6. Slutsats
6.1 Förslag till fortsatt forskning
I tidigare undersökningar har ett företags storlek identifierats som en potentiellt viktig variabel vid resultatmanipuleringsundersökningar eftersom större företag tenderar att ha en lägre andel godtyckliga periodiseringar p.g.a. lägre tillväxtförutsättningar. I denna undersökning har ingen hänsyn specifikt tagits till företagsstorleken eftersom denna medför att branschgrupperna skulle delats upp till att innehålla färre företag vilket i sin tur skulle kunna visa sig problematiskt i den fortsatta undersökningen. Ett förslag till fortsatt forskning är därför att, med hjälp av ett större urval, dela upp branschfördelningen efter företagsstorlek och därefter återupprepa samma undersökning, förslagsvis med ytterligare resultatmanipuleringsmodeller eller
39 ytterligare tester, exempelvis om intressenter tar hänsyn till resultatmanipuleringen vid investeringar. Tidigare forskning finner också stöd för att ett lands rättsliga- och institutionella miljö påverkar egenskaperna av rapporterade resultat varför en ytterligare indelning av företagen i sina respektive länder kan vara av intresse.
40
Källförteckning
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Elektroniska källor
Global Industry Classification Standard, 2013, hämtad 2013-12-09 från:
http://www.msci.com/resources/xls/GICS_map2010.xls IFRS, 2013, Jurisdiction profiles, hämtad 2013-11-12 från:
http://www.ifrs.org/Use-around-the-world/Pages/Jurisdiction-profiles.aspx Regnskapsstiftelsen, 2013, IFRS Norge, hämtad 2013-11-12 från:
http://www.regnskapsstiftelsen.no/a9084301/english Riksbanken, 2013, hämtad 2013-11-20 från:
www.riksbanken.se
43 Litteratur
Alexander, D., Britton, A. & Jorissen, A., 2011, International financial reporting and analysis, 5. ed., Andover: South-Western Cengage Learning
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Standarder
IFRS, IAS 34 Delårsrapportering
44
Appendix
Appendix 1: Växelkurser för redovisningsvalutor i urvalet
Valuta 1 DKK 1,219197 1,236185 1,256 1,270617 1,253547 1,247136 1,237185 1,225556 1 EUR 9,0747 9,205 9,3679 9,477 9,3539 9,3008 9,23 9,137 1 GBP 13,0831 13,5626 13,7046 13,9348 13,6272 13,5219 13,5747 13,5727 1 ISK 0,112516 0,114052 0,120579 0,128397 0,119606 0,100544 0,101169 0,102814 1 NOK 1,101508 1,143008 1,188576 1,203094 1,165711 1,188085 1,145454 1,104722 1 PLN 2,2552 2,2285 2,3308 2,4206 2,4405 2,3608 2,3342 2,3746 1 RUB 0,24839 0,260127 0,269298 0,27753 0,276555 0,272085 0,270129 0,266624 1 USD 6,9169 7,3071 7,6798 7,968 7,7778 7,3958 7,2396 7,0926 1 ISK 0,102828 0,107897 0,107011 0,104958 0,094013 0,078724 0,075748 0,063255 1 NOK 1,125445 1,142203 1,170246 1,180097 1,181597 1,178113 1,175727 1,146379 1 PLN 2,3638 2,4366 2,4457 2,5374 2,629 2,744 2,8664 2,7247 1 RUB 0,266469 0,265653 0,264575 0,260134 0,259042 0,253385 0,259691 0,285074 1 USD 7,0088 6,8699 6,7485 6,4135 6,2869 5,9857 6,3027 7,766 1 DKK 1,468774 1,448192 1,400712 1,39096 1,336169 1,295164 1,259712 1,237086 1 EUR 10,9443 10,7849 10,4267 10,3515 9,944 9,6373 9,3839 9,2219 1 GBP 12,0446 12,2676 11,9698 11,438 11,2133 11,2973 11,2723 10,7257 1 ISK 0,069806 0,06092 0,057576 0,055994 0,053798 0,053405 0,055786 0,056056 1 NOK 1,223597 1,218625 1,191674 1,232405 1,227145 1,217697 1,179439 1,144742 1 PLN 2,4366 2,4237 2,4823 2,4803 2,4965 2,4049 2,3435 2,3263 1 RUB 0,246473 0,24625 0,232994 0,237535 0,241103 0,25022 0,237665 0,22078 1 USD 8,4041 7,9224 7,2994 6,9988 7,1918 7,5849 7,2745 6,7838 1 DKK 1,189675 1,208842 1,228176 1,222431 1,190873 1,199115 1,1343 1,156643 1 EUR 8,8685 9,0141 9,1502 9,0939 8,8532 8,9147 8,4447 8,6264 1 GBP 10,3899 10,2142 10,4236 10,6054 10,6057 10,9961 10,6637 10,6906 1 ISK 0,055381 0,053727 0,05001 0,051864 0,049859 0,049877 0,049679 0,048203 1 NOK 1,132563 1,151146 1,177651 1,171797 1,166811 1,178789 1,142131 1,170221 1 PLN 2,2487 2,278 2,2085 2,0578 2,0956 2,0955 2,0419 2,0974 1 RUB 0,221773 0,223837 0,222515 0,21619 0,224043 0,223939 0,211068 0,213996 1 USD 6,483 6,2631 6,4785 6,7489 6,7495 6,9481 6,7551 6,6592
45 NP random 500 0,120484 0,004167 0,000186 (0,120002; 0,120965) -121,40 Variable P
NP random 0,000
One-Sample T: PN random
Test of mu = 0,157941 vs not = 0,157941
Variable N Mean StDev SE Mean 99% CI T PN random 500 0,128098 0,004341 0,000194 (0,127596; 0,128600) -153,72 Variable P
PN random 0,000
Test av alternativ ordning på kvartalen
One-Sample T: Q1NP
46 One-Sample T: Q2PN
Test of mu = 0,157941 vs not = 0,157941
Variable N Mean StDev SE Mean 99% CI T P Q2PN 6 0,09802 0,02206 0,00901 (0,06171; 0,13433) -6,65 0,001
One-Sample T: Q3PN
Test of mu = 0,157941 vs not = 0,157941
Variable N Mean StDev SE Mean 99% CI T P Q3PN 6 0,0852 0,0250 0,0102 (0,0441; 0,1264) -7,12 0,001
Godtyckliga periodiseringar Q4
One-Sample T: NP control DA
Test of mu = 0,002619 vs not = 0,002619
Variable N Mean StDev SE Mean 95% CI T P NP control DA 388 -0,01006 0,16643 0,00845 (-0,02667; 0,00655) -1,50 0,134
One-Sample T: PN control DA
Test of mu = -0,0019425 vs not = -0,0019425
Variable N Mean StDev SE Mean 95% CI T P PN control DA 440 0,0137 0,2328 0,0111 (-0,0081; 0,0355) 1,41 0,159
Godtyckliga utgifter Q1-Q3
One-Sample T: NP control DE
Test of mu = 0,0093626 vs not = 0,0093626
Variable N Mean StDev SE Mean 95% CI T P NP control DE 122 0,0119 0,1267 0,0115 (-0,0108; 0,0346) 0,22 0,825
One-Sample T: PN control DE
Test of mu = 0,0169916 vs not = 0,0169916
Variable N Mean StDev SE Mean 95% CI T P PN control DE 149 0,02118 0,06486 0,00531 (0,01068; 0,03168) 0,79 0,432
47
Godtyckliga utgifter Q4
One-Sample T: NP control DE
Test of mu = -0,032263 vs not = -0,032263
Variable N Mean StDev SE Mean 95% CI T P NP control DE 132 0,0625 0,4198 0,0365 (-0,0097; 0,1348) 2,59 0,011
One-Sample T: PN control DE
Test of mu = 0,027064 vs not = 0,027064
Variable N Mean StDev SE Mean 95% CI T P PN control DE 160 0,0245 0,1709 0,0135 (-0,0022; 0,0512) -0,19 0,848
Effektiv skattesats
One-Sample T: NP control ETR
Test of mu = -0,0773674 vs not = -0,0773674
Variable N Mean StDev SE Mean 95% CI T P NP control ETR 441 0,0204 0,2423 0,0115 (-0,0023; 0,0430) 8,47 0,000
One-Sample T: PN control ETR
Test of mu = 0,074778 vs not = 0,074778
Variable N Mean StDev SE Mean 95% CI T PN control ETR 508 -0,0705 0,3663 0,0163 (-0,1025; -0,0386) -8,94 Variable P
PN control ETR 0,000
Produktionskostnader Q1-Q3
One-Sample T: Control NP
Test of mu = -0,0079981 vs not = -0,0079981
Variable N Mean StDev SE Mean 95% CI T P Control NP 206 0,00524 0,04941 0,00344 (-0,00155; 0,01203) 3,85 0,000
One-Sample T: Control PN
Test of mu = 0,020372 vs not = 0,020372
Variable N Mean StDev SE Mean 95% CI T P Control PN 240 0,01007 0,03508 0,00226 (0,00561; 0,01453) -4,55 0,000
48
Produktionskostnader Q4
One-Sample T: NP Sample
Test of mu = -0,0059688 vs not = -0,0059688
Variable N Mean StDev SE Mean 95% CI T P NP Sample 254 0,01770 0,08583 0,00539 (0,00709; 0,02830) 4,39 0,000
One-Sample T: PN sample
Test of mu = 0,0029846 vs not = 0,0029846
Variable N Mean StDev SE Mean 95% CI T P PN sample 302 -0,00243 0,10558 0,00608 (-0,01439; 0,00952) -0,89 0,373