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Dimensionality and Predictive validity of school grades: The relative influence of cognitive and social-behavioral aspects

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Institutionen för pedagogik och specialpedagogik

Dimensionality and Predictive validity of

school grades: The relative influence of

cognitive and social-behavioral aspects

av

Cecilia Thorsen

AKADEMISK AVHANDLING

som med tillstånd av utbildningsvetenskapliga fakulteten vid

Göteborgs universitet för vinnande av doktorsexamen i Pedagogik

framläggs till offentlig granskning

Fredagen den 3 oktober, klockan 13.00

Pedagogen Hus A, Lokal AK2136

Fakultetsopponent: Professor Patrik Scheinin, University of Helsinki

(2)

Abstract

Title: Dimensionality and predictive validity of school grades: The relative influence of cognitive and social-behavioral aspects

Author: Cecilia Thorsen

Language: English with a Swedish summary ISBN: 978-91-7346-797-1 (tryckt) ISBN: 978-91-7346-798-8 (pdf) ISSN: 0436-1121

Keywords: predictive validity, dimensionality, criterion-referenced grades, norm-referenced grades, social-behavioral aspects, crystallized abilities, fluid abilities

The purpose of the thesis is to investigate the relative influence of cognitive and social-behavioral aspects on compulsory school grades and the importance of the different dimensions for the predictive validity of grades. Data is retrieved from the Gothenburg Educational Longitudinal Database (GOLD) and the Evaluation Through Follow-up (ETF) database. The sample in Study I consisted of three cohorts each of about 100 000 students in Grade 9, in Study II of about 4000 students in Grade 9, and in Study III of about 9000 students who were followed-up through compulsory school. All analyses were conducted using structural equation modelling (SEM).

Both criterion-referenced and norm-referenced compulsory school grades were found to be multidimensional, reflecting both subject-specific dimensions and a common-grade dimension, cutting across grades and teachers. The common-grade dimension, which in previous research has been found to be related to social-behavioral aspects, contributed to predict study success in upper secondary school, indicating that social-behavioral aspects partly contribute to explain the predictive power of school grades.

References

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