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Economic Impacts of Oil Price Fluctuations

The Stockholm Institute of Transition Economics (SITE) has the pleasure of inviting you to our 9th Energy Day.

This year's SITE Energy Day will be devoted to discussing the consequences of oil price fluctuations for markets and actors of the economy. Oil is widely perceived as an essential energy commodity for the economy both on the consumers’ and the suppliers’ side. While the dependence of oil has long been in a focus of political and public debate, policies to substitute it away have often faced significant difficulties, and oil still represents a significant share of the world energy consumption. Hence oil price fluctuations are expected to have consequences is many dimensions of the economy. During the Energy Day we will discuss the impact of oil price fluctuations on macro fundamentals, international trade, strategies of oil cartels, strategic risk management, and opportunities for change in energy systems.

8.45-9.00 Registration

9.00-9.05 Welcome by Jesper Roine, Deputy Director, SITE

9.05-9.15 Introduction by Chloé Le Coq, Assistant Professor, SITE, Stockholm School of Economics 9.15-10.20 The macroeconomic impacts of oil price volatility

The volatility of oil price forecasts and its macroeconomic implications Torbjörn Becker, Director, SITE

Oil price fluctuations and the international trade

Natalya Volchkova, Director of CEFIR Policy Director Low oil prices and the new climate economy: constraint or opportunity?

Luca De Lorenzo, Senior Researcher, Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI)

Discussant: Maria Perrotta Berlin, Assistant Professor, SITE, Stockholm School of Economics 10.20-10.40 Coffee Break

10.40-12.00 The impact of oil on financial decisions and strategic market behaviour Financial speculation in Oil Markets and the Determinant of the price of Oil

Matteo Manera (TBC) Professor, Univ. of Milano-Bicocca and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei Strategic Risk Management with Low Oil price

Hubert Roslund, Senior Manager, Nordea.

Oil price fluctuations and cartel behavior by “Fuelish” Firms

Catarina Marvão, Researcher, SITE-SSE and Trinity College Dublin

Discussant: Elena Paltseva, Assistant Professor, SITE and New Economic School, Moscow Date: Thursday, November 5 2015

Place: Stockholm School of Economics, Torsten Lecture room, address: Bertil Ohlins Gata 5

References

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