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Effects of Roadway Segment Alignments and Locations on Rural Two-Lane Highway Crash Rates

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EFFECTS OF ROADWAY SEGMENT ALIGNMENTS AND

LOCATIONS ON RURAL TWO-LANE HIGHWAY CRASH RATES

Li Jinhai

Research Institute of Highway, Ministry of Transport No. 8, Xitucheng Rd., Haidian District, Beijing

E-mail: jh.li@rioh.cn

Hu Han

Research Institute of Highway, Ministry of Transport No. 8, Xitucheng Rd., Haidian District, Beijing

E-mail: h.hu@rioh.cn

Wu Jingmei

Research Institute of Highway, Ministry of Transport No. 8, Xitucheng Rd., Haidian District, Beijing

E-mail: jm.wu@rioh.cn

ABSTRACT

This paper investigates the effects of road segment alignment and location on rural two-lane highway crash rates by taking the mileage of segment types into consideration. Roadway segments are classified and redefined according to the segment alignment and location. The definitions of crash rates in terms of segment alignment and location are presented respectively. The study gathers crash data and the roadway geometric information of rural two-lane highways in southwest of China and crash rates of each segment type are proposed by utilizing the proposed definitions. The result indicates that gentle-slope & sharp-curve segments and intersections tend to have extremely higher crash rates than the other types of segments.

KEYWORDS: crash rate, segment alignment, segment location, crash data

1 INTRODUCTION

Highways safety system is a complex system which consists of five main subsystems, namely, drivers, vehicles, roadways, environment and enforcement. Traffic accidents, therefore, resulted from the interactions of the five factors. The research on the relationships between crashes and above factors helps to perform the in-depth research on the causes of crashes and will eventually help to develop the countermeasures to prevent similar accidents. While those factors which related to drivers, vehicles or environment are all unpredictable, the roadway system related factors are all controllable. Thus, the research on the crash-road relationship is the most effective and direct way to prevent crashes.

Numerous studies have been conducted to investigate effects of roadway segment alignments and locations on highway crash rates. For example, Ma and Kara Kockelman (2006) investigated the relationship between crash frequencies, roadway design and roadway

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features by utilizing the clustered panel data. A fixed effects model and a random effects model were used to estimate the crash frequency in their study. Wang et al. (2009) used negative binomial generalized models to study the effects of geometric features on rear-end crash incidence. The study found that accumulated vertical slope length influence the incidence of rear-end crashes significantly. Joon-Ki Kim et al. (2007) developed a microscopic model of freeway rear-end crash risk based on a modified negative binomial regression. Seunglim Kang et al. (2007) developed a freeway accident analysis method based on the accident risk index which derived from the combination of alignment elements. Zha et al. (2011) pointed out that over-dispersion and temporal correlation were two major problems in longitudinal data when analyzing crash frequency. Thus, their corresponding research proposed a Generalized Estimating Equation (GEE) Negative Binomial model to analysis crash frequency.

Among the previous researches, a majority of the studies focused on the relationships among roadway geometry, roadway features and certain types of crash such as run-off-roadway crash (Jinsun Lee and Fred Mannering 1999; Ertan Örnek 2007), rear-end crash (Wang Huarong et al. 2009; Joon-Ki Kim et al. 2007), head-on crash (Chen Zhang et al. 2005), etc.

A wide range of models have been presented to reveal the relationships of crash frequencies and the geometric design of roadways. However, most of the existing studies mainly emphasized two points: a) the relationship of road segments and corresponding crash frequency, b) frequency of certain type of crash. Consequently, the division of segments and the model estimation are inevitable. The primary objective of this study was to illustrate the crash rates of fatal crashes by road section alignment and road section locations in a roadway network as a whole.

2 METHODOLOGY

Conventionally, the crash statistics describe information simply according to the count of items such as segment alignments and crash location etc. However, the results may be influenced by various factors (e.g. total mileage of the segments). To avoid the influence of such factors, this paper presents two definitions: Crash Rate by Alignments (CRA) and Crash Rate by Locations (CRL) to denote the crash rate of different segments by alignments and crash location respectively. The CRA of alignment type i in a roadway network is defined as

i i i PCA CRA PMA = (Equation I)

Where,PCA is the percentage of crash in segments of alignment type i i.PMA denotes the i percentage of segment of alignment type i by mileage. Similarly, CRL can be defined as

i i i PCL CRL PML = (Equation II)

Where,PCL is the percentage of crash in segments of location type i i. PML denotes the i percentage of segments of location type i by mileage.

This study redefined the Segment Alignment (SA) and the Crash Location (CL) of accident scene which have been presented in the Industrial Standards (Codes for Road Traffic Accident Scene and Codes for Traffic Accident Information) by Ministry of Public Security of China. SA and CL in this paper were defined as shown in Table 1 and Table 2 respectively.

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Table 1: Segment types by alignment

Segment type Definition

Horizontal Alignment Straight r>1000m* Normal curve 60m< r≤1000m Sharp curve r≤60m Vertical Alignment Gentle slope g≤3% Normal slope 3% <g≤8% Abrupt slope g >8%

* r denotes the radius of horizontal curve, g denotes the segment gradient. Table 2: crash scene location

Location Definition

Village segments crashes occurred at segments with villages in one or two sides Intersection crashes occurred at intersections

Normal segments crashes occurred at other segments

3 DATA COLLECTION

3.1 Crash data

The crash data used in this study were collected from local Traffic Management Bureau in southwest of China. A total of 155 fatal crashes were involved and records of crash files were reviewed respectively. A dataset which include main crash information (such as crash type, location, road alignments, severity, fatalities etc.) was established then, as shown in Table 3. Table 3: sample of crashes

Id Date Crash

Type Fatality Injury Location

Segment alignments Radius Gradient 1 070213 Head on 1 1 Village section ∞ 3% 2 060125 Rear-end 2 1 Normal section 60m 3%

N … … … …

155 080427 Pedestrian 1 0 Intersection ∞ 1.5%

To investigate effects of roadway segment alignments and locations on the roadway geometrics and crash scene locations, crash data shown in Table 3 was classified by combined alignments and crash scene locations (Table 4, Table 5).

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Table 4: Crash percentage of segments by combined alignments (PCA) Sharp curve

(

0, 60

]

r* Normal curve

(

60,1000

]

rStraight

(

1000,

)

r∈ ∞ Grand total Gentle slope g

[ ]

0, 3 11.3% 16.0% 41.1% 68.4% Normal slope g

(

3,8

]

0.4% 9.1% 11.6% 21.1% Abrupt slope g∈ ,

(

8 17

]

6.9% 1.5% 2.2% 10.5% Grand total 18.5% 26.5% 54.9% 100.0%

* r denotes the radius of horizontal curve, g denotes the segment gradient. Table 5: Crash percentage of segments by scene locations (PCL)

Location Percentage (%)

Village segments 23.2%

Intersection 24.5%

Normal segments 52.3%

3.2 Road Geometric data

This study collects the geometric data of some sample rural roads in southwest of China by utilizing the Gipsi-Trac system which generates both horizontal and vertical geometric data of the roadway while surveying. A total of more than 400 km roads are surveyed, which guaranteed the analysis of road alignment. The distributions of geometric indices are then illustrated (Figure 1). 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1

Radius of horizontal curve (km)

P ropor ti on 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Longitudinal gradient (%) P ro p o rtio n

Figure 1: distributions of geometric indices

As shown in Figure 1, the majority of the horizontal curve radiuses are within 0.2 km and the proportions of the longitudinal gradients decline as the gradients increase.

Practically, statistics of crashes tend to focus on the relationship between crashes and the combination of horizontal and vertical alignment. Thus, the distribution of the combined alignments is calculated. As shown in Table 6, the sharp-curve & abrupt-slope segment accounts for a minimum percentage (1.51%) of mileage while the gentle-slop segment represents 30.31% of the total mileage.

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Table 6: Percentages of alignments by mileage (PMA) Sharp curve

(

0, 60

]

r* Normal curve

(

60,1000

]

rStraight

(

1000,

)

r∈ ∞ Grand total Gentle slope g

[ ]

0, 3 1.67% 15.38% 30.31% 47.36% Normal slope g∈(3,8

]

2.70% 14.05% 24.06% 40.81% Abrupt slope g∈ ,(8 17

]

1.51% 3.55% 6.77% 11.83% Grand total 5.88% 5.88% 32.98% 61.14%

* r denotes the radius of horizontal curve, g denotes the segment gradient.

3.3 Segment location

A similar survey on the distribution of segment locations was conducted in rural roads of southwest China. Segments are divided into three categories according to Table 2. The results show that normal sections accounts for the largest proportion of the total mileage surveyed while village sections and intersections represent 14.6% and 7.6% of the total mileage respectively (Table 7).

Table 7: percentages of segments location by mileage (PML)

Location Percentage (%)

Village segments 14.6%

Intersection 7.6%

Normal segments 77.8%

4 CRASH RATE ANALYSIS

According to Equation I and Equation II, CRA and CRL can be calculated based on the survey data (crash data, geometric data and crash scene location data). Crash rate of gentle-slope & sharp-curve segments, for instance, is the quotient of corresponding crash percentage (11.2%) divided by corresponding percentage of segment by mileage (1.67%).

Table 8: Crash rates of segments by combined alignments (CRA) Sharp curve (0, 60] r∈ Normal curve (60,1000] r∈ Straight (1000, ) r∈ ∞ Gentle slope g∈[ ]0, 3 6.75 1.04 1.36 Normal slope g∈(3,8] 0.13 0.65 0.48 Abrupt slope g∈ ,(8 17] 4.58 0.41 0.32

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Table 9: Crash rate of segments by scene locations (CRL)

Location Crash rates

Village segments 1.59

Intersection 3.22

Normal segments 0.67

As shown in Table 9, gentle-slope & sharp-curve segments tend to be the segments crashes occur most. The crash rate in gentle-slope & sharp-curve segments is 6.5 times as high as that of gentle-slope & curve segments and 10.4 times of that in slope & normal-curve segments. Abrupt-slope & sharp-normal-curve segments, with a crash rate of 4.58, also contribute to a relative large proportion of fatal crashes. Normal-slope & sharp-curve segments have the minimum safety risk, with a crash rate of only 0.13.

The results reflect that sharp curve segments with a medium slope can reduce the safety risk as the gentle slope may boost the vehicle speed while drivers tend to drive more carefully at the abrupt slope. In terms of segment location, with a crash rate of 3.22, intersections are proved to be at most risk. The crash rate of intersection is 2.03 times of that in village segments and 4.81 times of that in normal segments.

5 CONCLUSION

The conventional statistics for traffic accidents simply analyze the raw data by crash data itself, which can not reveal the true situation of road safety. To solve the problem, this paper presents the definition of crash rates (CRA and CRL) by taking the mileage of different types of segments into consideration. The road segments are classified and redefined according to the alignments and locations respectively. Fatal crash data together with the roadway information which includes road geometrics and segments location are gathered then. By utilizing the proposed method, the crash rates are finally calculated.

According to the result, gentle-slope & curve segments and Abrupt-slope & sharp-curve segments have extremely higher crash rates than the others. The findings of the paper indicate that it is better to combine a slope with a gradient between 3-8%, rather than a higher or a smaller gradient. For normal curve and straight sections, the crash rates increase as the vertical gradient decline. Also, the sharp-curve related alignment combination should be abandoned in design. In terms of segment location, crash rate of intersections is much higher than village segments and normal segments.

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REFERENCES

Chen Zhang and John N.Ivan (2005), “Effects of geometric characteristics on head-on crash incidence on two-lane roads in Connecticut”. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No.1908, TRB, National Research Council, Washington, D.C, 159-164

Ertan Örnek and Alex Drakopoulos (2007), “Analysis of run-off-road crashes in relation to roadway features and driver behavior”. Proceedings of the 2007 Mid-Continent Transportation Research Symposium, 1-10.

Jianming Ma and Kara Kockelman (2006), “Crash frequency and severity modeling using clustered data from Washington state”, Proceedings of the 2006 IEEE Intelligent Transportation Systems Conference, 1621-1625.

Jinsun Lee, Fred Mannering (1999), “Analysis of roadside accident frequency and severity and roadside safety management”. Analysis of Roadside Accident Severity & Roadside Safety Management, Seattle, Washington.

Joon-Ki Kim, Yinhai Wang and Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson (2007). “Modeling the probability of freeway rear-end crash occurrence”. Journal of transportation engineering, ASCE,January 2007, 11-19.

Liteng Zha, Zhibing Li, Xiang Zhang and Liuyi Gao (2011), “Using generalized estimating equation model to analyze crash frequency on freeways in China”. Proceeding of the 11th International Conference of Chinese Transportation Professionals, 2284-2294.

Lord, D., and Persaud, B. (2000). “Accident Prediction Models With and Without Trend: Application of the Generalized Estimating Equations Procedure.” Transportation Research Record, Washington, D.C., 1717, 102-108.

Lu Bai, Pan Liu, Zhibin Li and Chengcheng Xu, “Using multivariate poisson-lognormal regression method for modeling crash frequency by severity on freeway diverge areas”, Proceedings of the 11th International Conference of Chinese Transportation Professionals, 2385-2395.

Meng Xianghai, Sheng Hongfei, Wang Xiaoning, Lv Yuejing (2007), “Predicting crashes based on artificial neural networks and identifying the hazardous crash type at intersections”. Proceedings of International Conference on Transportation Engineering 2007, 1444-1450.

Seunglim Kang and Seongkwan Mark Lee (2007), “Introducing alignment based risk indices into the highway traffic accident analysis”. Computing in Civil Engineering, ASCE, 2007, 465-477.

Wang Huarong, et al. (2009), “Effects of geometric features on rear-end crash incidence on mountainous two-lane highway”. Proceeding of International Conference on Transportation Engineering 2009, 1451-1457.

References

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