As described previously in the present study, not every child that medicates for ADHD is registered at the Child- and Adolescent Psychiatry. Children with an intellectual disability or severe motor impairment receive their treatment from another health care provider. If this group with severe functional impairment is compared to the children that received an ADHD treatment in our study, they must be regarded highly different in terms of ADHD aetiology (e.g. genetic syndromes or sequelae from major prenatal brain injuries, associated with ADHD). We speculate that relative immaturity may play a minor role in the diagnosis and decision about medication in this group. The list of medication contained only the information of the start of medication date in the county of Värmland. If a child had received a prescription in another county that would not be visible. This can lead to incorrect results regarding the calculations with start of medication during the different school years. It impossible to tell if it affects the numbers, and if it does, in what content.

Another limitation is that records of when the children started school and what actual grade they were in at the start of medication not existed. Instead, their age-assigned grades were used. No numbers were available on how many children that doesn’t go in their age-assigned grade in the county of Värmland. However, it is not believed to involve many children.

Conclusion

Children, especially boys, are more likely to receive medication against ADHD if born late in the year compared to those born early in the year. It validates result from previous studies and shows that it can be applied to a smaller population. The risk may be greater in school year 4-6 and not apply if children lack the hyperactivity part of the ADHD diagnosis. This might mean that the start of medication for the children born in the beginning of the year gets delayed because they can handle the demands in school longer. More research is needed to tell what exactly the relative immaturity contributes in the diagnostics.

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Acknowledgement

We thank all the nurses and healthcare administrators at the Child- and Adolescent Psychiatry in Karlstad that have helped with this data collection to this paper.

References

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2. Gillberg C. Neuropsykiatriska funktionshinder hos barn och ungdomar [Internet]. [cited 2018 Jun 8]. Available from: https://www.internetmedicin.se/page.aspx?id=1087

3. Polanczyk GV, Willcutt EG, Salum GA, Kieling C, Rohde LA. ADHD prevalence estimates across three decades: an updated systematic review and meta-regression analysis. Int J Epidemiol. 2014 Apr;43(2):434–42.

4. Polanczyk G, de Lima MS, Horta BL, Biederman J, Rohde LA. The worldwide prevalence of ADHD: a systematic review and metaregression analysis. Am J Psychiatry. 2007

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5. Thomas R, Sanders S, Doust J, Beller E, Glasziou P. Prevalence of

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6. Pottegård A, Bjerregaard BK, Glintborg D, Hallas J, Moreno SI. The use of medication against attention deficit hyperactivity disorder in Denmark: a drug use study from a national perspective. Eur J Clin Pharmacol. 2012 Oct;68(10):1443–50.

7. Zoëga H, Furu K, Halldórsson M, Thomsen PH, Sourander A, Martikainen JE. Use of ADHD drugs in the Nordic countries: a population-based comparison study. Acta Psychiatr Scand. 2011 May;123(5):360–7.

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12. Morrow RL, Garland EJ, Wright JM, Maclure M, Taylor S, Dormuth CR. Influence of relative age on diagnosis and treatment of attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder in children. CMAJ. 2012 Apr 17;184(7):755–62.

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Cover letter Dear editor!

Please consider publication of our manuscript, Variation in ADHD medication prescription rates

during childhood depending on the month of birth, in your journal.

The readers might find it interesting because of the following reason:

- Our study shows that children, especially boys, born late in the year have a higher risk of receiving medical treatment for ADHD and ADD compared to children born earlier in the year.

- It confirms the results from previous studies that were in among others set in Norway and Canada. Our study set in the county of Värmland show similar results and shows that it can be applied to smaller populations.

- We investigated if this increased risk is present even among children with co-morbid neuropsychiatric disorders and found that it was with language disorder/dyslexia. - We explored the hypothesis that the risk for children borne late in the year to receive

ADHD medication would be greater among younger children by investigating the risk in different grades in school. This study did not show the clear result of this and can, therefore, be used as a foundation to more research in this subject.

Our manuscript has not been published before and is not considered for publication elsewhere.

Yours sincerely Sofia Möller

Bachelor of Medicine Örebro University

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Populärvetenskaplig sammanfattning

ADHD (attention-deficit/hyperactivity-disorder) är en funktionsnedsättning som innebär

svårigheter med koncentration och att kontrollera sitt beteende. Antalet barn som diagnostiserats med ADHD har ökat de senaste åren. I studien har det undersökts om det finns en säsongsbunden variation av förekomsten av ADHD, vilket har setts i tidigare studier. Förekomsten av ADHD medicinering i Värmland hos barn födda mellan 2000 och 2011 undersöktes. Resultaten visar att det är en 40 % ökad risk att få ADHD medicinering om man är född sista kvartalet på året jämfört med den första. Hos pojkar är risken hela 42 %, medan ingen signifikant skillnad syns hos flickor. Anledningen till denna variationen tros vara en relativ omognad hos de barnen som är födda sent på året. I skolan jämförs barnen som är födda sent på året med barn som kan vara nästan ett helt år äldre. Denna relativa omogenheten tros vara större bland de yngre barnen, därför undersöktes om risken skiljde sig åt beroende på under vilket skolstadium barnet fått medicin insatt. I mellan- och högstadiet fanns en ökad risk, men ingen sådan kunde ses i lågstadiet. Slutsatsen av studien är att barn, framför allt pojkar, har en ökad risk för att medicineras för ADHD om de är födda sent på året jämfört med de som är födda tidigt.

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Etiskt övervägande

När människor är med i forskningsstudier blir etiken alltid viktig. När barn är inblandade blir det ännu viktigare. En anledning till det är att när de är barn under 18 års ålder är det föräldrarna som godkänner att barnet är med i studien. Men sedan när barnet är vuxet och studien gjord kan barnen inte välja att få det ogjort.

I vår studie, som genomförs som ett kvalitetssäkringsarbete, behövs inget godkännande från etikprövningsnämnden och föräldrar och barn är inte informerade om studien. Även fast detta inte är något som kommer kunna publiceras är det viktigt att slutsatserna förmedlas till de som får ta del av det, vilket i detta fall är de berörda på Barn- och ungdomspsykiatrin i Karlstad. Trots försök till att minimera läsandet av känslig information har det inte kunnat hindras fullt ut. Min personliga åsikt är att det inte är rätt att ta del av denna sortens information utan att på något sätt hjälpa patienter genom att se till att resultaten förmedlas.

Genom att den berörda personalen kommer att få tillgång till resultaten kan de använda sig av kunskapen vid diagnostiseringen. Det kan vara i för att se till att barnen födda i början av året inte underbehandlas för att de kan hantera vardagens krav bättre jämfört med de födda sent på året. Genom detta kommer förhoppningsvis behandlingen av sjukdomen bli bättre och genom detta överväga nackdelarna med studien.

References

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