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Sören Holmberg

Department of Political Science Göteborg University

December 2006

Swedish and European Opinions on

Energy Production

Paper/slides presented at a CEFOS international research seminar at the Göteborg University Business School, 7 December 2006: Security, Prosperity and Community – Towards a Common European Energy Policy?

(2)

European Attitudes on Nuclear Power

Questsion: ”Are you totally in favour, fairly in favour, fairly opposed or totally opposed to energy produced by nuclear power stations?”

101 16

41 44

10. United Kingdom

100 2

48 50

9. Belgium

101 5

44 52

8. Netherlands

100 7

41 52

7. France

100 4

40 56

6. Slovakia

100 4

38 58

5. Finland

100 13

27 60

4. Lithuania

100 2

37 61

3. Czech Republic

100 3

33 64

2. Sweden

101 5

31 65

1. Hungary

100 8

55 37

EU 25

sum percent don’t know

opposed in favour

Comment: Special Eurobarometer 2005: Radioaktive Waste; fieldwork in February – March 2005. Pluralities in favour.

(3)

European Attitudes on Nuclear Power

Questsion: ”Are you totally in favour, fairly in favour, fairly opposed or totally opposed to energy produced by nuclear power stations?”

100 4

88 8

25. Austria

100 5

86 9

24. Greece

101 10

81 10

23. Cyprus

100 17

70 13

22. Ireland

100 13

71 16

21. Spain

100 21

62 17

20. Malta

100 26

53 21

19. Portugal

100 8

66 26

18. Poland

100 5

66 29

17. Denmark

101 5

66 30

16. Italy

100 4

65 31

15. Luxembourg

101 4

59 38

14. Germany

100 12

49 39

13. Latvia

100 10

50 40

12. Estonia

101 3

54 44

11. Slovenia

100 8

55 37

EU 25

sum percent don’t know

opposed in favour

Comment: Special Eurobarometer 2005: Radioactive Waste; fieldwork in February – March 2005. Pluralities opposed.

(4)

Swedes on the use of nuclear power as an energy source

33 50

36 39

34 44 42

50 57 58 56

61 64 64 64 57 57

66 65 71 75

46 45

38 39 36

26 28 26

26 23 22

21 21 27 25

24 20 16 12

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Use Abolish

Use

Abolish

Data: SOM-Institute, Göteborg University; Annual nationwide surveys in Sweden; Sample size 3000 persons 15-85 years old;

Mail questionnaires with an average response rate of 65 percent. Question: What is your view on the long term use of nuclear power as an energy source in Sweden?” Five response alternatives: ”abolish nuclear power by 2010 at the latest; abolish nuclear power, but not until our present reactors have done their job; use nuclear power and renew the reactors when they are worn out;

use nuclear power and build additional reactors in the future; no definite opinion.” In 1986, the don´t know response was missing.

Comment: All respondents are included in the percent calculations. Principal investigator: Sören Holmberg, phone +4631 7731227, e-mail: soren.holmberg@pol.gu.se. All data processed by Rudolf Antoni.

(5)

Percent in favor of abolishing nuclear power among Swedish women and men

Data: SOM-Institute, Göteborg University; Annual nationwide surveys in Sweden.

Comment: All respondents are included in the percent calculations.

Principal investigator: Sören Holmberg, phone +4631 7731227, e-mail: soren.holmberg@pol.gu.se.

All data processed by Rudolf Antoni.

40 83

28 73

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Women Men

(6)

Percent in favor of abolishing nuclear power in different age groups

Data: SOM-Institute, Göteborg University; Annual nationwide surveys in Sweden.

Comment: All respondents are included in the percent calculations.

Principal investigator: Sören Holmberg, phone +4631 7731227, e-mail: soren.holmberg@pol.gu.se.

All data processed by Rudolf Antoni.

37 80

36 78

34 75

30 79

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

15-29 30-49 50-64 65-85

(7)

Percent in favor of abolishing nuclear power in different educational groups

Data: SOM-Institute, Göteborg University; Annual nationwide surveys in Sweden.

Comment: All respondents are included in the percent calculations.

Principal investigator: Sören Holmberg, phone +4631 7731227, e-mail: soren.holmberg@pol.gu.se.

All data processed by Rudolf Antoni.

41 77

33 75

33 79

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

University Middle Basic

(8)

Percent in favor of abolishing nuclear power

among Swedes with different ideological self-placements

Data: SOM-Institute, Göteborg University; Annual nationwide surveys in Sweden.

Comment: All respondents are included in the percent calculations.

Principal investigator: Sören Holmberg, phone +4631 7731227, e-mail: soren.holmberg@pol.gu.se.

All data processed by Rudolf Antoni.

45 80

36 81

23 69

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Left Middle Right

(9)

Percent in favor of abolishing nuclear power among Swedes with different party sympathies

Data: SOM-Institute, Göteborg University; Annual nationwide surveys in Sweden.

Comment: All respondents are included in the percent calculations.

Principal investigator: Sören Holmberg, phone +4631 7731227, e-mail: soren.holmberg@pol.gu.se.

All data processed by Rudolf Antoni.

73 84

52 89

45 84

36 72

35 80

29 79

22 64

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Green Center Left

Christian Dem.

Social Democrats Liberal

Conservative

(10)

Data: SOM-Institute, Göteborg University; Annual nationwide surveys in Sweden.

Comment: All respondents are included in the percent calculations.

Principal investigator: Sören Holmberg, phone +4631 7731227, e-mail: soren.holmberg@pol.gu.se.

All data processed by Rudolf Antoni.

78 72

54 47

33

18 77

74

41 44

30

9

2 32

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Solar Wind

Bio Hydro

Nuclear

Coal Gas

Oil

Percent Swedes who think Sweden - more than today -

should go in for the below-mentioned energy sources

(11)

Data: SOM-Institute, Göteborg University; Annual nationwide surveys in Sweden.

Question: “To what extent do you trust information about energy and nuclear power provided by the following groups?” Four response alternatives: “very much; fairly much; fairly little; very little”. The results show percent people answering very or fairly much. The percentage base is defined as persons who answered the question.

Principal investigator: Sören Holmberg, phone +4631 7731227, e-mail: soren.holmberg@pol.gu.se.

All data processed by Rudolf Antoni.

57 60

36 52 48

38

16

31

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

1986 1897 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Environmental organisations

Nuclear power industry

The government

Journalists

Swedish Trust in information about energy and nuclear power

provided by different groups

(12)

30. Greece 15. Turkish Cyprus

29. Malta 14. Poland

28. Cyprus 13. Belgium

27. Spain 12. Italy

26. Denmark 11. Netherlands

25. Austria 10. Turkey

24. Croatia 9. Romania

23. Portugal 8. Czech Republic

22. Slovenia 7. Germany

21. Ireland 6. United Kingdom

20. Luxembourg 5. Slovakia

19. Latvia 4. Lithuania

18. Estonia 3. Bulgaria

17. France 2. Finland

16. Hungary 1. Sweden

EU25

Nuclear Energy Nuclear Energy

European Attitudes Towards the Future of Three Energy Sources

Question: ”To reduce our dependency on imported energy resources, Governments have to choose from a list of alternatives, sometimes costly solutions. Which of the following should the (NATIONALITY) Government mainly focus on for the years to come? (MAX. 2 ANSWERS)

Comment: The figures are percentages. Source: Special Eurobarometer: Attitudes towards Energy 2006; fieldwork october-november 2005.

The interview question included two more response alternatives besides nuclear, solar and wind – Promote advanced research for new energy technologies (hydrogen, clear coal, etc.) and Regulate in order to reduce our dependence of oil. In EU25 the research alternative was

supported by 41 percent and the reduce oil alternative by 23 percent. The comparable results for Sweden was 55 percent and 25 percent, respectively.

12 32 27 24 21 19 18 17 17 15 15 14 13 11 10 10

9 8 8 8 7 7 5 5 5 5 4 4 2 2 2

(13)

30. Turkey 15. Luxembourg

29. Turkish Cyprus 14. Hungary

28. Italy 13. France

27. Bulgaria 12. Slovenia

26. Romania 11. Latvia

25. Lithuania 10. United Kingdom

24. Cyprus 9. Croatia

23. Slovakia 8. Finland

22. Czech Republic 7. Sweden

21. Germany 6. Netherlands

20. Spain 5. Greece

19. Poland 4. Belgium

18. Malta 3. Ireland

17. Portugal 2. Estonia

16. Austria 1. Denmark

EU25

Wind Power Wind Power

European Attitudes Towards the Future of Three Energy Sources

Question: ”To reduce our dependency on imported energy resources, Governments have to choose from a list of alternatives, sometimes costly solutions. Which of the following should the (NATIONALITY) Government mainly focus on for the years to come? (MAX. 2 ANSWERS)

Comment: The figures are percentages. Source: Special Eurobarometer: Attitudes towards Energy 2006; fieldwork october-november 2005. The interview question included two more response alternatives besides nuclear, solar and wind – Promote advanced research for new energy technologies (hydrogen, clear coal, etc.) and Regulate in order to reduce our dependence of oil. In EU25 the research alternative was supported by 41 percent and the reduce oil alternative by 23 percent. The comparable results for Sweden was 55 percent and 25 percent, respectively.

31 59 54 52 49 44 42 41 41 40 39 39 39 38 37 36

35 34 32 30 28 26 25 23 22 22 18 16 15 11 9

(14)

30. Lithuania 15. Slovakia

29. Latvia 14. Denmark

28. Turkey 13. Netherlands

27. Romania 12. Spain

26. Sweden 11. Turkish Cyprus

25. Ireland 10. Belgium

24. Estonia 9. Austria

23. Poland 8. Germany

22. Portugal 7. Malta

21. Bulgaria 6. Slovenia

20. Finland 5. Croatia

19. Czech Republic 4. Luxembourg

18. Italy 3. France

17. United Kingdom 2. Greece

16. Hungary 1. Cyprus

EU25

Solar Power Solar Power

European Attitudes Towards the Future of Three Energy Sources

Question: ”To reduce our dependency on imported energy resources, Governments have to choose from a list of alternatives, sometimes costly solutions. Which of the following should the (NATIONALITY) Government mainly focus on for the years to come? (MAX. 2 ANSWERS)

Comment: The figures are percentages. Source: Special Eurobarometer: Attitudes towards Energy 2006; fieldwork october-november 2005.

The interview question included two more response alternatives besides nuclear, solar and wind – Promote advanced research for new energy technologies (hydrogen, clear coal, etc.) and Regulate in order to reduce our dependence of oil. In EU25 the research alternative was supported by 41 percent and the reduce oil alternative by 23 percent. The comparable results for Sweden was 55 percent and 25 percent, respectively.

48 76 70 63 62 60 60 58 55 54 51 50 50 47 45 44

43 43 41 41 38 38 37 37 35 32 31 29 27 25 16

(15)

www.som.gu.se

References

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